North Texas at Middle Tennessee - 2020 Matchup Preview

North Texas Mean Green at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, October 17th 2020 (5:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -3.5 (70.5)
North Texas 52 - Middle Tennessee: 35 (Conference USA)

Mean Green (4 - 6) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 43 (38 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MTSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ MTSU -1)
Projected Score: UNT: 30 - MTSU: 28 (58)
MTSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNT Travel: 641 miles

Blue Raiders (3 - 6) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 35 (22 - 40 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	North Texas vs Houston Christian	-23.0	74.5	W 57 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	North Texas vs SMU	+15.0	71.5	L 35 - 65	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	North Texas vs Southern Miss	-1.0	74.0	L 31 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/10	North Texas vs Charlotte	+3.0	66.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/17	North Texas at Middle Tennessee	+3.5	70.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	North Texas vs Rice	-2.5	65.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/28	North Texas at UTSA	+1.5	67.0	L 17 - 49	U	N
Thu 12/3	North Texas vs Louisiana Tech	+1.0	64.5	L 31 - 42	O	N
Fri 12/11	North Texas at UTEP	-10.0	67.0	W 45 - 43	O	N
Mon 12/21	North Texas vs App State	+21.5	67.5	L 28 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Middle Tennessee at Army	+3.5	53.0	L 0 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Middle Tennessee vs Troy	+6.5	70.5	L 14 - 47	U	N
Fri 9/25	Middle Tennessee at UTSA	+6.0	59.0	L 35 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/3	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+7.0	52.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	+7.0	57.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/17	Middle Tennessee vs North Texas	-3.5	70.5	L 35 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/24	Middle Tennessee at Rice	+4.0	48.0	W 40 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	Middle Tennessee at Marshall	+23.5	55.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/21	Middle Tennessee at Troy	+11.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.29	46%	34.4	49%	3.27	230	42%	283	4.03	.33	47%	42.8	48%	44%	4.67	53.6	1.5	0.9
MTSU	.14	42%	22.9	40%	2.63	134	43%	230	3.58	.25	45%	35.4	47%	43%	4.54	52.2	1.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	10	34.4	38	46.1%	4.03	1.5	25	513	230	283	5.2	54%	46%	49%	42%	12%	.29
MTSU Defense	9	35.4	39.7	45.2%	4.54	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	47%	43%	13%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	10	42.8	42.3	46.6%	4.67	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	48%	44%	13%	.33
MTSU Offense	9	22.9	22	41.6%	3.58	1.8	20	364	134	230	3.7	47%	52%	40%	43%	17%	.14

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	10	25:00	24.8	47%	46%	6.8	53.6	1.5	0.9	5.1	2.2	0	28.3
Middle Tennessee	9	29:19	20	42%	50%	5.7	52.2	1.8	1.6	5	2.1	0	28.6

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	10	54%	49%	44.3	230.2	5.2	18	.21	3.27	70%	6%	0.99
MTSU Defense	9	51%	47%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.25	83%	8%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	10	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.42	80%	8%	1.19
MTSU Offense	9	47%	40%	35.9	133.6	3.7	11	.02	2.63	64%	11%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	10	46%	42%	18.5	33.6	283	8.4	15.3	28	9	.38	1.9	31%	37%	.49	6%	2.2
MTSU Defense	9	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.27	1.6	30%	36%	.39	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	10	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.34	1.6	29%	32%	.43	4%	2.2
MTSU Offense	9	52%	43%	22.8	34.6	230.4	6.7	10.1	13	10	.25	1.4	33%	35%	.42	6%	2.1

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2020 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #110
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #82
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.1 #122

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: Middle Tennessee: -3.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -12.7 Middle Tennessee: -11.7

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -3.35 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2020 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #108
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #95
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 42.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.3

North Texas's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 30
Middle Tennessee 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
North Texas 24
Middle Tennessee 23

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
North Texas 37
Middle Tennessee 33

Total Points: 70

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 22
Defense: 35.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 39.7

Middle Tennessee's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 4
Record at home: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2020	10/17	Middle Tennessee	35	North Texas	52	Middle Tennessee -3.5	North Texas	70.5	Over
2019	10/19	North Texas	33	Middle Tennessee	30	North Texas -7	Middle Tennessee	59.5	Over
2016	10/01	North Texas	13	Middle Tennessee	30	Middle Tennessee -16	Middle Tennessee	65.0	Under
2015	11/21	Middle Tennessee	41	North Texas	7	Middle Tennessee -24	Middle Tennessee	63.0	Under
2013	10/12	North Texas	34	Middle Tennessee	7	North Texas -4.5	North Texas	0
2012	10/27	Middle Tennessee	38	North Texas	21
2011	12/03	North Texas	59	Middle Tennessee	7
2010	11/13	Middle Tennessee	17	North Texas	23
2009	09/26	North Texas	21	Middle Tennessee	37
2008	11/22	Middle Tennessee	52	North Texas	13
2007	10/27	North Texas	28	Middle Tennessee	48
2006	09/30	North Texas	0	Middle Tennessee	35
2005	09/10	Middle Tennessee	7	North Texas	14
2004	10/02	North Texas	30	Middle Tennessee	21
2003	10/25	Middle Tennessee	28	North Texas	33
2001	10/13	North Texas	24	Middle Tennessee	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	7	3	2 Overs
North Texas	9	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 8	2 - 3	2 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 8	3 - 2	1 - 0	2 - 2

(#) UNT at (#) MTSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	MTSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#108
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#88	#90
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Texas Injury Report

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	MTSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UNT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#122
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 66°

Rematch from Week 7
Middle Tennessee -3.5 (70.5)
North Texas won at Middle Tennessee this year (52-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UNT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MTSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD