Massachusetts at Liberty - 2020 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo   Massachusetts Minutemen at Liberty Flames  Liberty logo
Friday, November 27th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
Liberty -35 (57.5)
Liberty 45 - Massachusetts: 0

 
Minutemen (0 - 4) (2 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -22.5  (SP+ LIB -40)
Projected Score: UMASS: 19 - LIB: 35 (54)
LIB Win prob: 99% | Cover: 47%
UMASS Travel: 494 miles
Flames (10 - 1) (9 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Massachusetts at Georgia Southern+31.062.0L 0 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Massachusetts at Marshall+44.556.0L 10 - 51OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/20 Massachusetts at Florida Atlantic+33.550.5L 2 - 24UY
Fri 11/27 Massachusetts at Liberty+35.057.5L 0 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Liberty's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Liberty at Western Kentucky+15.552.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 9/26 Liberty vs Florida International-10.061.0W 36 - 34ON
Sat 10/3 Liberty vs North Alabama-33.065.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/10 Liberty vs UL Monroe-17.063.5W 40 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Liberty at Syracuse-3.055.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/24 Liberty vs Southern Miss-14.059.5W 56 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Liberty at Virginia Tech+16.567.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/14 Liberty vs Western Carolina-39.063.0W 58 - 14OY
Sat 11/21 Liberty at NC State+4.066.5L 14 - 15UY
Fri 11/27 Liberty vs Massachusetts-35.057.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 12/26 Liberty vs Coastal Carolina+6.560.0W 37 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS.0335%11.136%2.5212532%1693.15.4654%38.652%56%5.0859.81.72.2
LIB.2747%25.648%3.0415045%2894.06.1843%26.543%42%3.4661.61.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.19.334.7%3.151.7162931251693.548%51%36%32%27%.03
LIB Defense1326.527.343.4%3.461.7 - - - - - 54%44%43%42%20%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1238.642.554.4%5.082.2 - - - - - 54%45%52%56%13%.46
LIB Offense1325.631.547.4%4.061.2224391502894.544%55%48%45%18%.27

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1226:0415.834%38%6.859.81.72.24.91.1231.4
Liberty1327:5222.240%31%6.861.61.21.78.73.5226.7
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1248%36%35.8124.63.514.082.5256%17%1.17
LIB Defense1354%43% - - - - .113.0467%13%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1254%52% - - - - .383.5580%9%1.17
LIB Offense1344%48%33.5150.54.525.133.0478%10%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1251%32%18.232.7168.55.29.31516-.011.538%23%.1210%2.1
LIB Defense1344%42% - - - - - - 12.281.734%38%.396%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1245%56% - - - - - - 10.591.625%47%.745%1.9
LIB Offense1355%45%19.834.8288.98.314.6298.391.630%32%.318%1.9

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Massachusetts's 2020 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -34.3  #130
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6  #129
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 46.5  #130

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts:    Liberty: 5.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -34.3   Liberty: 5.6




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 5.3 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2020 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6  #44
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #34
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #62

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2020 Record
Record: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 35
Massachusetts 19

Projected Total Points: 54
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Liberty's 2020 Record
Record: 10 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Massachusetts34Liberty35Liberty -17Massachusetts53.0Over
202311/18Liberty49Massachusetts25Liberty -26.5Massachusetts64.5Over
202210/08Massachusetts24Liberty42Liberty -22.5Massachusetts45.5Over
202110/30Liberty62Massachusetts17Liberty -35.5Liberty56.0Over
202011/27Liberty45Massachusetts0Liberty -35Liberty57.5Under
201911/02Massachusetts21Liberty63Liberty -23.5Liberty72.0Over
201811/03Massachusetts62Liberty59Liberty -1.5Massachusetts66.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty636 Overs
Massachusetts141 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 35 - 22 - 13 - 1
Road Teams3 - 42 - 51 - 31 - 2

(#) UMASS at (#) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSLIB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #44
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #122 #127
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCat
UMASS OffLIB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #129 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCatLIB OffUMASS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #130
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCatLIB OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'20 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Liberty -35.0 (57.5)
Liberty won vs Massachusetts this year (45-0)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2024 (35-34)
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2023 (49-25)

  
UMASS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD