Kansas State at Mississippi State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Kansas State Wildcats at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Saturday, September 14th 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -7 (51.0)
Kansas State 31 - Mississippi State: 24

Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (27 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ KSU -2.5)
Projected Score: KSU: 28 - MSST: 29 (57)
MSST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 588 miles

Bulldogs (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 29 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KSU Players
MSST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kansas State vs Nicholls	-20.5	47.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Kansas State vs Bowling Green	-25.0	57.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Kansas State at Mississippi State	+7.0	51.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Kansas State at Oklahoma State	+4.0	60.0	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/5	Kansas State vs Baylor	+1.0	48.5	L 12 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Kansas State vs TCU	+4.5	43.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas State vs Oklahoma	+23.5	59.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Kansas State at Kansas	-4.5	54.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Kansas State at Texas	+7.5	57.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Kansas State vs West Virginia	-14.0	45.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Kansas State at Texas Tech	+1.0	58.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas State vs Iowa State	+5.5	45.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Kansas State vs Navy	+2.0	53.5	L 17 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule

Mississippi State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Mississippi State vs Louisiana	-19.0	61.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/7	Mississippi State vs Southern Miss	-16.5	51.0	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Mississippi State vs Kansas State	-7.0	51.0	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/21	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	-5.5	48.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Mississippi State at Auburn	+7.5	47.0	L 23 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Mississippi State at Tennessee	-5.0	52.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/19	Mississippi State vs LSU	+17.5	62.0	L 13 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/26	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+10.5	50.0	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/2	Mississippi State at Arkansas	-7.0	59.0	W 54 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+19.0	61.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/23	Mississippi State vs Abilene Christian	-37.0	57.0	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Thu 11/28	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	-1.0	59.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Mon 12/30	Mississippi State vs Louisville	-5.0	64.5	L 28 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU	.17	43%	29.6	41%	2.64	178	44%	180	3.71	.19	42%	21.4	42%	39%	2.58	52.2	1	1.3
MSST	.26	46%	27.6	49%	3.46	221	41%	179	4.29	.21	46%	28.8	45%	46%	3.86	44.5	1.8	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU	#17 (.3)	44% (55)		46% (42)	3.37 (14)	190	42% (68)	196	4.08 (53)	#29 (.11)	36% (6)		34% (4)	38% (32)	3.54 (43)	41.3	1.2	1.1
MSST	#78 (.17)	39% (109)		40% (105)	2.9 (93)	139	38% (104)	239	3.75 (86)	#130 (.32)	50% (133)		47% (108)	55% (134)	4.32 (113)	60.3	1.5	0.9

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Offense	13	29.6	27.2	43.5%	3.71	1	20	358	178	180	4.3	59%	39%	41%	44%	19%	.17
MSST Defense	13	28.8	22.9	46.2%	3.86	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	45%	46%	23%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Defense	13	21.4	22.8	42.2%	2.58	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	42%	39%	18%	.19
MSST Offense	13	27.6	25.1	46.1%	4.29	1.8	21	400	221	179	5.4	59%	40%	49%	41%	20%	.26

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas State	13	33:26	19.5	43%	60%	5.9	52.2	1	1.3	5.4	2	5	30
Mississippi State	13	31:40	21.5	39%	39%	5.5	44.5	1.8	2.2	6.9	2.3	2	27.2

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Offense	13	59%	41%	41.4	178	4.3	29	.06	2.64	76%	14%	0.99
MSST Defense	13	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.93	77%	14%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.11	84%	10%	1.11
MSST Offense	13	59%	49%	40.7	220.6	5.4	27	.27	3.46	77%	13%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Offense	13	39%	44%	13.8	23.2	180.3	7.8	13	12	5	.36	1.6	34%	36%	.38	5%	1.8
MSST Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.36	1.8	32%	38%	.36	10%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Defense	13	46%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.21	1.7	36%	34%	.39	8%	1.9
MSST Offense	13	40%	41%	14.3	24.2	179.5	7.4	12.5	19	10	.25	1.6	31%	36%	.41	8%	1.7

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0 #45
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #65
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: Mississippi State: 4.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 6.0 Mississippi State: 3.5

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 4.25 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #50
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #36
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 21.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Kansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Mississippi State 29
Kansas State 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 33
Kansas State 28

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 27
Mississippi State 25

Total Points: 52

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 27.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.1
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.9

Mississippi State's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/14	Mississippi State	24	Kansas State	31	Mississippi State -7	Kansas State	51.0	Over
2018	09/08	Kansas State	10	Mississippi State	31	Mississippi State -6.5	Mississippi State	51.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	1	1	1 Overs
Kansas State	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) KSU at (#) MSST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KSU	MSST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#45	#50
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#72	#21
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kansas State Injury Report

Mississippi State Injury Report

Kansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	KSU Off	MSST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	KSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#36	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 87°

Rematch from Week 3
Mississippi State -7.0 (51.0)
Kansas State won at Mississippi State this year (31-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

KSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD