Mississippi State at Texas A&M - 2019 Matchup Preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M Aggies(#3)

Saturday, October 26th 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -10.5 (50.0)
Texas A&M 49 - Mississippi State: 30 (SEC)

Bulldogs (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 29 (29 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ TA&M -12)
Projected Score: MSST: 25 - TA&M: 32 (57)
TA&M Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
MSST Travel: 484 miles

Aggies (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (39 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSST Players
TA&M Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Mississippi State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Mississippi State vs Louisiana	-19.0	61.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/7	Mississippi State vs Southern Miss	-16.5	51.0	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Mississippi State vs Kansas State	-7.0	51.0	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/21	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	-5.5	48.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Mississippi State at Auburn	+7.5	47.0	L 23 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Mississippi State at Tennessee	-5.0	52.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/19	Mississippi State vs LSU	+17.5	62.0	L 13 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/26	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+10.5	50.0	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/2	Mississippi State at Arkansas	-7.0	59.0	W 54 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+19.0	61.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/23	Mississippi State vs Abilene Christian	-37.0	57.0	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Thu 11/28	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	-1.0	59.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Mon 12/30	Mississippi State vs Louisville	-5.0	64.5	L 28 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule

Texas A&M's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Texas A&M vs Texas State	-33.5	56.5	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Texas A&M at Clemson	+16.5	62.5	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Texas A&M vs Lamar	-45.0	63.0	W 62 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-4.0	48.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/28	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-23.0	59.5	W 31 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Texas A&M vs Alabama	+17.0	61.0	L 28 - 47	O	N
Sat 10/19	Texas A&M at Ole Miss	-6.0	54.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-10.5	50.0	W 49 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Texas A&M vs UTSA	-38.0	55.0	W 45 - 14	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-10.5	49.0	W 30 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Texas A&M at Georgia	+11.5	43.5	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Texas A&M at LSU	+17.0	63.0	L 7 - 50	U	N
Fri 12/27	Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State	-4.5	55.5	W 24 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST	.26	46%	27.6	49%	3.46	221	41%	179	4.29	.21	46%	28.8	45%	46%	3.86	44.5	1.8	2.2
TA&M	.18	48%	29.5	50%	3.02	159	44%	235	4.19	.13	40%	22.5	43%	35%	3.06	55.3	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST	#78 (.17)	39% (109)		40% (105)	2.9 (93)	139	38% (104)	239	3.75 (86)	#130 (.32)	50% (133)		47% (108)	55% (134)	4.32 (113)	60.3	1.5	0.9
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)		46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)		40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Offense	13	27.6	29.3	46.1%	4.29	1.8	21	400	221	179	5.4	59%	40%	49%	41%	20%	.26
TA&M Defense	13	22.5	19.3	40.4%	3.06	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	51%	43%	35%	22%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Defense	13	28.8	37.3	46.2%	3.86	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	45%	46%	23%	.21
TA&M Offense	13	29.5	39.3	47.6%	4.19	1.5	22	395	159	235	4.8	45%	53%	50%	44%	20%	.18

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Mississippi State	13	31:40	21.5	39%	39%	5.5	44.5	1.8	2.2	6.9	2.3	2	27.2
Texas A&M	13	33:06	22.1	40%	64%	6.7	55.3	1.5	1.4	7.5	2.8	0	30.2

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Offense	13	59%	49%	40.7	220.6	5.4	27	.27	3.46	77%	13%	1.09
TA&M Defense	13	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.51	81%	13%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Defense	13	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.93	77%	14%	0.95
TA&M Offense	13	45%	50%	33	159.2	4.8	24	.14	3.02	79%	11%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Offense	13	40%	41%	14.3	24.2	179.5	7.4	12.5	19	10	.25	1.6	31%	36%	.41	8%	1.7
TA&M Defense	13	51%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.17	1.7	37%	32%	.25	9%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.36	1.8	32%	38%	.36	10%	2
TA&M Offense	13	53%	44%	21	34.8	235.4	6.8	11.2	22	10	.24	1.4	31%	35%	.32	9%	1.7

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #50
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #36
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: Texas A&M: 10

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 3.5 Texas A&M: 15.0

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 10 NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas A&M's 2019 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0 #21
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #33
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 27.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Mississippi State's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 32
Mississippi State 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas A&M 30
Mississippi State 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Texas A&M 34
Mississippi State 25

Total Points: 59

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Texas A&M's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Texas A&M	31	Mississippi State	9	Texas A&M -17.5	Texas A&M	57.5	Under
2024	10/19	Mississippi State	24	Texas A&M	34	Texas A&M -21	Mississippi State	55.5	Over
2023	11/11	Texas A&M	51	Mississippi State	10	Texas A&M -16.5	Texas A&M	40.5	Over
2022	10/01	Mississippi State	42	Texas A&M	24	Mississippi State -4	Mississippi State	45.0	Over
2021	10/02	Texas A&M	22	Mississippi State	26	Texas A&M -7	Mississippi State	45.5	Over
2020	10/17	Mississippi State	14	Texas A&M	28	Texas A&M -4.5	Texas A&M	56.0	Under
2019	10/26	Texas A&M	49	Mississippi State	30	Texas A&M -10.5	Texas A&M	50.0	Over
2018	10/27	Mississippi State	28	Texas A&M	13	Mississippi State -1.5	Mississippi State	42.5	Under
2017	10/28	Texas A&M	14	Mississippi State	35	Mississippi State -3.5	Mississippi State	55.5	Under
2016	11/05	Mississippi State	35	Texas A&M	28	Texas A&M -13	Mississippi State	61.0	Over
2015	10/03	Texas A&M	30	Mississippi State	17	Texas A&M -6	Texas A&M	62.5	Under
2014	10/04	Mississippi State	48	Texas A&M	31	Texas A&M -1	Mississippi State	0
2013	11/09	Texas A&M	51	Mississippi State	41	Texas A&M -19	Mississippi State	0
2012	11/03	Mississippi State	13	Texas A&M	38
2000	12/30	Mississippi State	43	Texas A&M	41

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas A&M	8	5	6 Overs
Mississippi State	7	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 5	9 - 4	6 - 2	3 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 10	4 - 9	2 - 3	2 - 6

(#) MSST at (#) TA&M

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSST	TA&M
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#21
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#21	#23
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Mississippi State Injury Report

Texas A&M Injury Report

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	TA&M Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#36	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MSST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 55° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Texas A&M -10.5 (50.0)
Texas A&M won vs Mississippi State this year (49-30)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State last year (34-24)
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State in 2023 (51-10)
Mississippi State beat Texas A&M in 2022 (42-24)

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TA&M's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD