Baylor at Kansas State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 5th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Baylor -1 (48.5)
Baylor 31 - Kansas State: 12 (Big 12)

Bears (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 20 (37 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ BAY -12)
Projected Score: BAY: 23 - KSU: 26 (49)
BAY Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
BAY Travel: 529 miles

Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BAY Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Baylor's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Baylor vs Stephen F. Austin	-43.5	57.5	W 56 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/7	Baylor vs UTSA	-25.0	58.5	W 63 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Baylor at Rice	-27.0	57.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/28	Baylor vs Iowa State	+2.5	55.5	W 23 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Baylor at Kansas State	-1.0	48.5	W 31 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Baylor vs Texas Tech	-10.5	58.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/19	Baylor at Oklahoma State	+5.5	68.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/31	Baylor vs West Virginia	-19.0	57.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/9	Baylor at TCU	-3.0	48.5	W 29 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Baylor vs Oklahoma	+10.0	69.5	L 31 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Baylor vs Texas	-3.5	58.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Baylor at Kansas	-14.0	48.0	W 61 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Baylor vs Oklahoma	+9.0	65.5	L 23 - 30	U	Y
Wed 1/1	Baylor vs Georgia	+4.0	44.0	L 14 - 26	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

Kansas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kansas State vs Nicholls	-20.5	47.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Kansas State vs Bowling Green	-25.0	57.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Kansas State at Mississippi State	+7.0	51.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Kansas State at Oklahoma State	+4.0	60.0	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/5	Kansas State vs Baylor	+1.0	48.5	L 12 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Kansas State vs TCU	+4.5	43.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas State vs Oklahoma	+23.5	59.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Kansas State at Kansas	-4.5	54.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Kansas State at Texas	+7.5	57.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Kansas State vs West Virginia	-14.0	45.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Kansas State at Texas Tech	+1.0	58.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas State vs Iowa State	+5.5	45.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Kansas State vs Navy	+2.0	53.5	L 17 - 20	U	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY	.19	44%	33.6	45%	2.88	166	41%	255	3.81	.06	41%	19.8	38%	42%	2.74	52.9	1.4	2.6
KSU	.17	43%	29.6	41%	2.64	178	44%	180	3.71	.19	42%	21.4	42%	39%	2.58	52.2	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY	#29 (.25)	47% (23)		46% (37)	3.19 (43)	174	48% (14)	227	4.28 (30)	#74 (.18)	39% (38)		38% (13)	42% (78)	3.85 (77)	58.1	1	1.6
KSU	#17 (.3)	44% (55)		46% (42)	3.37 (14)	190	42% (68)	196	4.08 (53)	#29 (.11)	36% (6)		34% (4)	38% (32)	3.54 (43)	41.3	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Offense	14	33.6	37.4	44.2%	3.81	1.4	22	421	166	255	4.6	46%	52%	45%	41%	22%	.19
KSU Defense	13	21.4	20.6	42.2%	2.58	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	42%	39%	18%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Defense	14	19.8	16.2	41.1%	2.74	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	38%	42%	26%	.06
KSU Offense	13	29.6	33.1	43.5%	3.71	1	20	358	178	180	4.3	59%	39%	41%	44%	19%	.17

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Baylor	14	28:15	22.1	42%	40%	6.4	52.9	1.4	2.6	10.6	4.4	1	29.2
Kansas State	13	33:26	19.5	43%	60%	5.9	52.2	1	1.3	5.4	2	5	30

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Offense	14	46%	45%	36	166.4	4.6	35	.11	2.88	74%	15%	0.93
KSU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.11	84%	10%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Defense	14	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.7	77%	17%	0.85
KSU Offense	13	59%	41%	41.4	178	4.3	29	.06	2.64	76%	14%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Offense	14	52%	41%	19.8	31.7	255.1	8	12.9	24	8	.29	1.6	34%	38%	.48	7%	1.9
KSU Defense	13	46%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.21	1.7	36%	34%	.39	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Defense	14	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.14	1.4	34%	33%	.22	9%	1.7
KSU Offense	13	39%	44%	13.8	23.2	180.3	7.8	13	12	5	.36	1.6	34%	36%	.38	5%	1.8

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2019 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #18
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #27
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: Kansas State: 5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 17.8 Kansas State: 6.0

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 5.5 NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0 #45
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #65
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.2

Baylor's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 26
Baylor 23

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 28
Baylor 17

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Baylor 29
Kansas State 25

Total Points: 54

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Kansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Baylor	35	Kansas State	34	Baylor -4.5	Kansas State	59.5	Over
2023	11/11	Kansas State	59	Baylor	25	Kansas State -20.5	Kansas State	55.5	Over
2022	11/12	Baylor	3	Kansas State	31	Baylor -2.5	Kansas State	52.0	Under
2021	11/20	Kansas State	10	Baylor	20	Kansas State -2.5	Baylor	49.5	Under
2020	11/28	Baylor	32	Kansas State	31	Baylor -5.5	Kansas State	44.5	Over
2019	10/05	Kansas State	12	Baylor	31	Baylor -1	Baylor	48.5	Under
2018	10/06	Baylor	37	Kansas State	34	Baylor -3.5	Kansas State	54.0	Over
2017	09/30	Kansas State	33	Baylor	20	Kansas State -15	Baylor	57.5	Under
2016	11/19	Baylor	21	Kansas State	42	Kansas State -2	Kansas State	58.5	Over
2015	11/05	Kansas State	24	Baylor	31	Baylor -18.5	Kansas State	67.0	Under
2014	12/06	Baylor	38	Kansas State	27	Baylor -9	Baylor	0
2013	10/12	Kansas State	25	Baylor	35	Baylor -10.5	Kansas State	0
2012	11/17	Baylor	52	Kansas State	24
2011	10/01	Kansas State	36	Baylor	35
2010	10/23	Baylor	47	Kansas State	42
2007	10/27	Kansas State	51	Baylor	13
2006	09/30	Baylor	17	Kansas State	3
2003	11/01	Kansas State	38	Baylor	10
2002	10/26	Baylor	10	Kansas State	44

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	8	8	5 Overs
Baylor	11	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 7	4 - 8	2 - 6	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 12	8 - 4	2 - 2	6 - 2

(#) BAY at (#) KSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BAY	KSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#45
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#35	#72
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Baylor Injury Report

Kansas State Injury Report

Baylor on Offense


CategoryCat	BAY Off	KSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Baylor Run Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Baylor Pass Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	KSU Off	BAY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#18
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Baylor 1.0 (48.5)
Baylor won at Kansas State this year (31-12)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Baylor in 2023 (59-25)
Kansas State beat Baylor in 2022 (31-3)

BAY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

KSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD