Troy at App State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Troy logo   Troy Trojans at App State Mountaineers  App State logo
Saturday, November 28th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -14 (50.5)
App State 47 - Troy: 10  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (5 - 6) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ APP -10)
Projected Score: TROY: 26 - APP: 25 (51)
APP Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
TROY Travel: 391 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (9 - 3) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Troy at Middle Tennessee-6.570.5W 47 - 14UY
Sat 9/26 Troy at BYU+14.558.5L 7 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Troy vs Texas State-7.059.0W 37 - 17UY
Sat 10/17 Troy vs Eastern Kentucky-30.060.0W 31 - 29UN
Sat 10/24 Troy vs Georgia State-1.568.5L 34 - 36ON
Sat 10/31 Troy at Arkansas State+3.5
Sat 11/7 Troy at Georgia Southern-2.551.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Troy vs Middle Tennessee-11.560.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/28 Troy at App State+14.050.5L 10 - 47ON
Sat 12/5 Troy at South Alabama-4.553.5W 29 - 0UY
Sat 12/12 Troy vs Coastal Carolina+13.551.5L 38 - 42OY
Thu 12/17 Troy vs UL Monroe-13.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
App State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 App State vs Charlotte-17.059.0W 35 - 20UN
Sat 9/19 App State at Marshall-6.060.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 9/26 App State vs Campbell-33.554.0W 52 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/22 App State vs Arkansas State-14.069.5W 45 - 17UY
Sat 10/31 App State at UL Monroe-31.5
Sat 11/7 App State at Texas State-21.558.0W 38 - 17UN
Sat 11/14 App State vs Georgia State-18.063.0W 17 - 13UN
Sat 11/21 App State at Coastal Carolina+3.048.5L 23 - 34ON
Sat 11/28 App State vs Troy-14.050.5W 47 - 10OY
Fri 12/4 App State vs Louisiana-3.051.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 12/12 App State at Georgia Southern-9.045.0W 34 - 26ON
Mon 12/21 App State vs North Texas-21.567.5W 56 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.2648%23.547%3.0514348%3133.86.2346%23.943%46%4.0449.81.51.7
APP.2744%24.242%2.9923144%2014.66.0937%29.836%36%3.3264.30.62.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1223.523.448.2%3.861.5254561433134.339%59%47%48%19%.26
APP Defense1429.826.737.2%3.322.1 - - - - - 47%51%36%36%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1223.925.945.5%4.041.7 - - - - - 48%50%43%46%17%.23
APP Offense1424.22743.7%4.660.6214332312015.458%41%42%44%17%.27

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1228:4724.647%57%5.349.81.51.77.33.8328.3
App State1430:382144%88%6.864.30.62.16.73.3631.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1239%47%33.5143.14.319.183.0570%10%0.98
APP Defense1447%36% - - - - .042.4168%12%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1248%43% - - - - .162.9670%12%1.08
APP Offense1458%42%42.8231.45.435.212.9979%10%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1259%48%26.340.9313.27.711.93011.341.526%40%.449%1.8
APP Defense1451%36% - - - - - - 14.131.736%32%.318%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1250%46% - - - - - - 11.331.631%34%.365%1.9
APP Offense1441%44%16.426.4201.17.612.2306.351.733%36%.57%2.1

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2020 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1  #71
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #71
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #67

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    App State: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -0.1   App State: 10.3




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2020 Expected Record: -
App State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #29
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #39
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #33

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 26
App State 25

Projected Total Points: 51
App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2020 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/02Troy49App State23Troy -6.5Troy51.5Over
202209/17App State32Troy28Appalachian State -14Troy52.0Over
202111/20Troy7App State45Appalachian State -10App State51.0Over
202011/28App State47Troy10Appalachian State -14App State50.5Over
201911/29Troy13App State48Appalachian State -11App State64.0Under
201811/24App State21Troy10Appalachian State -12Troy45.0Under
201611/12Troy28App State24Troy -1.5Troy49.0Over
201510/31App State44Troy41Appalachian State -24Troy55.0Over
201410/18Troy14App State53Troy -6App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State746 Overs
Troy252 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 33 - 63 - 40 - 2
Road Teams3 - 66 - 32 - 04 - 3

(#) TROY at (#) APP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYAPP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #111 #101
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffAPP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffAPP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffAPP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCatAPP OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
App State Pass Game
CategoryCatAPP OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'20 Profile: Remains Average P4

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
App State -14.0 (50.5)
App State won vs Troy this year (47-10)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat App State in 2023 (49-23)

  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

APP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD