App State at South Alabama - 2019 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at South Alabama Jaguars

Saturday, October 26th 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -27.5 (51.0)
App State 30 - South Alabama: 3 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ APP -31.5)
Projected Score: APP: 26 - USA: 30 (56)
APP Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
APP Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Jaguars (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	App State vs East Tennessee State	-33.0	51.5	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	App State vs Charlotte	-23.0	54.0	W 56 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	App State at North Carolina	+1.5	58.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/28	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-14.5	58.0	W 56 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9	App State at Louisiana	+2.5	69.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/19	App State vs UL Monroe	-16.5	65.5	W 52 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	App State at South Alabama	-27.5	51.0	W 30 - 3	U	N
Thu 10/31	App State vs Georgia Southern	-15.0	44.5	L 21 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/9	App State at South Carolina	+6.5	51.0	W 20 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/16	App State at Georgia State	-15.0	61.0	W 56 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/23	App State vs Texas State	-28.0	51.0	W 35 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/29	App State at Troy	-11.0	64.0	W 48 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/7	App State vs Louisiana	-6.0	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 12/21	App State vs UAB	-17.5	48.0	W 31 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

South Alabama's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	South Alabama at Nebraska	+35.0	65.0	L 21 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/7	South Alabama vs Jackson State	-25.0	47.0	W 37 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/14	South Alabama vs Memphis	+20.5	55.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/21	South Alabama at UAB	+12.5	47.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/28	South Alabama at UL Monroe	+14.5	59.5	L 17 - 30	U	Y
Thu 10/3	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	+10.0	45.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16	South Alabama at Troy	+17.5	55.5	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/26	South Alabama vs App State	+27.5	51.0	L 3 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	South Alabama at Texas State	+7.0	41.0	L 28 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/16	South Alabama vs Louisiana	+27.5	52.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/23	South Alabama at Georgia State	+9.5	57.0	L 15 - 28	U	N
Fri 11/29	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	+10.5	53.0	W 34 - 30	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.25	43%	24.2	40%	2.92	240	46%	191	4.13		37%	29.8	36%	34%	2.55	57.5	1.3	1.8
USA	.11	38%	26.5	37%	2.55	153	37%	203	3.28	.29	48%	30.4	45%	49%	4.66	84.4	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	13	24.2	21.6	43.5%	4.13	1.3	20	430	240	191	5.8	59%	40%	40%	46%	14%	.25
USA Defense	12	30.4	28.8	47.8%	4.66	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	45%	49%	15%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	13	29.8	37.4	36.9%	2.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	36%	34%	18%
USA Offense	12	26.5	27.8	37.8%	3.28	1.8	18	356	153	203	3.7	57%	42%	37%	37%	17%	.11

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	13	30:35	20.3	42%	59%	6.2	57.5	1.3	1.8	6.5	2.2	5	31.1
South Alabama	12	29:47	17.8	35%	62%	9	84.4	1.8	1.5	4.6	1.5	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	13	59%	40%	41.5	239.8	5.8	31	.2	2.92	75%	8%	1.25
USA Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.2	2.68	62%	9%	1.21

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.8	56%	11%	0.97
USA Offense	12	57%	37%	40.8	152.9	3.7	17	-.03	2.55	69%	11%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	13	40%	46%	15.1	24.5	190.6	7.8	12.6	27	12	.35	1.7	32%	34%	.48	6%	2.2
USA Defense	12	43%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.42	1.7	28%	35%	.4	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	13	46%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	-.03	1.4	35%	32%	.17	7%	1.6
USA Offense	12	42%	37%	16.7	26.7	203.3	7.6	12.2	19	10	.3	1.9	35%	29%	.26	6%	1.7

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2019 Expected Record: -
App State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #27
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: South Alabama: -7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 11.3 South Alabama: -20.3

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -7.65 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2019 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3 #122
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #124
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #101

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2019 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 30
App State 26

Projected Total Points: 56

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/19	App State	14	South Alabama	48	App State -8	South Alabama	62.5	Under
2021	11/13	App State	31	South Alabama	7	Appalachian State -21.5	App State	51.5	Under
2019	10/26	South Alabama	3	App State	30	Appalachian State -27.5	South Alabama	51.0	Under
2018	09/29	App State	52	South Alabama	7	Appalachian State -25	App State	55.5	Over
2015	12/05	South Alabama	27	App State	34	Appalachian State -16.5	South Alabama	59.0	Over
2014	10/04	App State	21	South Alabama	47	South Alabama -5.5	South Alabama	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	2	4	2 Overs
App State	4	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 4	4 - 2	2 - 1	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 2	2 - 4	1 - 2	1 - 2

(#) APP at (#) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	USA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#122
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#109	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

App State Injury Report

South Alabama Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	USA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
App State 27.5 (51.0)
App State won at South Alabama this year (30-3)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat App State in 2024 (48-14)

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD