Troy at Middle Tennessee - 2020 Matchup Preview
Troy logo   Troy Trojans at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders  Middle Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 19th 2020 (3:30 PM EDT)
Troy -6.5 (70.5)
Troy 47 - Middle Tennessee: 14

 
Trojans (5 - 6) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ TROY -11.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 28 - MTSU: 24 (52)
TROY Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
TROY Travel: 281 miles
Blue Raiders (3 - 6) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (24 - 33 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Troy at Middle Tennessee-6.570.5W 47 - 14UY
Sat 9/26 Troy at BYU+14.558.5L 7 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Troy vs Texas State-7.059.0W 37 - 17UY
Sat 10/17 Troy vs Eastern Kentucky-30.060.0W 31 - 29UN
Sat 10/24 Troy vs Georgia State-1.568.5L 34 - 36ON
Sat 10/31 Troy at Arkansas State+3.5
Sat 11/7 Troy at Georgia Southern-2.551.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Troy vs Middle Tennessee-11.560.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/28 Troy at App State+14.050.5L 10 - 47ON
Sat 12/5 Troy at South Alabama-4.553.5W 29 - 0UY
Sat 12/12 Troy vs Coastal Carolina+13.551.5L 38 - 42OY
Thu 12/17 Troy vs UL Monroe-13.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Middle Tennessee at Army+3.553.0L 0 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Middle Tennessee vs Troy+6.570.5L 14 - 47UN
Fri 9/25 Middle Tennessee at UTSA+6.059.0L 35 - 37OY
Sat 10/3 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+7.052.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/10 Middle Tennessee at Florida International+7.057.0W 31 - 28OY
Sat 10/17 Middle Tennessee vs North Texas-3.570.5L 35 - 52ON
Sat 10/24 Middle Tennessee at Rice+4.048.0W 40 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Middle Tennessee at Marshall+23.555.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/21 Middle Tennessee at Troy+11.560.5W 20 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.2648%23.547%3.0514348%3133.86.2346%23.943%46%4.0449.81.51.7
MTSU.2344%22.445%3.0717441%2353.61.247%30.947%44%3.6742.61.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1223.523.448.2%3.861.5254561433134.339%59%47%48%19%.26
MTSU Defense1230.932.547.2%3.672.1 - - - - - 49%48%47%44%20%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1223.925.945.5%4.041.7 - - - - - 48%50%43%46%17%.23
MTSU Offense1222.42444%3.611.2214081742355.150%49%45%41%20%.23

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1228:4724.647%57%5.349.81.51.77.33.8328.3
Middle Tennessee1226:4520.635%53%4.842.61.22.18.41.3126.5
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1239%47%33.5143.14.319.183.0570%10%0.98
MTSU Defense1249%47% - - - - .143.0465%13%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1248%43% - - - - .162.9670%12%1.08
MTSU Offense1250%45%33.8173.85.118.153.0774%12%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1259%48%26.340.9313.27.711.93011.341.526%40%.449%1.8
MTSU Defense1248%44% - - - - - - 8.291.529%33%.197%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1250%46% - - - - - - 11.331.631%34%.365%1.9
MTSU Offense1249%41%18.830.4234.67.712.5229.331.731%35%.349%1.7

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2020 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1  #71
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #71
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #67

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Middle Tennessee: -3.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -0.1   Middle Tennessee: -11.7




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -3.35 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2020 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7  #108
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #95
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 28
Middle Tennessee 24

Projected Total Points: 52
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.5

Middle Tennessee's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 4
Record at home: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202009/19Middle Tennessee14Troy47Troy -6.5Troy70.5Under
202011/21Troy17Middle Tennessee20Troy -11.5Middle Tennessee60.5Under
201211/24Middle Tennessee24Troy21
201109/24Troy38Middle Tennessee35
201010/05Middle Tennessee13Troy42
200910/06Troy31Middle Tennessee7
200808/28Middle Tennessee17Troy31
200711/20Troy45Middle Tennessee7
200611/25Middle Tennessee20Troy21
200511/26Troy7Middle Tennessee17
200411/20Troy37Middle Tennessee17
200311/08Middle Tennessee27Troy20
200109/08Middle Tennessee54Troy17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee510 Overs
Troy812 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 60 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams6 - 72 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#) TROY at (#) MTSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYMTSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #108
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #111 #90
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffMTSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatMTSU OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatMTSU OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Troy -11.5 (60.5)
Middle Tennessee won vs Troy this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TROY's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MTSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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MTSU's DC ()
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