Bowling Green at Kansas State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Kansas State Wildcats

Saturday, September 7th 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -25 (57.5)
Kansas State 52 - Bowling Green: 0

Falcons (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -19.5 (SP+ KSU -34)
Projected Score: BGSU: 25 - KSU: 28 (53)
KSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 699 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Bowling Green vs Morgan State	-24.0	50.5	W 46 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Bowling Green at Kansas State	+25.0	57.5	L 0 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/14	Bowling Green vs Louisiana Tech	+12.5	59.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/21	Bowling Green at Kent State	+12.0	61.5	L 20 - 62	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Bowling Green at Notre Dame	+45.5	64.5	L 0 - 52	U	N
Sat 10/12	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+26.5	65.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Bowling Green vs Central Michigan	+11.5	54.0	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/26	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	+26.5	65.5	L 10 - 49	U	N
Sat 11/2	Bowling Green vs Akron	-3.5	49.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+17.0	48.0	L 3 - 44	U	N
Tue 11/19	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+21.0	55.5	L 24 - 66	O	N
Fri 11/29	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+28.0	53.5	L 7 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Kansas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kansas State vs Nicholls	-20.5	47.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Kansas State vs Bowling Green	-25.0	57.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Kansas State at Mississippi State	+7.0	51.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Kansas State at Oklahoma State	+4.0	60.0	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/5	Kansas State vs Baylor	+1.0	48.5	L 12 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Kansas State vs TCU	+4.5	43.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas State vs Oklahoma	+23.5	59.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Kansas State at Kansas	-4.5	54.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Kansas State at Texas	+7.5	57.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Kansas State vs West Virginia	-14.0	45.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Kansas State at Texas Tech	+1.0	58.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas State vs Iowa State	+5.5	45.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Kansas State vs Navy	+2.0	53.5	L 17 - 20	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.13	40%	20.5	36%	2.53	116	43%	239	3.68	.32	49%	24.3	56%	36%	4.68	65.7	1.8	1.1
KSU	.12	41%	29.4	41%	3.01	183	39%	162	3.44	.18	48%	26.7	47%	47%	3.17	43.6	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	24	40.3%	3.68	1.8	19	355	116	239	3.4	46%	53%	36%	43%	19%	.13
KSU Defense	12	26.7	27.3	47.8%	3.17	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	47%	47%	14%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	29	49.4%	4.68	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	65%	35%	56%	36%	11%	.32
KSU Offense	12	29.4	29.7	41.3%	3.44	1.4	18	345	183	162	4.3	59%	39%	41%	39%	15%	.12

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	29:18	19.1	39%	50%	7.8	65.7	1.8	1.1	3.3	1.3	0	27.8
Kansas State	12	29:23	17.5	39%	45%	4.8	43.6	1.4	1.6	4.2	1.5	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	46%	36%	34.7	116.3	3.4	9	-.02	2.53	74%	11%	0.96
KSU Defense	12	44%	47%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.92	70%	8%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	65%	56%	-	-	-	-	.37	3.63	82%	6%	1.03
KSU Offense	12	59%	41%	42.3	182.6	4.3	20	.14	3.01	49%	11%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	53%	43%	20.8	33.8	238.7	7.1	11.5	29	13	.28	1.5	33%	31%	.29	8%	2
KSU Defense	12	54%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.4	31%	33%	.21	6%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	35%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.9	29%	33%	.4	4%	2
KSU Offense	12	39%	39%	13.8	24.2	162.1	6.7	11.7	12	7	.12	1.5	32%	40%	.42	4%	1.7

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2019 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -27.5 #128
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Kansas State: 5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -27.5 Kansas State: 6.0

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 5.5 NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0 #45
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #65
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2019 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 28
Bowling Green 25

Projected Total Points: 53

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Kansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/07	Kansas State	52	Bowling Green	0	Kansas State -25	Kansas State	57.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	1	1	0 Overs
Bowling Green	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) BGSU at (#) KSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	KSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#45
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#120	#72
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Kansas State Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	KSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	KSU Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#124
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Kansas State -25.0 (57.5)
Kansas State won vs Bowling Green this year (52-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

KSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD