Southern Miss at North Texas - 2020 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at North Texas Mean Green

Saturday, October 3rd 2020 (7:30 PM EDT)
North Texas -1 (74.0)
Southern Miss 41 - North Texas: 31 (Conference USA)

Golden Eagles (3 - 7) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNT coming off BYE
Our Line: -0 (SP+ USM -5)
Projected Score: USM: 27 - UNT: 36 (63)
UNT Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
USM Travel: 475 miles

Mean Green (4 - 6) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
UNT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Southern Miss vs South Alabama	-12.5	55.0	L 21 - 32	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	59.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/26	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+3.5	54.5	L 24 - 66	O	N
Sat 10/3	Southern Miss at North Texas	+1.0	74.0	W 41 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Southern Miss at Liberty	+14.0	59.5	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/31	Southern Miss vs Rice	-3.0
Sat 11/7	Southern Miss vs North Alabama	-17.5	51.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/14	Southern Miss at Western Kentucky	+8.0	45.0	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Southern Miss vs UTSA	+9.5	52.5	L 20 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 12/10	Southern Miss vs Florida Atlantic	+9.0	43.0	W 45 - 31	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

North Texas's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	North Texas vs Houston Christian	-23.0	74.5	W 57 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	North Texas vs SMU	+15.0	71.5	L 35 - 65	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	North Texas vs Southern Miss	-1.0	74.0	L 31 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/10	North Texas vs Charlotte	+3.0	66.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/17	North Texas at Middle Tennessee	+3.5	70.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	North Texas vs Rice	-2.5	65.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/28	North Texas at UTSA	+1.5	67.0	L 17 - 49	U	N
Thu 12/3	North Texas vs Louisiana Tech	+1.0	64.5	L 31 - 42	O	N
Fri 12/11	North Texas at UTEP	-10.0	67.0	W 45 - 43	O	N
Mon 12/21	North Texas vs App State	+21.5	67.5	L 28 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.15	40%	28.8	34%	2.39	117	44%	290	3	.16	40%	27.4	39%	40%	3.38	55.1	2	1.3
UNT	.15	42%	45.1	39%	2.65	136	43%	283	3.45	.21	43%	26.5	41%	42%	3.91	56	1.6	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	13	28.8	28.4	40.3%	3	2	19	407	117	290	3.5	45%	52%	34%	44%	22%	.15
UNT Defense	12	26.5	22	42.8%	3.91	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	41%	42%	18%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	13	27.4	27.6	39.8%	3.38	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	39%	40%	21%	.16
UNT Offense	12	45.1	45.7	42.3%	3.45	1.6	21	419	136	283	4.1	42%	56%	39%	43%	22%	.15

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	13	31:21	18.9	39%	47%	6.2	55.1	2	1.3	8.5	4.2	5	27.2
North Texas	12	28:08	21	37%	56%	5.3	56	1.6	1.4	7.1	3.7	2	32.1

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	13	45%	34%	33.4	117.5	3.5	17	-.07	2.39	62%	14%	0.91
UNT Defense	12	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.94	77%	12%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.86	76%	15%	0.87
UNT Offense	12	42%	39%	33	135.5	4.1	11	-.02	2.65	60%	14%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	13	52%	44%	22.4	33.7	289.5	8.6	12.9	20	17	.36	1.8	35%	35%	.41	7%	2.1
UNT Defense	12	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.26	1.6	34%	35%	.26	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	13	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.9	36%	30%	.2	6%	1.8
UNT Offense	12	56%	43%	23.6	37.8	283.3	7.5	12	33	12	.3	1.6	34%	32%	.29	8%	1.9

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2020 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9 #98
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #97
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: North Texas: -3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -7.9 North Texas: -12.7

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.85 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2020 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #110
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #82
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.1 #122

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 36
Southern Miss 27

Projected Total Points: 63

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	11/06	Southern Miss	14	North Texas	38	North Texas -5.5	North Texas	49.0	Over
2020	10/03	North Texas	31	Southern Miss	41	North Texas -1	Southern Miss	74.0	Under
2019	10/12	Southern Miss	45	North Texas	27	Southern Mississippi -3	Southern Miss	58.5	Over
2018	10/13	North Texas	30	Southern Miss	7	North Texas -7	North Texas	52.5	Under
2017	09/30	Southern Miss	28	North Texas	43	Southern Mississippi -8	North Texas	56.5	Over
2016	11/19	North Texas	29	Southern Miss	23	Southern Mississippi -5.5	North Texas	58.5	Under
2015	10/03	Southern Miss	49	North Texas	14	Southern Mississippi -13.5	Southern Miss	66.5	Under
2014	10/18	North Texas	20	Southern Miss	30	North Texas -10.5	Southern Miss	0
2013	10/26	Southern Miss	14	North Texas	55	North Texas -9.5	North Texas	0
2004	12/14	North Texas	10	Southern Miss	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Texas	5	5	3 Overs
Southern Miss	5	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	4 - 5	3 - 3	1 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 4	5 - 4	2 - 1	3 - 3

(#) USM at (#) UNT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	UNT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#110
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#91	#88
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

North Texas Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	UNT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#122
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
North Texas -1.0 (74.0)
Southern Miss won at North Texas this year (41-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD