Wake Forest at North Carolina - 2020 Matchup Preview
Wake Forest logo   Wake Forest Demon Deacons at North Carolina Tar Heels  North Carolina logo
Saturday, November 14th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
North Carolina -13 (70.5)
North Carolina 59 - Wake Forest: 53  (ACC)

 
Demon Deacons (4 - 5) (6 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (25 - 27 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WAKE coming off BYE
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ UNC -19)
Projected Score: WAKE: 26 - UNC: 23 (49)
UNC Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
WAKE Travel: 69 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 4) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wake Forest's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Wake Forest vs Clemson+34.558.5L 13 - 37UY
Sat 9/19 Wake Forest at NC State-2.054.0L 42 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/2 Wake Forest vs Campbell-34.568.5W 66 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Wake Forest vs Virginia-2.557.5W 40 - 23OY
Sat 10/24 Wake Forest vs Virginia Tech+10.569.0W 23 - 16UY
Sat 10/31 Wake Forest at Syracuse-11.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Wake Forest at North Carolina+13.070.5L 53 - 59OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Wake Forest at Louisville+1.562.5L 21 - 45ON
Wed 12/30 Wake Forest vs Wisconsin+7.051.5L 28 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
North Carolina's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 North Carolina vs Syracuse-24.567.0W 31 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 North Carolina at Boston College-14.552.5W 26 - 22UN
Sat 10/10 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-3.559.0W 56 - 45OY
Sat 10/17 North Carolina at Florida State-13.565.0L 28 - 31UN
Sat 10/24 North Carolina vs NC State-15.062.0W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/31 North Carolina at Virginia-7.0
Sat 11/7 North Carolina at Duke-11.563.0W 56 - 24OY
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-13.070.5W 59 - 53ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 North Carolina vs Notre Dame+4.569.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 12/5 North Carolina vs Western Carolina-48.569.5W 49 - 9UN
Sat 12/12 North Carolina at Miami+3.072.5W 62 - 26OY
Sat 1/2 North Carolina vs Texas A&M+7.067.5L 27 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE.1844%28.139%2.9217646%2883.91.1742%22.139%43%3.735.41.32.2
UNC.2446%19.343%2.9818846%2864.1242%24.539%42%3.0753.90.92
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Offense1328.124.843.6%3.911.3244641762883.951%47%39%46%18%.18
UNC Defense1324.52641.6%3.072 - - - - - 49%49%39%42%21%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Defense1322.127.442.3%3.72.2 - - - - - 50%48%39%43%20%.17
UNC Offense1319.32145.6%40.9244741882864.649%49%43%46%20%.24

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wake Forest1330:1623.647%41%4.435.41.32.27.22.8028.5
North Carolina1330:1924.241%65%6.253.90.928.12.9127.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense1351%39%45.1175.53.918.052.9273%9%0.9
UNC Defense1349%39% - - - - .042.8574%14%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense1350%39% - - - - .052.764%12%0.97
UNC Offense1349%43%40.6188.24.613.132.9872%14%1

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense1347%46%21.736.1288.3813.33113.371.632%38%.369%1.6
UNC Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 14.211.634%31%.247%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense1348%43% - - - - - - 14.31.632%33%.347%1.8
UNC Offense1349%46%20.433.2285.88.614397.391.733%38%.446%1.9

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wake Forest's 2020 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3  #82
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #76
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #77

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest:    North Carolina: 11.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -2.3   North Carolina: 17.1




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 11.05 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2020 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.1  #12
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #6
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wake Forest's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Wake Forest 26
North Carolina 23

Projected Total Points: 49
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Wake Forest28North Carolina12Wake Forest -3.5Wake Forest37.5Over
202411/16North Carolina31Wake Forest24North Carolina -10.5Wake Forest64.5Under
202211/12Wake Forest34North Carolina36Wake Forest -4.5North Carolina79.0Under
202111/06North Carolina58Wake Forest55North Carolina -2.5North Carolina78.0Over
202011/14North Carolina59Wake Forest53North Carolina -13Wake Forest70.5Over
201909/13Wake Forest24North Carolina18Wake Forest -3Wake Forest65.0Under
201510/17North Carolina50Wake Forest14North Carolina -14North Carolina53.5Over
201209/08Wake Forest28North Carolina27
201110/29North Carolina49Wake Forest24
200710/27Wake Forest37North Carolina10
200610/28North Carolina17Wake Forest24
200411/13Wake Forest24North Carolina31
200311/08North Carolina42Wake Forest34
200210/26Wake Forest31North Carolina0
200111/10North Carolina31Wake Forest32
200009/08Wake Forest14North Carolina35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina934 Overs
Wake Forest743 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 54 - 34 - 30 - 0
Road Teams5 - 113 - 40 - 03 - 4

(#) WAKE at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWAKEUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #12
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #66 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Wake Forest on Offense
CategoryCat
WAKE OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #76 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wake Forest Run Game
CategoryCat
WAKE OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Wake Forest Pass Game
CategoryCat
WAKE OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffWAKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #77
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffWAKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffWAKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'20 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 61°
Rematch from Week 11
North Carolina -13.0 (70.5)
North Carolina won vs Wake Forest this year (59-53)

Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat North Carolina last year (28-12)
North Carolina beat Wake Forest in 2024 (31-24)

  
WAKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD