Alabama at Mississippi State - 2009 Matchup Preview
 
Crimson Tide (14 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 12 (29 - 12 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ALA: 26 - MSST: 17 (43)
ALA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 74 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (27 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Alabama vs Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/12 Alabama vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 9/19 Alabama vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 9/26 Alabama vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 10/3 Alabama at Kentucky+2.5
Sat 10/10 Alabama at Ole Miss+2.5
Sat 10/17 Alabama vs South Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/24 Alabama vs Tennessee-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Alabama vs LSU-23.5
Sat 11/14 Alabama at Mississippi State+2.5
Sat 11/21 Alabama vs Chattanooga-23.5
Fri 11/27 Alabama at Auburn+2.5
Sat 12/5 Alabama vs Florida-23.5
Thu 1/7 Alabama vs Texas-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State at Auburn+2.5
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State vs LSU-23.5
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State vs Houston-23.5
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State at Middle Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Florida-23.5
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.0743%32.143%3.0521540%196-0.13-.0933%11.734%30%0.1142.70.92.2
MSST.0342%25.644%2.9822837%1550-.0141%26.840%41%-0.4444.62.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1432.129.343.4%-0.130.921403215196556%40%43%40%2%.07
MSST Defense1226.828.141.3%-0.442.1 - - - - - 53%45%40%41%3%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1411.711.832.7%0.112.2 - - - - - 41%57%34%30%3%-.09
MSST Offense1225.62742.2%02.5193722281554.964%34%44%37%3%.03

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1420:2120.639%59%4.942.70.92.200334.7
Mississippi State1219:1219.133%56%5.544.62.52.100733
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1456%43%42.9215.1531.043.0580%0%0.74
MSST Defense1253%40% - - - - -.052.3366%0%0.71
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1441%34% - - - - -.072.4169%0%0.81
MSST Offense1264%44%46.3227.64.921.042.9862%0%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1440%40%15.124.7195.97.912.9175.151.231%31%.142%1.2
MSST Defense1245%41% - - - - - - 17.061.130%30%.163%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1457%30% - - - - - - 24-.11.238%25%.053%1.5
MSST Offense1234%37%12.822.2155.2712.2917.021.232%30%.123%1.2

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2009 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.8

Alabama's 2009 Record
Record: 14 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 26
Mississippi State 17

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 24
Mississippi State 15

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 29
Mississippi State 19

Total Points: 48
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.1

Mississippi State's 2009 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Mississippi State17Alabama40Alabama -16.5Alabama45.0Over
202210/22Alabama30Mississippi State6Alabama -21.5Alabama61.5Under
202110/16Mississippi State9Alabama49Alabama -17.5Alabama59.5Under
202010/31Alabama41Mississippi State0Alabama -32.0Alabama0
201911/16Mississippi State7Alabama38Alabama -19Alabama61.0Under
201811/10Alabama24Mississippi State0Alabama -21.5Alabama50.0Under
201711/11Mississippi State24Alabama31Alabama -14.5Mississippi State50.0Over
201611/12Alabama51Mississippi State3Alabama -28.5Alabama52.5Over
201511/14Mississippi State6Alabama31Alabama -7Alabama51.5Under
201411/15Alabama25Mississippi State20Alabama -6.5Mississippi State0
201311/16Mississippi State7Alabama20Alabama -24.5Mississippi State0
201210/27Alabama38Mississippi State7
201111/12Mississippi State7Alabama24
201011/13Alabama30Mississippi State10
200911/14Mississippi State3Alabama31
200811/15Alabama32Mississippi State7
200711/10Mississippi State17Alabama12
200611/04Alabama16Mississippi State24
200511/05Mississippi State0Alabama17
200411/06Alabama30Mississippi State14
200311/08Mississippi State0Alabama38
200211/09Alabama28Mississippi State14
200111/10Alabama24Mississippi State17
200011/10Mississippi State29Alabama7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State333 Overs
Alabama2185 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 116 - 54 - 12 - 4
Road Teams11 - 135 - 64 - 21 - 4

(#) ALA at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60°
Rematch from Week 11
()
Alabama won at Mississippi State this year (31-3)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Mississippi State in 2023 (40-17)
Alabama beat Mississippi State in 2022 (30-6)

  
ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD