Thu, Aug 29 2024
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Week 1
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🏟 Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Mount Pleasant, MI
·
Turf
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32,885 cap
Central Connecticut✈ 623 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Central Michigan wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Central Michigan -33.5
O/U 54.5
ESPN Bet
Central Connecticut 2024 Schedule
Central Connecticut's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/29 | Central Connecticut at Central Michigan | +33.5L10–66 | 54.5 | L10–66 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Central Connecticut at Massachusetts | +19.5L31–35 | 52.0 | L31–35 | O | Y |
Central Michigan 2024 Schedule
Central Michigan's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/29 | Central Michigan vs Central Connecticut | -33.5W66–10 | 54.5 | W66–10 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/7 | Central Michigan vs Florida International | -3.5L16–52 | 51.5 | L16–52 | O | N |
| Sat 9/14 | Central Michigan at Illinois | +21.5L9–30 | 49.5 | L9–30 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/21 | Central Michigan vs Ball State | -6.5W37–34 | 51.0 | W37–34 | O | N |
| Sat 9/28 | Central Michigan vs San Diego State | -2.5W22–21 | 47.5 | W22–21 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Central Michigan vs Ohio | +3.0L25–27 | 50.5 | L25–27 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/19 | Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan | +3.5L34–38 | 52.5 | L34–38 | O | N |
| Sat 10/26 | Central Michigan at Miami (OH) | +10.5L7–46 | 48.5 | L7–46 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Central Michigan vs Bowling Green | +14.5L13–23 | 47.5 | L13–23 | U | Y |
| Tue 11/12 | Central Michigan at Toledo | +15.0L10–37 | 52.5 | L10–37 | U | N |
| Tue 11/19 | Central Michigan vs Western Michigan | +6.0W16–14 | 56.0 | W16–14 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/30 | Central Michigan at Northern Illinois | +16.5L16–24 | 41.5 | L16–24 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Central Connecticut Edge
Central Connecticut +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Central Michigan Edge
Central Michigan +24.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓