Ohio at Sacramento State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Ohio Bobcats at Sacramento State Hornets

Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Hornet Stadium - Sacramento, CA (Mid-American)

Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach John Hauser (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#65)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

OHIO is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Sacramento State -4.5 (SP+ OHIO -4)
Projected Score: OHIO: 19 - SAC: 24 (43)
SAC Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
OHIO Travel: 2097 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Hornets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alonzo Carter (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 17 - 20 (17 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
OHIO Players
SAC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio's 2026 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Ohio at Nebraska	+15	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/12	Ohio vs Jacksonville State	-0	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/19	Ohio at South Alabama	-2.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/26	Ohio vs Stonehill	-16.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/3	Ohio at Kent State	-8.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/10	Ohio vs Central Michigan	-2	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/17	Ohio at Sacramento State	+4.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/24	Ohio vs Eastern Michigan	-7	—	—	—	—
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/3	Ohio at Akron	-3.5	—	—	—	—
Tue 11/10	Ohio at Miami (OH)	+8.5	—	—	—	—
Tue 11/17	Ohio vs Ball State	-17.5	—	—	—	—
Fri 11/27	Ohio vs Toledo	+8.5	—	—	—	—

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Sacramento State's 2026 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/29	Sacramento State at Eastern Michigan	-4	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/5	Sacramento State vs Mississippi Valley State	-18.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/12	Sacramento State at Fresno State	+9.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/19	Sacramento State vs North Dakota State	+2.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/26	Sacramento State vs Massachusetts	-29	—	—	—	—
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10	Sacramento State at Bowling Green	-3.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/17	Sacramento State vs Ohio	-4.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/24	Sacramento State at Ball State	-15	—	—	—	—
Fri 10/30	Sacramento State vs Kent State	-15.5	—	—	—	—
Wed 11/4	Sacramento State vs Toledo	+6.5	—	—	—	—
Wed 11/11	Sacramento State at Central Michigan	+0.5	—	—	—	—
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/28	Sacramento State at Hawai'i	+7	—	—	—	—

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Sacramento State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	#42 (.21)	45% (41)	27.8	45% (57)	3.32 (14)	228	46% (29)	184	3.55 (84)	#54 (.12)	41% (63)	21.9	42% (69)	40% (57)	2.83 (13)	48.3	1.5	1.3
SAC		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	20	0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SAC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Offense	13	27.8	21	44.9%	3.55	1.5	22	412	228	184	5.4	60%	38%	45%	46%	12%	.21
SAC Defense	1	20	20	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Defense	13	21.9	25.8	41.3%	2.83	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	42%	40%	15%	.12
SAC Offense	1	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio	13	32:07	21.6	42%	59%	6.2	48.3	1.5	1.3	4.9	1.7	2	29.9
Sacramento State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense	13	60% (11)	45% (57)	42.5	228.2	5.4	32 (26)	.21 (23)	3.32 (14)	79% (23)	7% (17)	1.1 (16)
SAC Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense	13	50% (73)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	.08 (56)	2.98 (87)	67% (32)	9% (86)	0.99 (89)
SAC Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense	13	38% (127)	46% (29)	14.8	24	184.2	7.7	12.5	14 (86)	11 (60)	.27 (60)	1.4 (119)	29% (31)	33% (35)	.24 (94)	5% (35)	1.6 (135)
SAC Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense	13	48% (65)	40% (57)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (31)	.21 (54)	1.6 (88)	31% (71)	28% (39)	.2 (26)	6% (75)	2 (55)
SAC Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -10.35 #115
Ohio's Offense Rating: 7.45 #126
Ohio's Defense Rating: 17.80 #99
2026 Talent Rating: 424.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #103
Ohio's 2026 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Ohio's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #86
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 468.77
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -10.35 Sacramento State: -2.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -4.0 Sacramento State:

Sacramento State's Power Ratings
Sacramento State's Power Rating: -2.43 #114
Sacramento State's Offense Rating: 9.69 #113
Sacramento State's Defense Rating: 19.55 #111
2026 Talent Rating: 437.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #102
Sacramento State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9
Sacramento State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 468.77
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Sacramento State 24
Ohio 19

Projected Total Points: 43

Sacramento State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Sacramento State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Sacramento State	0	0	0 Overs
Ohio	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#115) OHIO at (#114) SAC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OHIO	SAC
Game ControlGC	#64	#12
Momentum ControlMC	#92	NR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#115	#114
SP+SP+	#86	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#121	#119
Blue ChipsBC%	#103	#102

Ohio Notes(2/24) HC Houser was DC LY under B Smith (fired LY)
Ohio Injury Report

Sacramento State Notes(2/15) 2025: (7-5), '24: (3-9), '23: (8-5), '22: (12-1)
(2/15) Lost top 2 QB, 3 RB, 1 WR from '25 via portal
(2/15) HC Carter was RB coach @ Arizona past 2 years
Sacramento State Injury Report

Ohio on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	SAC Def
Game ControlGC	#94	#12
Momentum ControlMC	#67	NR
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#41	NR
ExplosiveExp	#84	NR
PPAPPA	#42	NR
PowerPwr	#126	#111
SP+SP+	#98	NR
Pts POPPO	#84	NR
HavocHav	#17	NR

Ohio Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	SAC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#57	NR
Run ExplRExp	#16	NR
PPAExp	#23	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#14	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#4	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ohio Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	SAC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#29	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#119	NR
PPAExp	#60	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#17	NR
DB HavocDB	#35	NR

Sacramento State on Offense


CategoryCat	SAC Off	OHIO Def
Game ControlGC	#16	#29
Momentum ControlMC	NR	#102
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	#63
ExplosiveExp	NR	#75
PPAPPA	NR	#54
PowerPwr	#113	#99
SP+SP+	NR	#61
Pts POPPO	NR	#13
HavocHav	NR	#86

Sacramento State Run Game


CategoryCat	SAC Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#69
Run ExplRExp	NR	#89
PPAExp	NR	#56
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#87
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#72
TackleTak	-	NR

Sacramento State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SAC Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#57
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#88
PPAExp	NR	#54
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	#86
DB HavocDB	NR	#75

Program Comparison
SAC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hornet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matt Vezza (Tr)	226	369	61%	2673	19	7	7.2
Nick Poulos	4	8	50%	19	0	0	2.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matt Vezza (Tr)	150	605	8	4.0	35
Duncan Brune	120	585	8	4.9	66
Victor Rosa (Tr)	30	155	2	5.2	31
Nick Poulos	8	34	0	4.3	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Victor Rosa (Tr)	15	147	1	9.8	65
Dom Dorwart	11	119	0	10.8	35
Max Rodarte	7	86	0	12.3	24
Eian Pugh	6	75	0	12.5	25

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Kurt Mattix (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Charlie Christopher	63	3	2	2	2
Michael Molnar	62	5	2	2	3
DJ Walker	55	6	0	1	1
Jack Fries	54	3	1	1	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Marsh	8	2	2	0	0
Charlie Christopher	63	3	2	2	2
Michael Molnar	62	5	2	2	3
Derek Reagans	8	2	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Fries	54	3	1	1	5
Nehemiah Dukes	28	2	1	0	3
Michael Molnar	62	5	2	2	3

SAC's OC Eric Kiesau (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Conklin (Tr)	47	96	49%	354	1	2	3.7
Savion Red	1	1	100%	28	0	0	28.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Davion Godley (Tr)	94	512	4	5.4	52
Sam Adams II	36	181	3	5.0	34
Savion Red	12	58	0	4.8	13
Cincere Rhaney (Tr)	5	19	0	3.8	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Williams	11	170	1	15.5	26
Sam Adams II	9	134	2	14.9	33
Matthew Coleman (Tr)	20	131	1	6.6	13
Jace Wilson	3	56	0	18.7	45

View Sacramento State's Full Roster

SAC's DC Adam Clark (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Dionte Thornton (Tr)	10	0	2
Tim Thomas (Tr)	6	0	0
Boogsie Silvera (Tr)	5	0	0
Deven Wright	5	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	PD
Dionte Thornton (Tr)	10	0	2
Tim Thomas (Tr)	6	0	0
Boogsie Silvera (Tr)	5	0	0
Deven Wright	5	1	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Dionte Thornton (Tr)	10	2
Tim Thomas (Tr)	6	0
Boogsie Silvera (Tr)	5	0