App State at UL Monroe - 2020 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at UL Monroe Warhawks

Saturday, October 31st 2020 (4:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -31.5
App State 31 - UL Monroe: 13 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (9 - 3) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 20 (27 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ APP -32.5)
Projected Score: APP: 32 - ULM: 18 (50)
APP Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
APP Travel: 644 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Warhawks (0 - 10) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 42 (17 - 41 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	App State vs Charlotte	-17.0	59.0	W 35 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/19	App State at Marshall	-6.0	60.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/26	App State vs Campbell	-33.5	54.0	W 52 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/22	App State vs Arkansas State	-14.0	69.5	W 45 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/31	App State at UL Monroe	-31.5
Sat 11/7	App State at Texas State	-21.5	58.0	W 38 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/14	App State vs Georgia State	-18.0	63.0	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/21	App State at Coastal Carolina	+3.0	48.5	L 23 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/28	App State vs Troy	-14.0	50.5	W 47 - 10	O	Y
Fri 12/4	App State vs Louisiana	-3.0	51.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/12	App State at Georgia Southern	-9.0	45.0	W 34 - 26	O	N
Mon 12/21	App State vs North Texas	-21.5	67.5	W 56 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	UL Monroe at Army	+25.0	53.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/19	UL Monroe vs Texas State	+3.0	58.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/26	UL Monroe vs UTEP	-9.5	49.0	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/3	UL Monroe vs Georgia Southern	+19.5	51.0	L 30 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/10	UL Monroe at Liberty	+17.0	63.5	L 7 - 40	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	UL Monroe at South Alabama	+14.5	56.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/31	UL Monroe vs App State	+31.5
Sat 11/7	UL Monroe at Georgia State	+18.5	60.0	L 34 - 52	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	+29.5	58.0	L 20 - 70	O	N
Sat 12/5	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+20.5	71.5	L 15 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 12/17	UL Monroe at Troy	+13.5

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.24	47%	33.8	49%	3.21	265	44%	187	3.92	.08	36%	20	41%	31%	3.28	68	1.4	1.5
ULM	.03	35%	16.3	36%	2.33	76	35%	229	3.04	.34	48%	42	50%	45%	4.23	43.7	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	12	33.8	26.6	46.9%	3.92	1.4	23	452	265	187	5.8	61%	39%	49%	44%	13%	.24
ULM Defense	10	42	41	48%	4.23	1	-	-	-	-	-	65%	35%	50%	45%	13%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	12	20	21.4	36.4%	3.28	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	41%	31%	20%	.08
ULM Offense	10	16.3	17.2	35.3%	3.04	1.8	17	305	76	229	3.1	36%	64%	36%	35%	20%	.03

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	12	31:41	23.4	51%	55%	7.3	68	1.4	1.5	5.5	2.2	3	30.5
UL Monroe	10	27:14	16.6	26%	53%	4.8	43.7	1.8	1	5.3	1.7	0	26.6

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	12	61%	49%	45.4	265	5.8	28	.22	3.21	75%	9%	1.03
ULM Defense	10	65%	50%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.31	72%	9%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	12	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.91	71%	11%	1.14
ULM Offense	10	36%	36%	24.9	76.1	3.1	8	-.1	2.33	50%	11%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	12	39%	44%	15.8	25	187	7.5	11.8	21	11	.26	1.6	30%	33%	.4	4%	2.1
ULM Defense	10	35%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.49	2	30%	39%	.62	3%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	12	47%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	-.03	1.8	37%	28%	.27	9%	2.2
ULM Offense	10	64%	35%	22.3	38.3	229	6	10.3	14	12	.09	1.5	38%	25%	.08	8%	1.9

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2020 Expected Record: -
App State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #29
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #39
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #33

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: UL Monroe: -8.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 10.3 UL Monroe: -22.1

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -8.55 NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UL Monroe's 2020 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #123
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #113
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

App State Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.4

App State's 2020 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
App State 32
UL Monroe 18

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 28
UL Monroe 17

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
App State 36
UL Monroe 19

Total Points: 55

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense at Home: 41

UL Monroe's 2020 Record
Record: 0 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	UL Monroe	40	App State	41	Appalachian State -13.5	UL Monroe	50.5	Over
2021	10/30	App State	59	UL Monroe	28	Appalachian State -26.5	App State	57.5	Over
2020	10/31	UL Monroe	13	App State	31	Appalachian State -31.5	UL Monroe	0
2019	10/19	App State	52	UL Monroe	7	Appalachian State -16.5	App State	65.5	Under
2017	11/04	UL Monroe	52	App State	45	Appalachian State -8	UL Monroe	62.5	Over
2016	11/19	App State	42	UL Monroe	17	Appalachian State -27.5	UL Monroe	52.0	Over
2015	10/17	UL Monroe	14	App State	59	Appalachian State -8.5	App State	47.0	Over
2014	11/08	App State	31	UL Monroe	29	Appalachian State -2	Push	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	1	4	5 Overs
App State	7	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	5 - 2	2 - 1	3 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 5	2 - 5	1 - 3	1 - 2

(#) APP at (#) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	ULM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#123
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#101	#114
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

App State Injury Report

UL Monroe Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#33
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Poor G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'20 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 67°

Rematch from Week 9
App State 31.5 (0)
App State won at UL Monroe this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
App State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (41-40)

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD