South Alabama at Troy - 2019 Matchup Preview
South Alabama logo   South Alabama Jaguars at Troy Trojans  Troy logo
Wednesday, October 16th 2019 (8:00 PM EDT)
Troy -17.5 (55.5)
Troy 37 - South Alabama: 13  (Sun Belt)

 
Jaguars (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USA coming off BYE
TROY coming off BYE
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ TROY -16)
Projected Score: USA: 25 - TROY: 28 (53)
TROY Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
USA Travel: 145 miles
Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Alabama's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Alabama at Nebraska+35.065.0L 21 - 35UY
Sat 9/7 South Alabama vs Jackson State-25.047.0W 37 - 14ON
Sat 9/14 South Alabama vs Memphis+20.555.0L 6 - 42UN
Sat 9/21 South Alabama at UAB+12.547.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 9/28 South Alabama at UL Monroe+14.559.5L 17 - 30UY
Thu 10/3 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern+10.045.0L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16 South Alabama at Troy+17.555.5L 13 - 37UN
Sat 10/26 South Alabama vs App State+27.551.0L 3 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 South Alabama at Texas State+7.041.0L 28 - 30OY
Sat 11/16 South Alabama vs Louisiana+27.552.5L 27 - 37OY
Sat 11/23 South Alabama at Georgia State+9.557.0L 15 - 28UN
Fri 11/29 South Alabama vs Arkansas State+10.553.0W 34 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Troy's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Troy vs Campbell-35.549.0W 43 - 14ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Troy vs Southern Miss-3.049.0L 42 - 47ON
Sat 9/21 Troy at Akron-18.557.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/28 Troy vs Arkansas State-7.059.5L 43 - 50ON
Sat 10/5 Troy at Missouri+25.565.0L 10 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16 Troy vs South Alabama-17.555.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/26 Troy at Georgia State-1.067.0L 33 - 52ON
Sat 11/2 Troy at Coastal Carolina-2.060.5L 35 - 36ON
Sat 11/9 Troy vs Georgia Southern+2.557.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Troy at Texas State-7.065.0W 63 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 Troy at Louisiana+13.074.5L 3 - 53UN
Fri 11/29 Troy vs App State+11.064.0L 13 - 48UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA.1138%26.537%2.5515337%2033.28.2948%30.445%49%4.6684.41.81.5
TROY.1842%23.538%2.7117542%2153.56.1241%23.940%41%3.4555.91.62.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1226.525.237.8%3.281.8183561532033.757%42%37%37%17%.11
TROY Defense1323.922.840.9%3.452.3 - - - - - 53%46%40%41%20%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense1230.43247.8%4.661.5 - - - - - 55%43%45%49%15%.29
TROY Offense1323.525.341.6%3.561.6193901752154.752%46%38%42%16%.18

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1229:4717.835%62%984.41.81.54.61.5229.3
Troy1330:0219.138%48%755.91.62.37.73331.7
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1257%37%40.8152.93.717-.032.5569%11%0.84
TROY Defense1353%40% - - - - -.012.5867%14%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1255%45% - - - - .22.6862%9%1.21
TROY Offense1352%38%37.2174.54.721.122.7179%10%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1242%37%16.726.7203.37.612.21910.31.935%29%.266%1.7
TROY Defense1346%41% - - - - - - 18.291.734%33%.357%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1243%49% - - - - - - 12.421.728%35%.46%2.1
TROY Offense1346%42%19.128.7215.37.511.3258.271.533%26%.235%2.1

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2019 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3  #122
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3  #124
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0  #101

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama:    Troy: 0.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -20.3   Troy: -4.4




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 0.3 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2019 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #84
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #40
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 28
South Alabama 25

Projected Total Points: 53
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Troy31South Alabama24South Alabama -2.5Troy46.5Over
202410/15South Alabama25Troy9South Alabama -10South Alabama53.0Under
202311/02Troy28South Alabama10Troy -5.5Troy44.5Under
202210/20South Alabama6Troy10South Alabama -3Troy47.0Under
202111/06Troy31South Alabama24Troy -3.5Troy47.5Over
202012/05South Alabama0Troy29Troy -4.5Troy53.5Under
201910/16Troy37South Alabama13Troy -17.5Troy55.5Under
201810/23South Alabama17Troy38Troy -11Troy52.5Over
201710/11Troy8South Alabama19Troy -18South Alabama51.5Under
201610/20South Alabama21Troy28Troy -9South Alabama49.0Push
201510/03Troy18South Alabama24Troy -3South Alabama61.5Under
201410/24South Alabama27Troy13South Alabama -12South Alabama0
201310/05Troy34South Alabama33Troy -2.5South Alabama0
201209/29South Alabama10Troy31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy1073 Overs
South Alabama467 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 77 - 65 - 42 - 2
Road Teams7 - 76 - 72 - 24 - 5

(#) USA at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSATROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #122 #84
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #101 #99
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
USA OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #124 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
USA OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffUSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #40 #101
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffUSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Troy -17.5 (55.5)
Troy won vs South Alabama this year (37-13)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat South Alabama last year (31-24)
South Alabama beat Troy in 2024 (25-9)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2023 (28-10)

  
USA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD