Mississippi State at Arkansas - 2009 Matchup Preview
 
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (24 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARK 4th straight Home Game
ARK is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MSST: 24 - ARK: 33 (57)
MSST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 355 miles
Razorbacks (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 25 (47 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State at Auburn+2.5
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State vs LSU-23.5
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State vs Houston-23.5
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State at Middle Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Florida-23.5
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Arkansas's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas vs Missouri State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Arkansas vs Georgia-23.5
Sat 9/26 Arkansas at Alabama+2.5
Sat 10/3 Arkansas vs Texas A&M-23.5
Sat 10/10 Arkansas vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 10/17 Arkansas at Florida+2.5
Sat 10/24 Arkansas at Ole Miss+2.5
Sat 10/31 Arkansas vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/7 Arkansas vs South Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/14 Arkansas vs Troy-23.5
Sat 11/21 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 11/28 Arkansas at LSU+2.5
Sat 1/2 Arkansas vs East Carolina+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.0342%25.644%2.9822837%1550-.0141%26.840%41%-0.4444.62.52.1
ARK.0940%3637%2.6613239%308-0.15.0243%25.141%42%-0.1553.81.22.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1225.623.642.2%02.5193722281554.964%34%44%37%3%.03
ARK Defense1325.124.142.6%-0.152.3 - - - - - 51%46%41%42%3%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1226.824.841.3%-0.442.1 - - - - - 53%45%40%41%3%-.01
ARK Offense133646.739.5%-0.151.2204271323084.343%55%37%39%2%.09

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1219:1219.133%56%5.544.62.52.100733
Arkansas1318:2019.633%50%6.553.81.22.300431.8
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1264%44%46.3227.64.921.042.9862%0%0.81
ARK Defense1351%41% - - - - -.052.7559%0%0.69
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1253%40% - - - - -.052.3366%0%0.71
ARK Offense1343%37%30.4131.84.323-.032.6662%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1234%37%12.822.2155.2712.2917.021.232%30%.123%1.2
ARK Defense1346%42% - - - - - - 13.131.233%36%.243%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1245%41% - - - - - - 17.061.130%30%.163%1.5
ARK Offense1355%39%1933.8308.59.116.2329.21.438%29%.192%1.5

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Arkansas: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Arkansas:




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2009 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Mississippi State's 2009 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas 33
Mississippi State 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 33
Mississippi State 23

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas 33
Mississippi State 24

Total Points: 57
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.7
Defense: 25.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Arkansas's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Arkansas35Mississippi State38Arkansas -5.5Mississippi State66.5Over
202410/26Mississippi State25Arkansas58Arkansas -7.5Arkansas55.0Over
202310/21Arkansas3Mississippi State7Arkansas -6.5Mississippi State46.5Under
202210/08Mississippi State40Arkansas17Mississippi State -8Mississippi State55.5Over
202111/06Arkansas31Mississippi State28Arkansas -4Mississippi State54.0Over
202010/03Mississippi State14Arkansas21Mississippi State -16.5Arkansas68.0Under
201911/02Arkansas24Mississippi State54Mississippi State -7Mississippi State59.0Over
201811/17Mississippi State52Arkansas6Mississippi State -22.5Mississippi State49.0Over
201711/18Arkansas21Mississippi State28Mississippi State -14Arkansas56.0Under
201611/19Mississippi State42Arkansas58Mississippi State -1Arkansas57.5Over
201511/21Arkansas50Mississippi State51Arkansas -3Mississippi State59.0Over
201411/01Mississippi State17Arkansas10Mississippi State -14Arkansas0
201311/23Arkansas17Mississippi State24Mississippi State -3Mississippi State0
201211/17Mississippi State45Arkansas14
201111/19Arkansas44Mississippi State17
201011/20Mississippi State31Arkansas38
200911/21Arkansas42Mississippi State21
200811/22Mississippi State31Arkansas28
200711/17Arkansas45Mississippi State31
200611/18Mississippi State14Arkansas28
200511/19Arkansas44Mississippi State10
200411/20Mississippi State21Arkansas24
200311/22Arkansas52Mississippi State6
200111/17Arkansas24Mississippi State21
200011/17Mississippi State10Arkansas17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas1458 Overs
Mississippi State1183 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 133 - 102 - 71 - 3
Road Teams13 - 1210 - 33 - 17 - 2

(#) MSST at (#) ARK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTARK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffARK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCatARK OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCatARK OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 53°
Rematch from Week 12
()
Arkansas won vs Mississippi State this year (42-21)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Mississippi State last year (58-25)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2023 (7-3)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2022 (40-17)

  
MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARK's DC ()
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