USC at UCLA - 2026 Matchup Preview
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USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins

UCLA logo
Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA  (Big Ten)

 
Trojans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (36 - 17)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#20)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
UCLA is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: USC -15  (SP+ USC -25.5)

Projected Score: USC: 36 - UCLA: 21 (56)
USC Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
USC Travel: 12 miles
Bruins (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (20 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 6.3 (#68)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
USC's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29USC vs San José State-38.5
Sat 9/5USC vs Fresno State-23.5
Sat 9/12USC vs Louisiana-29
Sat 9/19USC at Rutgers-16.5
Sat 9/26USC vs Oregon+3.5
Sat 10/3USC vs Washington-1.5
Sat 10/10USC at Penn State-0.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/24USC at Wisconsin-18
Sat 10/31USC vs Ohio State+6.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/14USC at Indiana+12
Sat 11/21USC vs Maryland-21
Sat 11/28USC at UCLA-15

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule
UCLA's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5UCLA at California+2.5
Sat 9/12UCLA vs San Diego State+1.5
Sat 9/19UCLA vs Purdue-8.5
Sat 9/26UCLA at Maryland+1.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10UCLA at Oregon+25.5
Sat 10/17UCLA vs Wisconsin-5.5
Sat 10/24UCLA vs Michigan State-6
Sat 10/31UCLA vs Nevada-22
Sat 11/7UCLA at Minnesota+5.5
Sat 11/14UCLA vs Illinois+7.5
Sat 11/21UCLA at Michigan+18.5
Sat 11/28UCLA vs USC+15

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#7 (.33)49% (11)35.846% (41)3.16 (28)16952% (4)2964.66 (10)#64 (.16)45% (119)2347% (122)43% (81)3.53 (56)54.21.21.4
UCLA#96 (.12)42% (75)18.245% (54)3.06 (47)14040% (95)1802.98 (124)#122 (.25)50% (135)33.453% (135)48% (127)4.61 (133)65.51.10.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1335.827.448.9%4.661.2244651692965.248%50%46%52%13%.33
UCLA Defense1233.434.750.3%4.610.8 - - - - - 54%45%53%48%12%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense132328.845.4%3.531.4 - - - - - 47%51%47%43%16%.16
UCLA Offense1218.219.541.9%2.981.1173201401804.547%51%45%40%16%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1329:5023.751%64%5.854.21.21.45.52.4227.2
UCLA1229:1117.337%48%7.565.51.10.83.30.8026.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1348% (81)46% (41)32.5169.25.229 (16).18 (36)3.16 (28)75% (47)7% (17)0.95 (74)
UCLA Defense1254% (116)53% (135) - - - - .23 (131)3.32 (128)79% (116)7% (132)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1347% (37)47% (122) - - - - .13 (88)3.29 (125)67% (32)11% (34)0.81 (6)
UCLA Offense1247% (88)45% (54)31.3139.64.58 (107).21 (20)3.06 (47)65% (109)9% (65)1.05 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1350% (61)52% (4)21.532.32969.213.726 (22)10 (34).52 (4)1.6 (36)27% (14)37% (11).5 (10)6% (65)2.2 (14)
UCLA Defense1245% (23)48% (127) - - - - - - 4 (132).33 (105)1.4 (15)26% (135)40% (135).45 (130)5% (95)1.8 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1351% (95)43% (81) - - - - - - 12 (12).18 (41)1.6 (77)29% (110)33% (116).34 (93)5% (102)2.1 (112)
UCLA Offense1251% (47)40% (95)19.130.1180.369.515 (75)7 (60).09 (126)1.3 (136)32% (75)32% (50).28 (80)7% (95)1.9 (100)

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 24.29  #13
USC's Offense Rating: 28.07  #5
USC's Defense Rating: 8.78  #27
2026 Talent Rating: 988.00  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 47%  #12
USC's 2026 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
USC's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9  #16
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9  #9
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 916.78
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: 24.29   UCLA: 5.705

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 16.9   UCLA: -8.7




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 5.705  #23
UCLA's Offense Rating: 21.68  #16
UCLA's Defense Rating: 11.57  #38
2026 Talent Rating: 1000.00  #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #47
UCLA's 2026 Expected Record: 5.7 - 6.3
UCLA's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7  #98
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #94

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 916.78
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
USC 36
UCLA 21


Projected Total Points: 56
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

UCLA's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29USC29UCLA10USC -21.0UCLA59.0Under
202411/23UCLA13USC19USC -5USC53.0Under
202311/18USC20UCLA38USC -6UCLA65.5Under
202211/19UCLA45USC48USC -2.5USC76.5Over
202111/20USC33UCLA62UCLA -4.5UCLA66.5Over
202012/12UCLA38USC43USC -3.5USC64.0Over
201911/23USC52UCLA35USC -12.5USC66.0Over
201811/17UCLA34USC27USC -2.5UCLA55.0Over
201711/18USC28UCLA23USC -14.5UCLA70.5Under
201611/19UCLA14USC36USC -10.5USC53.0Under
201511/28USC40UCLA21USC -3.5USC61.0Push
201411/22UCLA38USC20UCLA -3UCLA0
201311/30USC14UCLA35USC -3.5UCLA0
201211/17UCLA38USC28
201111/26USC50UCLA0
201012/04UCLA14USC28
200911/28USC28UCLA7
200812/06UCLA7USC28
200712/01USC24UCLA7
200612/02UCLA13USC9
200512/03USC66UCLA19
200412/04UCLA24USC29
200311/22USC47UCLA22
200111/17USC27UCLA0
200011/17UCLA35USC38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA775 Overs
USC1865 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 114 - 93 - 41 - 5
Road Teams11 - 149 - 45 - 14 - 3

(#13) USC at (#23) UCLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCUCLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #13 #23
SP+SP+ #16 #98
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #16 #13
Blue ChipsBC% #12 #47
USC Notes
(2/14) Vibes: Tired of Riley, high on roster/crootin adds
(2/2) HC Riley running short on time & excuses
(2/1) DL is CFB's most exp'd. 6 starters back (3 portals)
(1/29) Patterson new DC (Lynn to PSU) interesting hire
(1/29) QB Maiava returns, feels underrated. Depth big ?
(1/29) RBs Miller & Jordan back w very talent Fr class
(1/29) WR only Hines, Anderson (NC St) & depth. Fr ready?
(1/29) OL has exp but avg grades at best. Must improve
(1/29) LBs avg but exp'd. Bryant (Wash) good add
(1/29) #1 croot class TY, RB, WR, Def needs would help
USC Injury Report
UCLA Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Up big w/ Chesney, NIL funding, hope
(2/4) New staff w Chesney. Good OC/DC combo
(2/4) QB Iamaleava was OK in bad spot. Have depth
(2/4) RB Knight (JMU) big add. Have depth options
(2/4) WR all portals but exp'd, productive & older unit
(2/4) OL has lots of exp @ G5 level. Veteran unit
(2/4) DL lots of portals, DEs from JMU, DT looks ?
(2/4) LBs again veteran portals. 7 with good exp
(2/4) CBs look really good, S has good options
(2/4) UCLA is Chesney's version of Cig plan. Promising
UCLA Injury Report
USC on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #11 #135
ExplosiveExp #33 #6
PPAPPA #7 #122
PowerPwr #5 #38
SP+SP+ #9 #94
Pts POPPO #10 #133
HavocHav #32 #130
USC Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #41 #135
Run ExplRExp #74 #30
PPAExp #36 #131
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #28 #128
Stuff RateStuff #37 #129
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #4 #127
Pass ExplPExl #36 #15
PPAExp #4 #105
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #17 #132
DB HavocDB #65 #95
UCLA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUCLA OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #75 #119
ExplosiveExp #120 #16
PPAPPA #96 #64
PowerPwr #16 #27
SP+SP+ #105 #36
Pts POPPO #124 #56
HavocHav #76 #63
UCLA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #54 #122
Run ExplRExp #33 #6
PPAExp #20 #88
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #47 #125
Stuff RateStuff #76 #86
TackleTak - NR
UCLA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUCLA OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #95 #81
Pass ExplPExl #136 #77
PPAExp #126 #41
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #65 #34
DB HavocDB #95 #102
Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

USC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
USC beat UCLA last year (29-10)
USC beat UCLA in 2024 (19-13)
UCLA beat USC in 2023 (38-20)

  
USC's OC Luke Huard (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava26540366%371124109.2
Sam Huard11100%100010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
King Miller15697286.275
Waymond Jordan8857656.540
Jayden Maiava5415762.921
Riley Wormley51803.66
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terrell Anderson (Tr)39629516.175
Tanook Hines34561216.551
King Miller1611106.920
Zach Williams380026.761

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Gary Patterson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desman Stephens II863010
Christian Pierce643103
Deven Bryant (Tr)622012
Alex VanSumeren (Tr)502221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameryn Fountain3711610
Braylan Shelby276540
Jide Abasiri264420
Zuriah Fisher (Tr)194251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcelles Williams370004
Christian Pierce643103
Jontez Williams (Tr)152002

UCLA's OC Dean Kennedy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava20832364%19281376.0
Ty Dieffenbach (Tr)9216257%1305998.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Wayne Knight (Tr)207137396.673
Nico Iamaleava11250544.552
Ty Dieffenbach (Tr)6732144.843
Jaivian Thomas8230613.732
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Leland Smith (Tr)43695316.245
Landon Ellis (Tr)36624517.362
Wayne Knight (Tr)4039719.957
Mikey Matthews33348210.537

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Spinogatti (Tr)517163
Samuel Omosigho505203
Tao Johnson (Tr)503004
Jalen Woods475203
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sahir West (Tr)4614774
Aiden Gobaira (Tr)338530
Samuel Omosigho505203
Ryan McCulloch (Tr)113241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Barksdale (Tr)3630112
Rodrick Pleasant362007
Ta'Shawn James (Tr)330005