Fri, Sep 2 2022
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Spartan Stadium
San Jose, CA
·
Turf
·
30,456 cap
Portland State✈ 571 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
San José State wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
San José State -22
O/U 51.0
consensus
Portland State 2022 Schedule
Portland State's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/1 | Portland State at San José State | +22.0L17–21 | 51.0 | L17–21 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/10 | Portland State at Washington | +31.0L6–52 | 55.0 | L6–52 | O | N |
San José State 2022 Schedule
San José State's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/1 | San José State vs Portland State | -22.0W21–17 | 51.0 | W21–17 | U | N |
| Sat 9/10 | San José State at Auburn | +24.0L16–24 | 48.5 | L16–24 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/24 | San José State vs Western Michigan | -6.5W34–6 | 49.0 | W34–6 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/1 | San José State at Wyoming | -2.5W33–16 | 42.5 | W33–16 | O | Y |
| Fri 10/7 | San José State vs UNLV | -6.5W40–7 | 51.5 | W40–7 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/15 | San José State at Fresno State | -7.0L10–17 | 47.0 | L10–17 | U | N |
| Sat 10/22 | San José State at New Mexico State | -21.0 | 43.0 | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/29 | San José State vs Nevada | -24.5W35–28 | 44.5 | W35–28 | O | N |
| Sat 11/5 | San José State vs Colorado State | -24.0W28–16 | 44.5 | W28–16 | U | N |
| Sat 11/12 | San José State at San Diego State | -2.5L27–43 | 41.0 | L27–43 | O | N |
| Sat 11/19 | San José State at Utah State | +1.0L31–35 | 51.0 | L31–35 | O | N |
| Sat 11/26 | San José State vs Hawai'i | -15.5W27–14 | 58.5 | W27–14 | U | N |
| Tue 12/20 | San José State vs Eastern Michigan | -3.5L27–41 | 54.0 | L27–41 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Portland State Edge
Portland State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
San José State Edge
San José State +32.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓