Duke at North Carolina - 2007 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, November 24th 2007 (3:30 PM EST)
North Carolina 20 - Duke: 14  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
UNC is playing their 5th straight game
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: DUKE: 17 - UNC: 25 (42)
DUKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 9 miles
Tar Heels (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 25 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Duke vs UConn-23.5
Sat 9/8 Duke at Virginia+2.5
Sat 9/15 Duke at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 9/22 Duke at Navy+2.5
Sat 9/29 Duke at Miami+2.5
Sat 10/6 Duke vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 10/13 Duke vs Virginia Tech-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Duke at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/3 Duke vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 11/10 Duke vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 11/17 Duke at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 11/24 Duke at North Carolina+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
North Carolina's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 North Carolina vs James Madison-23.5
Sat 9/8 North Carolina at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 9/15 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 9/22 North Carolina at South Florida+2.5
Sat 9/29 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/6 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 10/13 North Carolina vs South Carolina-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 North Carolina at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 11/3 North Carolina vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 11/10 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
Sat 11/17 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/24 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE-.0533%17.936%2.36430%231-0.15.0842%33.242%40%-0.152.51.91.5
UNC-.0340%21.238%2.419939%245-0.1.0542%24.543%37%0542.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1217.916.732.8%-0.151.91427164231246%54%36%30%2%-.05
UNC Defense1224.518.541.6%02 - - - - - 50%47%43%37%2%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1233.225.942.4%-0.11.5 - - - - - 54%44%42%40%1%.08
UNC Offense1221.223.540.3%-0.12.41732599245345%52%38%39%3%-.03

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1216:4614.332%46%652.51.91.500029.8
North Carolina1217:5216.829%45%6.8542.4200332.3
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1246%36%31.36426-.112.359%0%0.67
UNC Defense1250%43% - - - - .042.9666%0%0.67
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1254%42% - - - - 2.7961%0%0.79
UNC Offense1245%38%33.599.2311-.142.4161%0%0.62

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1254%30%17.531.9231.27.213.22110-1.336%18%-.032%1.6
UNC Defense1247%37% - - - - - - 11.05132%31%.162%1.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 11.191.434%35%.251%1.5
UNC Offense1252%39%18.330.7244.5813.31519.061.234%30%.13%1.4

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2007 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2007 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 17.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.7
Defense: 33.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Duke's 2007 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 25
Duke 17

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 24
Duke 15

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 26
Duke 19

Total Points: 45
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 21.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

North Carolina's 2007 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22North Carolina25Duke32Duke -6.5Duke50.5Over
202409/28Duke21North Carolina20North Carolina -1Duke55.5Under
202311/11North Carolina47Duke45North Carolina -9.5Duke52.5Over
202210/15Duke35North Carolina38North Carolina -7Duke70.0Over
202110/02North Carolina38Duke7North Carolina -19.5North Carolina74.0Under
202011/07Duke24North Carolina56North Carolina -11.5North Carolina63.0Over
201910/26North Carolina20Duke17North Carolina -2.5North Carolina52.5Under
201811/10Duke42North Carolina35Duke -7.5North Carolina58.5Over
201709/23North Carolina17Duke27North Carolina -1.5Duke61.0Under
201611/10Duke28North Carolina27North Carolina -10.5Duke66.5Under
201511/07North Carolina66Duke31North Carolina -8North Carolina59.5Over
201411/20Duke20North Carolina45Duke -6North Carolina0
201311/30North Carolina25Duke27North Carolina -5.5Duke0
201210/20Duke33North Carolina30
201111/26North Carolina37Duke21
201011/27Duke19North Carolina24
200911/07North Carolina19Duke6
200811/29Duke20North Carolina28
200711/24North Carolina20Duke14
200611/25Duke44North Carolina45
200511/19North Carolina24Duke21
200411/20Duke17North Carolina40
200311/22North Carolina22Duke30
200111/17North Carolina52Duke17
200011/17Duke21North Carolina59
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1766 Overs
Duke875 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 126 - 73 - 53 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 62 - 35 - 3

(#) DUKE at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48°
Rematch from Week 13
()
North Carolina won vs Duke this year (20-14)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2022 (38-35)

  
DUKE's OC ()
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DUKE's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD