Air Force at Navy - 2007 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, September 29th 2007 (1:00 PM EDT)
Navy 31 - Air Force: 20

 
Falcons (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (27 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY 3rd straight Home Game
NAVY is playing their 5th straight game
AFA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AFA: 30 - NAVY: 30 (60)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 1516 miles, 2 hrs behind
Midshipmen (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 36 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Air Force vs South Carolina State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Air Force at Utah+2.5
Thu 9/13 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
Sat 9/22 Air Force at BYU+2.5
Sat 9/29 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/6 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 10/13 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 10/20 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Thu 10/25 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/3 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/10 Air Force at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 11/17 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Mon 12/31 Air Force vs California-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Navy's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Navy at Temple+2.5
Fri 9/7 Navy at Rutgers+2.5
Sat 9/15 Navy vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 9/22 Navy vs Duke-23.5
Sat 9/29 Navy vs Air Force-23.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/10 Navy at Pittsburgh+2.5
Sat 10/20 Navy vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 10/27 Navy vs Delaware-23.5
Sat 11/3 Navy at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 11/10 Navy at North Texas+2.5
Sat 11/17 Navy vs Northern Illinois-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/1 Navy vs Army-23.5
Thu 12/20 Navy vs Utah-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.1143%29.942%3.0530042%127-0.16.0540%21.137%41%044.21.42.3
NAVY.1449%39.350%3.534933%101-0.07.0948%36.446%48%-0.0729.81.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1329.927.243.5%-0.161.4214193001275.472%26%42%42%2%.11
NAVY Defense1336.432.847.9%-0.071.3 - - - - - 56%42%46%48%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1321.125.539.7%02.3 - - - - - 50%48%37%41%2%.05
NAVY Offense1339.336.148.5%-0.071.5244443491015.683%15%50%33%2%.14

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1318:4221.342%68%4.844.21.42.300130.2
Navy1317:5523.751%66%429.81.51.300032.1
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1372%42%55.5299.55.436.073.0567%0%0.84
NAVY Defense1356%46% - - - - .013.1468%0%0.6
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1350%37% - - - - -.12.6658%0%0.66
NAVY Offense1383%50%61.8348.85.653.153.586%0%0.7

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1326%42%1016.5127.47.712.795.241.330%36%.272%1.4
NAVY Defense1342%48% - - - - - - 10.241.126%38%.292%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1348%41% - - - - - - 15.211.433%32%.212%1.5
NAVY Offense1315%33%5.710.5101.49.717.895.131.924%31%.182%1.3

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2007 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Navy: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Navy:




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2007 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Air Force's 2007 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 30
Navy 30

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 29
Air Force 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 32
Navy 30

Total Points: 62
Navy Scoring
Offense: 39.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 36.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Navy's 2007 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Navy34Air Force31Navy -13.5Air Force50.5Over
202410/05Air Force7Navy34Navy -10Navy37.0Over
202310/21Navy6Air Force17Air Force -11NA34.0Under
202210/01Air Force13Navy10Air Force -14Navy38.0Under
202109/11Navy3Air Force23Air Force -6Air Force40.0Under
202010/03Air Force40Navy7Navy -6.5Air Force46.5Over
201910/05Navy34Air Force25Air Force -3Navy46.5Over
201810/06Air Force35Navy7Navy -2.5Air Force47.0Under
201710/07Navy48Air Force45Navy -8.5Air Force53.5Over
201610/01Air Force28Navy14Air Force -10.5Air Force50.5Under
201510/03Navy33Air Force11Navy -6Navy49.5Under
201410/04Air Force30Navy21Navy -4Air Force0
201310/05Navy28Air Force10Navy -11Navy0
201210/06Air Force21Navy28
201110/01Navy34Air Force35
201010/02Air Force14Navy6
200910/03Navy16Air Force13
200810/04Air Force27Navy33
200709/29Navy31Air Force20
200610/07Air Force17Navy24
200510/08Navy27Air Force24
200409/30Air Force21Navy24
200310/04Navy28Air Force25
200210/05Air Force48Navy7
200110/06Navy18Air Force24
200010/06Air Force27Navy13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy1455 Overs
Air Force1276 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 97 - 53 - 34 - 2
Road Teams9 - 175 - 72 - 43 - 3

(#) AFA at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFANAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 5
()
Navy won vs Air Force this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Air Force last year (34-7)
Air Force beat Navy in 2023 (17-6)
Air Force beat Navy in 2022 (13-10)

  
AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD