Southern Miss at Liberty - 2020 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Liberty Flames

Saturday, October 24th 2020 (1:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -14 (59.5)
Liberty 56 - Southern Miss: 35

Golden Eagles (3 - 7) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM coming off BYE
LIB is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ LIB -14)
Projected Score: USM: 28 - LIB: 28 (56)
LIB Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
USM Travel: 713 miles, 1 hrs behind

Flames (10 - 1) (9 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
LIB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Southern Miss vs South Alabama	-12.5	55.0	L 21 - 32	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	59.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/26	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+3.5	54.5	L 24 - 66	O	N
Sat 10/3	Southern Miss at North Texas	+1.0	74.0	W 41 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Southern Miss at Liberty	+14.0	59.5	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/31	Southern Miss vs Rice	-3.0
Sat 11/7	Southern Miss vs North Alabama	-17.5	51.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/14	Southern Miss at Western Kentucky	+8.0	45.0	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Southern Miss vs UTSA	+9.5	52.5	L 20 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 12/10	Southern Miss vs Florida Atlantic	+9.0	43.0	W 45 - 31	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Liberty's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Liberty at Western Kentucky	+15.5	52.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Liberty vs Florida International	-10.0	61.0	W 36 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/3	Liberty vs North Alabama	-33.0	65.0	W 28 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/10	Liberty vs UL Monroe	-17.0	63.5	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/17	Liberty at Syracuse	-3.0	55.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Liberty vs Southern Miss	-14.0	59.5	W 56 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Liberty at Virginia Tech	+16.5	67.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/14	Liberty vs Western Carolina	-39.0	63.0	W 58 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/21	Liberty at NC State	+4.0	66.5	L 14 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/27	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-35.0	57.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/26	Liberty vs Coastal Carolina	+6.5	60.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.15	40%	28.8	34%	2.39	117	44%	290	3	.16	40%	27.4	39%	40%	3.38	55.1	2	1.3
LIB	.27	47%	25.6	48%	3.04	150	45%	289	4.06	.18	43%	26.5	43%	42%	3.46	61.6	1.2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	13	28.8	28.4	40.3%	3	2	19	407	117	290	3.5	45%	52%	34%	44%	22%	.15
LIB Defense	13	26.5	27.3	43.4%	3.46	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	43%	42%	20%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	13	27.4	27.6	39.8%	3.38	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	39%	40%	21%	.16
LIB Offense	13	25.6	31.5	47.4%	4.06	1.2	22	439	150	289	4.5	44%	55%	48%	45%	18%	.27

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	13	31:21	18.9	39%	47%	6.2	55.1	2	1.3	8.5	4.2	5	27.2
Liberty	13	27:52	22.2	40%	31%	6.8	61.6	1.2	1.7	8.7	3.5	2	26.7

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	13	45%	34%	33.4	117.5	3.5	17	-.07	2.39	62%	14%	0.91
LIB Defense	13	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.04	67%	13%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.86	76%	15%	0.87
LIB Offense	13	44%	48%	33.5	150.5	4.5	25	.13	3.04	78%	10%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	13	52%	44%	22.4	33.7	289.5	8.6	12.9	20	17	.36	1.8	35%	35%	.41	7%	2.1
LIB Defense	13	44%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.7	34%	38%	.39	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	13	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.9	36%	30%	.2	6%	1.8
LIB Offense	13	55%	45%	19.8	34.8	288.9	8.3	14.6	29	8	.39	1.6	30%	32%	.31	8%	1.9

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2020 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9 #98
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #97
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: Liberty: 5.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -7.9 Liberty: 5.6

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 5.3 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2020 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #34
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #62

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 28
Liberty 28

Projected Total Points: 56

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Liberty's 2020 Record
Record: 10 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/03	Southern Miss	27	Liberty	29	Liberty -3.5	Southern Miss	50.0	Over
2020	10/24	Liberty	56	Southern Miss	35	Liberty -14	Liberty	59.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Liberty	2	1	2 Overs
Southern Miss	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) USM at (#) LIB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	LIB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#44
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#91	#127
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

Liberty Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	LIB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Liberty -14.0 (59.5)
Liberty won vs Southern Miss this year (56-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LIB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD