Duke at Northwestern - 2007 Matchup Preview
 
Blue Devils (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
NW 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: DUKE: 23 - NW: 30 (53)
DUKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 629 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (6 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 31 (27 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Duke vs UConn-23.5
Sat 9/8 Duke at Virginia+2.5
Sat 9/15 Duke at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 9/22 Duke at Navy+2.5
Sat 9/29 Duke at Miami+2.5
Sat 10/6 Duke vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 10/13 Duke vs Virginia Tech-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Duke at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/3 Duke vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 11/10 Duke vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 11/17 Duke at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 11/24 Duke at North Carolina+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Northwestern's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Northwestern vs Northeastern-23.5
Sat 9/8 Northwestern vs Nevada-23.5
Sat 9/15 Northwestern vs Duke-23.5
Sat 9/22 Northwestern at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 9/29 Northwestern vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/6 Northwestern at Michigan State+2.5
Sat 10/13 Northwestern vs Minnesota-23.5
Fri 10/19 Northwestern at Eastern Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/27 Northwestern at Purdue+2.5
Sat 11/3 Northwestern vs Iowa-23.5
Sat 11/10 Northwestern vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 11/17 Northwestern at Illinois+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE-.0533%17.936%2.36430%231-0.15.0842%33.242%40%-0.152.51.91.5
NW.0842%25.840%2.6912042%3250.0741%3138%43%-0.1747.82.31.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1217.916.732.8%-0.151.91427164231246%54%36%30%2%-.05
NW Defense123126.140.8%-0.171.5 - - - - - 51%48%38%43%2%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1233.225.942.4%-0.11.5 - - - - - 54%44%42%40%1%.08
NW Offense1225.827.142.5%02.3233851203253.638%61%40%42%3%.08

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1216:4614.332%46%652.51.91.500029.8
Northwestern1219:4223.146%39%4.847.82.31.500127
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1246%36%31.36426-.112.359%0%0.67
NW Defense1251%38% - - - - -.032.9956%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1254%42% - - - - 2.7961%0%0.79
NW Offense1238%40%33.1119.63.617-.022.6965%0%0.69

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1254%30%17.531.9231.27.213.22110-1.336%18%-.032%1.6
NW Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 9.181.331%34%.242%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 11.191.434%35%.251%1.5
NW Offense1261%42%26.844.1324.87.412.12019.151.233%35%.263%1.5

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2007 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Northwestern: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Northwestern:




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2007 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 17.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.7
Defense: 33.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Duke's 2007 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 30
Duke 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 32
Duke 23

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 28
Duke 23

Total Points: 51
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.1
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Northwestern's 2007 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/06Northwestern20Duke26Northwestern -2.5Duke37.5Over
202309/16Duke38Northwestern14Duke -17Duke48.0Over
202209/10Northwestern23Duke31Northwestern -10Duke56.5Under
202109/18Duke30Northwestern23Northwestern -2.5Duke50.0Over
201809/08Northwestern7Duke21Northwestern -2.5Duke47.5Under
201709/09Duke41Northwestern17Northwestern -1.5Duke54.5Over
201609/17Northwestern24Duke13Northwestern -4Northwestern44.0Under
201509/19Duke10Northwestern19Duke -2.5Northwestern50.0Under
200809/06Duke20Northwestern24
200709/15Northwestern14Duke20
200309/20Duke10Northwestern28
200209/14Northwestern26Duke21
200109/22Duke7Northwestern44
200009/08Northwestern38Duke5
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern724 Overs
Duke764 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 84 - 42 - 42 - 0
Road Teams8 - 64 - 40 - 24 - 2

(#) DUKE at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKENW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 54°
Rematch from Week 3
()
Duke won at Northwestern this year (20-14)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Northwestern last year (26-20)
Duke beat Northwestern in 2023 (38-14)
Duke beat Northwestern in 2022 (31-23)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD