Northwestern at Michigan State - 2007 Matchup Preview
 
Wildcats (6 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 31 (24 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU is playing their 6th straight game
NW is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NW: 20 - MSU: 35 (55)
NW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NW Travel: 170 miles, 1 hrs behind
Spartans (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Northwestern vs Northeastern-23.5
Sat 9/8 Northwestern vs Nevada-23.5
Sat 9/15 Northwestern vs Duke-23.5
Sat 9/22 Northwestern at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 9/29 Northwestern vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/6 Northwestern at Michigan State+2.5
Sat 10/13 Northwestern vs Minnesota-23.5
Fri 10/19 Northwestern at Eastern Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/27 Northwestern at Purdue+2.5
Sat 11/3 Northwestern vs Iowa-23.5
Sat 11/10 Northwestern vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 11/17 Northwestern at Illinois+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Michigan State's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Michigan State vs UAB-23.5
Sat 9/8 Michigan State vs Bowling Green-23.5
Sat 9/15 Michigan State vs Pittsburgh-23.5
Sat 9/22 Michigan State at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 9/29 Michigan State at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 10/6 Michigan State vs Northwestern-23.5
Sat 10/13 Michigan State vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 10/20 Michigan State at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 10/27 Michigan State at Iowa+2.5
Sat 11/3 Michigan State vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/10 Michigan State at Purdue+2.5
Sat 11/17 Michigan State vs Penn State-23.5
Fri 12/28 Michigan State vs Boston College-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW.0842%25.840%2.6912042%3250.0741%3138%43%-0.1747.82.31.5
MSU.0541%33.141%3.1419839%233-0.1438%26.637%37%048.41.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)45% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)39% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1225.82442.5%02.3233851203253.638%61%40%42%3%.08
MSU Defense1326.625.838.2%01.9 - - - - - 47%51%37%37%2%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense123137.840.8%-0.171.5 - - - - - 51%48%38%43%2%.07
MSU Offense1333.134.141%-0.141.5204171982334.455%43%41%39%3%.05

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1219:4223.146%39%4.847.82.31.500127
Michigan State1318:3820.541%58%548.41.51.900233.4
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1238%40%33.1119.63.617-.022.6965%0%0.69
MSU Defense1347%37% - - - - -.042.5759%0%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1251%38% - - - - -.032.9956%0%0.77
MSU Offense1355%41%44.6198.24.429.023.1470%0%0.73

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1261%42%26.844.1324.87.412.12019.151.233%35%.263%1.5
MSU Defense1351%37% - - - - - - 12.051.136%30%.152%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 9.181.331%34%.242%1.6
MSU Offense1343%39%17.830.2233.57.713.12111.111.331%32%.253%1.5

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2007 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Michigan State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Michigan State:




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2007 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.8

Northwestern's 2007 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan State 35
Northwestern 20

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 36
Northwestern 15

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Michigan State 34
Northwestern 25

Total Points: 59
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Michigan State's 2007 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/03Northwestern21Michigan State38Northwestern -3Michigan State45.5Over
202011/28Michigan State29Northwestern20Northwestern -13.5Michigan State40.0Over
201909/21Northwestern10Michigan State31Michigan State -7.5Michigan State35.0Over
201810/06Michigan State19Northwestern29Michigan State -10.5Northwestern43.0Over
201710/28Northwestern39Michigan State31Michigan State -2Northwestern41.5Over
201610/15Michigan State40Northwestern54Michigan State -6.5Northwestern41.0Over
201311/23Northwestern6Michigan State30Michigan State -7Michigan State0
201211/17Michigan State20Northwestern23
201111/26Northwestern17Michigan State31
201010/23Northwestern27Michigan State35
200910/17Michigan State24Northwestern14
200810/11Northwestern20Michigan State37
200710/06Michigan State41Northwestern48
200610/21Northwestern38Michigan State41
200510/22Michigan State14Northwestern49
200209/28Michigan State39Northwestern24
200109/29Northwestern27Michigan State26
200009/29Michigan State17Northwestern37
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State1046 Overs
Northwestern830 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 132 - 50 - 32 - 2
Road Teams13 - 55 - 22 - 23 - 0

(#) NW at (#) MSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCat
NW OffMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCat
NW OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCatMSU OffNW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSU OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 6
()
Northwestern won at Michigan State this year (48-41)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD