Duke at Navy - 2007 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, September 22nd 2007 (1:00 PM EDT)
Navy 46 - Duke: 43

 
Blue Devils (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 3rd straight Road Game
NAVY 2nd straight Home Game
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: DUKE: 26 - NAVY: 31 (57)
DUKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 246 miles
Midshipmen (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 36 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Duke vs UConn-23.5
Sat 9/8 Duke at Virginia+2.5
Sat 9/15 Duke at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 9/22 Duke at Navy+2.5
Sat 9/29 Duke at Miami+2.5
Sat 10/6 Duke vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 10/13 Duke vs Virginia Tech-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Duke at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/3 Duke vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 11/10 Duke vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 11/17 Duke at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 11/24 Duke at North Carolina+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Navy's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Navy at Temple+2.5
Fri 9/7 Navy at Rutgers+2.5
Sat 9/15 Navy vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 9/22 Navy vs Duke-23.5
Sat 9/29 Navy vs Air Force-23.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/10 Navy at Pittsburgh+2.5
Sat 10/20 Navy vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 10/27 Navy vs Delaware-23.5
Sat 11/3 Navy at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 11/10 Navy at North Texas+2.5
Sat 11/17 Navy vs Northern Illinois-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/1 Navy vs Army-23.5
Thu 12/20 Navy vs Utah-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE-.0533%17.936%2.36430%231-0.15.0842%33.242%40%-0.152.51.91.5
NAVY.1449%39.350%3.534933%101-0.07.0948%36.446%48%-0.0729.81.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1217.916.732.8%-0.151.91427164231246%54%36%30%2%-.05
NAVY Defense1336.432.847.9%-0.071.3 - - - - - 56%42%46%48%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1233.225.942.4%-0.11.5 - - - - - 54%44%42%40%1%.08
NAVY Offense1339.336.148.5%-0.071.5244443491015.683%15%50%33%2%.14

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1216:4614.332%46%652.51.91.500029.8
Navy1317:5523.751%66%429.81.51.300032.1
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1246%36%31.36426-.112.359%0%0.67
NAVY Defense1356%46% - - - - .013.1468%0%0.6
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1254%42% - - - - 2.7961%0%0.79
NAVY Offense1383%50%61.8348.85.653.153.586%0%0.7

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1254%30%17.531.9231.27.213.22110-1.336%18%-.032%1.6
NAVY Defense1342%48% - - - - - - 10.241.126%38%.292%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 11.191.434%35%.251%1.5
NAVY Offense1315%33%5.710.5101.49.717.895.131.924%31%.182%1.3

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2007 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Navy: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Navy:




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2007 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 17.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.7
Defense: 33.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Duke's 2007 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 31
Duke 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 28
Duke 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Navy 34
Duke 26

Total Points: 60
Navy Scoring
Offense: 39.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 36.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Navy's 2007 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201310/12Duke35Navy7Duke -3.5Duke0
201010/30Navy31Duke34
200809/13Duke41Navy31
200709/22Navy46Duke43
200611/04Duke13Navy38
200510/01Duke21Navy28
200409/04Navy27Duke12
200209/28Navy17Duke43
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy400 Overs
Duke410 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 41 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 40 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) DUKE at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKENAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81°
Rematch from Week 4
()
Navy won vs Duke this year (46-43)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD