App State at Troy - 2019 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 29th 2019 (6:00 PM EST)
Appalachian State -11 (64.0)
App State 48 - Troy: 13 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TROY is playing their 7th straight game
APP is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ APP -15.5)
Projected Score: APP: 23 - TROY: 29 (52)
APP Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 391 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
TROY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	App State vs East Tennessee State	-33.0	51.5	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	App State vs Charlotte	-23.0	54.0	W 56 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	App State at North Carolina	+1.5	58.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/28	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-14.5	58.0	W 56 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9	App State at Louisiana	+2.5	69.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/19	App State vs UL Monroe	-16.5	65.5	W 52 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	App State at South Alabama	-27.5	51.0	W 30 - 3	U	N
Thu 10/31	App State vs Georgia Southern	-15.0	44.5	L 21 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/9	App State at South Carolina	+6.5	51.0	W 20 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/16	App State at Georgia State	-15.0	61.0	W 56 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/23	App State vs Texas State	-28.0	51.0	W 35 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/29	App State at Troy	-11.0	64.0	W 48 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/7	App State vs Louisiana	-6.0	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 12/21	App State vs UAB	-17.5	48.0	W 31 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Troy's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Troy vs Campbell	-35.5	49.0	W 43 - 14	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Troy vs Southern Miss	-3.0	49.0	L 42 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/21	Troy at Akron	-18.5	57.0	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Troy vs Arkansas State	-7.0	59.5	L 43 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/5	Troy at Missouri	+25.5	65.0	L 10 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16	Troy vs South Alabama	-17.5	55.5	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Troy at Georgia State	-1.0	67.0	L 33 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/2	Troy at Coastal Carolina	-2.0	60.5	L 35 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/9	Troy vs Georgia Southern	+2.5	57.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Troy at Texas State	-7.0	65.0	W 63 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Troy at Louisiana	+13.0	74.5	L 3 - 53	U	N
Fri 11/29	Troy vs App State	+11.0	64.0	L 13 - 48	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.25	43%	24.2	40%	2.92	240	46%	191	4.13		37%	29.8	36%	34%	2.55	57.5	1.3	1.8
TROY	.18	42%	23.5	38%	2.71	175	42%	215	3.56	.12	41%	23.9	40%	41%	3.45	55.9	1.6	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	13	24.2	21.6	43.5%	4.13	1.3	20	430	240	191	5.8	59%	40%	40%	46%	14%	.25
TROY Defense	13	23.9	22.8	40.9%	3.45	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	40%	41%	20%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	13	29.8	37.4	36.9%	2.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	36%	34%	18%
TROY Offense	13	23.5	25.3	41.6%	3.56	1.6	19	390	175	215	4.7	52%	46%	38%	42%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	13	30:35	20.3	42%	59%	6.2	57.5	1.3	1.8	6.5	2.2	5	31.1
Troy	13	30:02	19.1	38%	48%	7	55.9	1.6	2.3	7.7	3	3	31.7

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	13	59%	40%	41.5	239.8	5.8	31	.2	2.92	75%	8%	1.25
TROY Defense	13	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.58	67%	14%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.8	56%	11%	0.97
TROY Offense	13	52%	38%	37.2	174.5	4.7	21	.12	2.71	79%	10%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	13	40%	46%	15.1	24.5	190.6	7.8	12.6	27	12	.35	1.7	32%	34%	.48	6%	2.2
TROY Defense	13	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.29	1.7	34%	33%	.35	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	13	46%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	-.03	1.4	35%	32%	.17	7%	1.6
TROY Offense	13	46%	42%	19.1	28.7	215.3	7.5	11.3	25	8	.27	1.5	33%	26%	.23	5%	2.1

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2019 Expected Record: -
App State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #27
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: Troy: 0.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 11.3 Troy: -4.4

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 0.3 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2019 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #40
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2019 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 29
App State 23

Projected Total Points: 52

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/02	Troy	49	App State	23	Troy -6.5	Troy	51.5	Over
2022	09/17	App State	32	Troy	28	Appalachian State -14	Troy	52.0	Over
2021	11/20	Troy	7	App State	45	Appalachian State -10	App State	51.0	Over
2020	11/28	App State	47	Troy	10	Appalachian State -14	App State	50.5	Over
2019	11/29	Troy	13	App State	48	Appalachian State -11	App State	64.0	Under
2018	11/24	App State	21	Troy	10	Appalachian State -12	Troy	45.0	Under
2016	11/12	Troy	28	App State	24	Troy -1.5	Troy	49.0	Over
2015	10/31	App State	44	Troy	41	Appalachian State -24	Troy	55.0	Over
2014	10/18	Troy	14	App State	53	Troy -6	App State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	2	5	6 Overs
App State	7	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	3 - 6	3 - 4	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	6 - 3	2 - 0	4 - 3

(#) APP at (#) TROY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	TROY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#84
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#109	#99
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

App State Injury Report

Troy Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	TROY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
App State 11.0 (64.0)
App State won at Troy this year (48-13)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat App State in 2023 (49-23)

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TROY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD