Troy at Missouri - 2019 Matchup Preview
Troy logo   Troy Trojans at Missouri Tigers  Missouri logo
Saturday, October 5th 2019 (4:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -25.5 (65.0)
Missouri 42 - Troy: 10

 
Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIZ coming off BYE
TROY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ MIZ -12)
Projected Score: TROY: 22 - MIZ: 30 (52)
MIZ Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
TROY Travel: 610 miles
Tigers (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Troy vs Campbell-35.549.0W 43 - 14ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Troy vs Southern Miss-3.049.0L 42 - 47ON
Sat 9/21 Troy at Akron-18.557.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/28 Troy vs Arkansas State-7.059.5L 43 - 50ON
Sat 10/5 Troy at Missouri+25.565.0L 10 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16 Troy vs South Alabama-17.555.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/26 Troy at Georgia State-1.067.0L 33 - 52ON
Sat 11/2 Troy at Coastal Carolina-2.060.5L 35 - 36ON
Sat 11/9 Troy vs Georgia Southern+2.557.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Troy at Texas State-7.065.0W 63 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 Troy at Louisiana+13.074.5L 3 - 53UN
Fri 11/29 Troy vs App State+11.064.0L 13 - 48UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Missouri's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Missouri at Wyoming-16.553.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 9/7 Missouri vs West Virginia-13.562.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 9/14 Missouri vs Southeast Missouri State-34.068.5W 50 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Missouri vs South Carolina-9.561.0W 34 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Missouri vs Troy-25.565.0W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/12 Missouri vs Ole Miss-12.055.5W 38 - 27ON
Sat 10/19 Missouri at Vanderbilt-21.056.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Missouri at Kentucky-10.043.5L 7 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Missouri at Georgia+18.548.0L 0 - 27UN
Sat 11/16 Missouri vs Florida+7.051.0L 6 - 23UN
Sat 11/23 Missouri vs Tennessee-3.047.0L 20 - 24UN
Fri 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-15.053.0W 24 - 14UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1842%23.538%2.7117542%2153.56.1241%23.940%41%3.4555.91.62.3
MIZ.2550%30.251%3.0820247%2793.97.1341%18.939%41%3.1261.51.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1323.523.441.6%3.561.6193901752154.752%46%38%42%16%.18
MIZ Defense1318.920.641.2%3.121.2 - - - - - 45%53%39%41%15%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1323.925.940.9%3.452.3 - - - - - 53%46%40%41%20%.12
MIZ Offense1330.239.550%3.971.2254822022794.851%46%51%47%12%.25

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1330:0219.138%48%755.91.62.37.73331.7
Missouri1330:3624.546%53%6.961.51.21.25.82.1130
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1352%38%37.2174.54.721.122.7179%10%1.1
MIZ Defense1345%39% - - - - -.032.6349%10%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1353%40% - - - - -.012.5867%14%0.85
MIZ Offense1351%51%42.5202.44.827.133.0875%6%0.77

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1346%42%19.128.7215.37.511.3258.271.533%26%.235%2.1
MIZ Defense1353%41% - - - - - - 10.281.733%34%.295%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1346%41% - - - - - - 18.291.734%33%.357%1.9
MIZ Offense1346%47%21.634.7279.48.112.9288.431.628%41%.355%1.6

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2019 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #84
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #40
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Missouri: 6.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -4.4   Missouri: 7.8




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 6.4 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2019 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8  #39
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #89
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 30
Troy 22

Projected Total Points: 52
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201910/05Missouri42Troy10Missouri -25.5Missouri65.0Under
200509/17Missouri52Troy21
200409/09Troy24Missouri14
200209/28Missouri44Troy7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri310 Overs
Troy101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) TROY at (#) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #39
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #99 #39
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #40 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCatMIZ OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCatMIZ OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Missouri -25.5 (65.0)
Missouri won vs Troy this year (42-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MIZ's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD