Southern Miss at Troy - 2019 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo   Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Troy Trojans  Troy logo
Saturday, September 14th 2019 (6:00 PM EDT)
Troy -3 (49.0)
Southern Miss 47 - Troy: 42

 
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM 2nd straight Road Game
TROY coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ TROY -0)
Projected Score: USM: 26 - TROY: 26 (52)
TROY Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
USM Travel: 202 miles
Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Southern Miss vs Alcorn State-27.055.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/7 Southern Miss at Mississippi State+16.551.0L 15 - 38ON
Sat 9/14 Southern Miss at Troy+3.049.0W 47 - 42OY
Sat 9/21 Southern Miss at Alabama+36.563.0L 7 - 49UN
Sat 9/28 Southern Miss vs UTEP-25.548.5W 31 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Southern Miss vs North Texas-3.058.5W 45 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech-3.058.5L 30 - 45ON
Sat 10/26 Southern Miss at Rice-10.051.5W 20 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Southern Miss vs UAB-7.049.5W 37 - 2UY
Sat 11/16 Southern Miss at UTSA-17.055.5W 36 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Southern Miss vs Western Kentucky-3.051.0L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/30 Southern Miss at Florida Atlantic+8.057.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 1/4 Southern Miss vs Tulane+7.558.0L 13 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Troy's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Troy vs Campbell-35.549.0W 43 - 14ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Troy vs Southern Miss-3.049.0L 42 - 47ON
Sat 9/21 Troy at Akron-18.557.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/28 Troy vs Arkansas State-7.059.5L 43 - 50ON
Sat 10/5 Troy at Missouri+25.565.0L 10 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16 Troy vs South Alabama-17.555.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/26 Troy at Georgia State-1.067.0L 33 - 52ON
Sat 11/2 Troy at Coastal Carolina-2.060.5L 35 - 36ON
Sat 11/9 Troy vs Georgia Southern+2.557.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Troy at Texas State-7.065.0W 63 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 Troy at Louisiana+13.074.5L 3 - 53UN
Fri 11/29 Troy vs App State+11.064.0L 13 - 48UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM.0740%28.835%2.5211341%2553.01-.0134%27.432%34%2.6641.42.12
TROY.1842%23.538%2.7117542%2153.56.1241%23.940%41%3.4555.91.62.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1128.828.439.5%3.012.1193681132553.144%54%35%41%20%.07
TROY Defense1323.922.840.9%3.452.3 - - - - - 53%46%40%41%20%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1127.427.633.8%2.662 - - - - - 48%50%32%34%17%-.01
TROY Offense1323.525.341.6%3.561.6193901752154.752%46%38%42%16%.18

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1129:5919.538%44%4.841.42.125.21.6229.4
Troy1330:0219.138%48%755.91.62.37.73331.7
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1144%35%36.3112.63.111-.072.5267%14%0.87
TROY Defense1353%40% - - - - -.012.5867%14%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1148%32% - - - - -.062.4971%11%0.9
TROY Offense1352%38%37.2174.54.721.122.7179%10%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1154%41%24.535.42557.210.41913.181.637%34%.327%1.8
TROY Defense1346%41% - - - - - - 18.291.734%33%.357%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1150%34% - - - - - - 14.051.639%23%.066%1.9
TROY Offense1346%42%19.128.7215.37.511.3258.271.533%26%.235%2.1

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2019 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8  #89
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #96
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #64

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    Troy: 0.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -4.8   Troy: -4.4




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 0.3 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2019 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #84
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #40
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 26
Troy 26

Projected Total Points: 52
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Southern Miss18Troy28Southern Miss -6.5Troy50.5Under
202411/30Troy52Southern Miss20Troy -17.5Troy48.5Over
202311/25Southern Miss17Troy35Troy -16.5Troy48.5Over
202210/08Troy27Southern Miss10Troy -7Troy44.0Under
202109/18Southern Miss9Troy21Troy -11Troy49.0Under
201909/14Troy42Southern Miss47Troy -3Southern Miss49.0Over
201609/17Southern Miss31Troy37Southern Mississippi -11.5Troy61.0Over
200812/21Troy27Southern Miss30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy664 Overs
Southern Miss213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 62 - 52 - 30 - 2
Road Teams6 - 25 - 22 - 03 - 2

(#) USM at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #84
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #98 #99
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
USM OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #96 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
USM OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #40 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Troy -3.0 (49.0)
Southern Miss won at Troy this year (47-42)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Southern Miss last year (28-18)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2024 (52-20)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2023 (35-17)

  
USM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD