Sacramento State at Central Michigan - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Sacramento State Hornets at Central Michigan Chippewas

Central Michigan logo
Wednesday, November 11th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Kelly/Shorts Stadium - Mount Pleasant, MI  (Mid-American)

 
Hornets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alonzo Carter (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 17 - 20 (17 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
SAC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Central Michigan -0.5  (SP+ CMU -9)
Projected Score: SAC: 20 - CMU: 21 (41)
CMU Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
SAC Travel: 1925 miles, 3 hrs behind
Chippewas (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#60)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Sacramento State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29Sacramento State at Eastern Michigan-4————
Sat 9/5Sacramento State vs Mississippi Valley State-18.5————
Sat 9/12Sacramento State at Fresno State+9.5————
Sat 9/19Sacramento State vs North Dakota State+2.5————
Sat 9/26Sacramento State vs Massachusetts-29————
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Sacramento State at Bowling Green-3.5————
Sat 10/17Sacramento State vs Ohio-4.5————
Sat 10/24Sacramento State at Ball State-15————
Fri 10/30Sacramento State vs Kent State-15.5————
Wed 11/4Sacramento State vs Toledo+6.5————
Wed 11/11Sacramento State at Central Michigan+0.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/28Sacramento State at Hawai'i+7————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Sacramento State's Schedule
Central Michigan's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Central Michigan at New Mexico+10.5————
Sat 9/12Central Michigan vs Colgate-16.5————
Sat 9/19Central Michigan vs Wyoming-6.5————
Sat 9/26Central Michigan at Miami+29.5————
Sat 10/3Central Michigan vs Akron-8.5————
Sat 10/10Central Michigan at Ohio+2————
Sat 10/17Central Michigan vs Western Michigan+1————
Sat 10/24Central Michigan vs Miami (OH)+3————
— Bye Week —
Wed 11/4Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan-2.5————
Wed 11/11Central Michigan vs Sacramento State-0.5————
Wed 11/18Central Michigan at Buffalo+0————
Sat 11/28Central Michigan at Ball State-13————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%170%000%000%200%0%0000
CMU#71 (.17)41% (89)22.540% (102)2.79 (103)16544% (42)1673.6 (80)#36 (.1)40% (47)23.541% (56)39% (43)3.14 (26)48.71.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Offense117170%00000000%0%0%0%0%
CMU Defense1323.515.239.6%3.141.6 - - - - - 47%51%41%39%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Defense120200%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
CMU Offense1322.530.441.1%3.61.217332165167463%35%40%44%16%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sacramento State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Central Michigan1332:0616.934%58%648.71.21.65.32.2229
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Offense10%0%000000%0%0
CMU Defense1347% (40)41% (56) - - - - .04 (34)2.83 (55)62% (12)10% (62)0.9 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
CMU Offense1363% (7)40% (102)41.4165.1417 (78).07 (91)2.79 (103)75% (47)12% (120)0.92 (84)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
CMU Defense1351% (96)39% (43) - - - - - - 13 (12).19 (46)1.5 (63)32% (61)27% (32).26 (55)7% (22)2 (73)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
CMU Offense1335% (130)44% (42)13.519.5167.18.612.316 (106)7 (3).4 (22)1.6 (40)32% (73)26% (117).31 (67)4% (15)2.1 (36)

Sacramento State's Power Ratings
Sacramento State's Power Rating: -9.86  #114
Sacramento State's Offense Rating: 9.69  #113
Sacramento State's Defense Rating: 19.55  #111
2026 Talent Rating: 437.00  #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #101
Sacramento State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9
Sacramento State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 467.85
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61

Power Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State: -9.86   Central Michigan: -4.36

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    Central Michigan: -8.8




Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -4.36  #97
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.08  #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 20.00  #114
2026 Talent Rating: 464.00  #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #104
Central Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Central Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8  #101
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #120
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #65

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 467.85
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61


Sacramento State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Sacramento State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Central Michigan 21
Sacramento State 20

Projected Total Points: 41
Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Central Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Central Michigan000 Overs
Sacramento State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#114) SAC at (#97) CMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSACCMU
Game ControlGC #12 #91
Momentum ControlMCNR #123
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #114 #97
SP+SP+NR #101
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #119 #108
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #104
Sacramento State Notes
(2/15) 2025: (7-5), '24: (3-9), '23: (8-5), '22: (12-1)
(2/15) Lost top 2 QB, 3 RB, 1 WR from '25 via portal
(2/15) HC Carter was RB coach @ Arizona past 2 years
Sacramento State Injury Report
Central Michigan Notes
(3/4) Vibes: Strong, Off could be really good, Def is ?
(3/4) QB Flores (PT LY) can scoot, but didn't throw much
(3/4) RB good unit, Townsend back, 2 prod portals
(3/4) WRs Lewis & McIntosh decent duo, have depth
(3/4) OL has more prod than 1/2 MAC combined. Wow
(3/4) F7 is ?, DL only 3 with exp, LB only has 2.
(3/4) DB best Def unit by far, CB really good, S has 1
Central Michigan Injury Report
Sacramento State on Offense
CategoryCat
SAC OffCMU Def
Game ControlGC #16 #53
Momentum ControlMCNR #113
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #47
ExplosiveExpNR #55
PPAPPANR #36
PowerPwr #113 #114
SP+SP+NR #65
Pts POPPONR #26
HavocHavNR #42
Sacramento State Run Game
CategoryCat
SAC OffCMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #56
Run ExplRExpNR #38
PPAExpNR #34
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #55
Stuff RateStuffNR #28
TackleTak - NR
Sacramento State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SAC OffCMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #43
Pass ExplPExlNR #63
PPAExpNR #46
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #62
DB HavocDBNR #22
Central Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatCMU OffSAC Def
Game ControlGC #116 #12
Momentum ControlMC #134NR
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #89NR
ExplosiveExp #109NR
PPAPPA #71NR
PowerPwr #74 #111
SP+SP+ #120NR
Pts POPPO #80NR
HavocHav #70NR
Central Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffSAC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #102NR
Run ExplRExp #84NR
PPAExp #91NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #103NR
Stuff RateStuff #80NR
TackleTak - NR
Central Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatCMU OffSAC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #42NR
Pass ExplPExl #40NR
PPAExp #22NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #120NR
DB HavocDB #15NR
Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

SAC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SAC's OC Eric Kiesau (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Conklin (Tr)479649%354123.7
Savion Red11100%280028.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Davion Godley (Tr)9451245.452
Sam Adams II3618135.034
Savion Red125804.813
Cincere Rhaney (Tr)51903.88
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Williams11170115.526
Sam Adams II9134214.933
Matthew Coleman (Tr)2013116.613
Jace Wilson356018.745

View Sacramento State's Full Roster

SAC's DC Adam Clark (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dionte Thornton (Tr)100002
Tim Thomas (Tr)60000
Boogsie Silvera (Tr)50000
Deven Wright51000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dionte Thornton (Tr)100002
Tim Thomas (Tr)60000
Boogsie Silvera (Tr)50000
Deven Wright51000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dionte Thornton (Tr)100002
Tim Thomas (Tr)60000
Boogsie Silvera (Tr)50000

CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Angel H Flores192868%195217.0
Jadyn Glasser7978%78008.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Clerveaux (Tr)16176254.767
Angel H Flores10752784.937
Brock Townsend8241845.146
Vaughn Blue (Tr)4723425.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Langston Lewis43596313.977
Tommy Mcintosh31422313.647
Jaden Allen (Tr)1918719.831
Brock Townsend13145411.251

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaion Jackson454227
Korver Demma289451
Xavier White261000
JJ Douglas232221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korver Demma289451
Jaion Jackson454227
JJ Douglas232221
Landon Swanson61110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaion Jackson454227
Daniel Bennett100012
JJ Douglas232221