Auburn at Ole Miss - 2020 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels(#5)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, October 24th 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
Auburn -3.5 (74.0)
Auburn 35 - Ole Miss: 28  (SEC)

 
Tigers (6 - 5) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (20 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AUB 2nd straight Road Game
MISS is playing their 5th straight game
AUB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ AUB -3)
Projected Score: AUB: 33 - MISS: 33 (66)
AUB Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 263 miles
Rebels (5 - 5) (5 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 38 (40 - 43 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Auburn vs Kentucky-6.047.0W 29 - 13UY
Sat 10/3 Auburn at Georgia+8.044.5L 6 - 27UN
Sat 10/10 Auburn vs Arkansas-13.546.0W 30 - 28ON
Sat 10/17 Auburn at South Carolina-2.554.0L 22 - 30UN
Sat 10/24 Auburn at Ole Miss-3.574.0W 35 - 28UY
Sat 10/31 Auburn vs LSU+2.063.5W 48 - 11UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Auburn vs Tennessee-10.551.0W 30 - 17UY
Sat 11/28 Auburn at Alabama+24.565.0L 13 - 42UN
Sat 12/5 Auburn vs Texas A&M+6.049.0L 20 - 31ON
Sat 12/12 Auburn at Mississippi State-5.550.5W 24 - 10UY
Fri 1/1 Auburn vs Northwestern+3.543.5L 19 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Ole Miss vs Florida+13.559.5L 35 - 51ON
Sat 10/3 Ole Miss at Kentucky+7.063.0W 42 - 41OY
Sat 10/10 Ole Miss vs Alabama+24.074.0L 48 - 63OY
Sat 10/17 Ole Miss at Arkansas+1.077.5L 21 - 33UN
Sat 10/24 Ole Miss vs Auburn+3.574.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 10/31 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-18.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-12.573.0W 59 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-10.070.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Ole Miss at LSU+0.074.5L 48 - 53ON
Sat 1/2 Ole Miss vs Indiana+6.566.5W 26 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB.1943%25.147%3.2316340%2203.52.2146%24.747%45%3.6650.50.81.2
MISS.3148%39.245%2.9221252%3454.21.3351%38.353%49%4.351.61.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1125.12043.5%3.520.8213831632204.648%52%47%40%13%.19
MISS Defense1038.34350.6%4.31.3 - - - - - 49%51%53%49%13%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1124.727.445.8%3.661.2 - - - - - 52%48%47%45%14%.21
MISS Offense1039.240.247.9%4.211.8285572123454.655%45%45%52%14%.31

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1128:4420.745%27%5.850.50.81.25.62.4127.6
Ole Miss1027:5027.650%67%651.61.81.34.71.6028.1
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1148%47%35.6162.54.616.23.2370%8%0.95
MISS Defense1049%53% - - - - .293.2774%8%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1152%47% - - - - .143.1479%9%0.89
MISS Offense1055%45%46.1211.64.623.212.9265%10%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1152%40%19.632.9220.26.711.2127.181.532%32%.315%1.9
MISS Defense1051%49% - - - - - - 6.361.427%39%.496%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1148%45% - - - - - - 9.281.629%35%.56%2.2
MISS Offense1045%52%23.833.534510.314.53014.431.727%42%.674%2.2

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2020 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4  #27
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #45
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #28

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn:    Ole Miss: 6.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.4   Ole Miss: 8.3




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 6.65 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2020 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #36
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3  #14
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #80

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Auburn's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 33
Ole Miss 33

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 35
Ole Miss 33

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 33
Auburn 32

Total Points: 65
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 39.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.2
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 43

Ole Miss's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Auburn21Ole Miss28Ole Miss -6.5Ole Miss55.5Under
202210/15Ole Miss48Auburn34Ole Miss -15.5Auburn55.5Over
202110/30Auburn31Ole Miss20Auburn -3Auburn67.5Under
202010/24Ole Miss28Auburn35Auburn -3.5Auburn74.0Under
201911/02Auburn20Ole Miss14Auburn -17Ole Miss53.5Under
201810/20Ole Miss16Auburn31Auburn -5Auburn64.0Under
201710/07Auburn44Ole Miss23Auburn -21.5Ole Miss55.5Over
201610/29Ole Miss29Auburn40Auburn -2Auburn65.5Over
201510/31Auburn19Ole Miss27Ole Miss -6Ole Miss57.5Under
201411/01Ole Miss31Auburn35Ole Miss -3Auburn0
201310/05Auburn30Ole Miss22Ole Miss -2Auburn0
201210/13Ole Miss41Auburn20
201110/29Auburn41Ole Miss23
201010/30Ole Miss31Auburn51
200910/31Auburn33Ole Miss20
200811/01Ole Miss17Auburn7
200710/27Auburn17Ole Miss3
200610/28Ole Miss17Auburn23
200510/29Auburn27Ole Miss3
200410/30Ole Miss14Auburn35
200311/08Auburn20Ole Miss24
200211/02Ole Miss24Auburn31
200109/08Auburn27Ole Miss21
200009/08Ole Miss27Auburn35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss643 Overs
Auburn1876 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 122 - 91 - 41 - 5
Road Teams12 - 129 - 25 - 14 - 1

(#) AUB at (#) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #36
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #12 #29
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCat
AUB OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #80
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #28
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'20 Profile: Remains Average P4

AUB 5 Year Profile: Declining CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 49° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Auburn 3.5 (74.0)
Auburn won at Ole Miss this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2023 (28-21)
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2022 (48-34)

  
AUB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AUB's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MISS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MISS's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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