Middle Tennessee at Troy - 2020 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Saturday, November 21st 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Troy -11.5 (60.5)
Middle Tennessee 20 - Troy: 17

 
Blue Raiders (3 - 6) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 35 (23 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU 3rd straight Road Game
TROY coming off BYE
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ TROY -12)
Projected Score: MTSU: 27 - TROY: 33 (60)
TROY Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MTSU Travel: 281 miles
Trojans (5 - 6) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (31 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Middle Tennessee at Army+3.553.0L 0 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Middle Tennessee vs Troy+6.570.5L 14 - 47UN
Fri 9/25 Middle Tennessee at UTSA+6.059.0L 35 - 37OY
Sat 10/3 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+7.052.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/10 Middle Tennessee at Florida International+7.057.0W 31 - 28OY
Sat 10/17 Middle Tennessee vs North Texas-3.570.5L 35 - 52ON
Sat 10/24 Middle Tennessee at Rice+4.048.0W 40 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Middle Tennessee at Marshall+23.555.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/21 Middle Tennessee at Troy+11.560.5W 20 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Troy's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Troy at Middle Tennessee-6.570.5W 47 - 14UY
Sat 9/26 Troy at BYU+14.558.5L 7 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Troy vs Texas State-7.059.0W 37 - 17UY
Sat 10/17 Troy vs Eastern Kentucky-30.060.0W 31 - 29UN
Sat 10/24 Troy vs Georgia State-1.568.5L 34 - 36ON
Sat 10/31 Troy at Arkansas State+3.5
Sat 11/7 Troy at Georgia Southern-2.551.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Troy vs Middle Tennessee-11.560.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/28 Troy at App State+14.050.5L 10 - 47ON
Sat 12/5 Troy at South Alabama-4.553.5W 29 - 0UY
Sat 12/12 Troy vs Coastal Carolina+13.551.5L 38 - 42OY
Thu 12/17 Troy vs UL Monroe-13.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.1442%22.940%2.6313443%2303.58.2545%35.447%43%4.5452.21.81.6
TROY.1844%27.442%2.8510346%2903.33.1443%25.743%44%3.4950.21.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense922.923.341.6%3.581.8203641342303.747%52%40%43%17%.14
TROY Defense1125.728.843.3%3.491.3 - - - - - 53%47%43%44%15%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense935.433.345.2%4.541.6 - - - - - 51%49%47%43%13%.25
TROY Offense1127.431.444.3%3.331.6223931032903.436%64%42%46%16%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee929:192042%50%5.752.21.81.652.1028.6
Troy1126:4921.846%59%550.21.61.362229.4
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense947%40%35.9133.63.711.022.6364%11%0.98
TROY Defense1153%43% - - - - .072.870%10%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense951%47% - - - - .233.2583%8%1.02
TROY Offense1136%42%29.8102.63.411.072.8563%9%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense952%43%22.834.6230.46.710.11310.251.433%35%.426%2.1
TROY Defense1147%44% - - - - - - 8.221.530%32%.245%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense949%43% - - - - - - 8.271.630%36%.395%2.1
TROY Offense1164%46%27.241.5290.2710.72213.241.430%37%.427%2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2020 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7  #108
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #95
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Troy: 2.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -11.7   Troy: -0.1




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 2.45 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2020 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1  #71
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #71
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #67

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 35.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.3

Middle Tennessee's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 33
Middle Tennessee 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 34
Middle Tennessee 29

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Troy 32
Middle Tennessee 25

Total Points: 57
Troy Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.4
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Troy's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202009/19Middle Tennessee14Troy47Troy -6.5Troy70.5Under
202011/21Troy17Middle Tennessee20Troy -11.5Middle Tennessee60.5Under
201211/24Middle Tennessee24Troy21
201109/24Troy38Middle Tennessee35
201010/05Middle Tennessee13Troy42
200910/06Troy31Middle Tennessee7
200808/28Middle Tennessee17Troy31
200711/20Troy45Middle Tennessee7
200611/25Middle Tennessee20Troy21
200511/26Troy7Middle Tennessee17
200411/20Troy37Middle Tennessee17
200311/08Middle Tennessee27Troy20
200109/08Middle Tennessee54Troy17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy810 Overs
Middle Tennessee512 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 60 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams6 - 72 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #71
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #90 #111
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Troy -11.5 (60.5)
Middle Tennessee won at Troy this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTSU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MTSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
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