Southern Miss at Charlotte - 2018 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Charlotte 49ers

Saturday, October 27th 2018 (2:00 PM EDT)
Southern Mississippi -6.5 (45.0)
Charlotte 20 - Southern Miss: 17 (Conference USA)

Golden Eagles (6 - 5) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 20 (20 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ USM -13.5)
Projected Score: USM: 21 - CHAR: 26 (47)
USM Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
USM Travel: 567 miles, 1 hrs behind

49ers (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (28 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Southern Miss vs Jackson State	-33.0	51.0	W 55 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-5.0	67.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Southern Miss vs Rice	-14.0	55.5	W 40 - 22	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Southern Miss at Auburn	+27.0	51.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Southern Miss at North Texas	+7.0	52.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/20	Southern Miss vs UTSA	-16.0	44.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/27	Southern Miss at Charlotte	-6.5	45.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/3	Southern Miss vs Marshall	+3.0	47.5	W 26 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Southern Miss at UAB	+13.5	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech	-2.5	45.5	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/24	Southern Miss at UTEP	-14.0	45.0	W 39 - 7	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Charlotte's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Charlotte vs Fordham	-16.5	56.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Charlotte vs App State	+14.5	48.5	L 9 - 45	O	N
Thu 9/13	Charlotte vs Old Dominion	+1.0	47.5	W 28 - 25	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Charlotte at Massachusetts	+6.5	55.5	L 31 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/29	Charlotte at UAB	+15.5	52.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Charlotte vs Western Kentucky	+9.5	44.0	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Charlotte at Middle Tennessee	+17.0	50.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Charlotte vs Southern Miss	+6.5	45.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Charlotte at Tennessee	+22.5	47.5	L 3 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Charlotte at Marshall	+13.0	42.0	L 13 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/17	Charlotte vs Florida International	+3.5	44.5	L 35 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/24	Charlotte at Florida Atlantic	+16.5	54.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.07	40%	26.2	35%	2.52	113	41%	255	3.01	-.01	34%	19.8	32%	34%	2.66	41.4	2.1	2
CHAR	.11	40%	21.7	39%	2.77	160	38%	179	2.99	.12	41%	26.6	35%	44%	3.66	47.1	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)		40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)		45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8
CHAR	#116 (.1)	37% (122)		39% (110)	2.75 (113)	119	35% (120)	224	3.9 (70)	#113 (.25)	45% (107)		48% (111)	42% (83)	3.87 (81)	65.3	1.8	1

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	11	26.2	19.8	39.5%	3.01	2.1	19	368	113	255	3.1	44%	54%	35%	41%	20%	.07
CHAR Defense	12	26.6	25.5	40.5%	3.66	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	35%	44%	17%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	11	19.8	21.4	33.8%	2.66	2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	32%	34%	17%	-.01
CHAR Offense	12	21.7	27.7	39.7%	2.99	1.3	20	339	160	179	3.7	56%	42%	39%	38%	16%	.11

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	11	29:59	19.5	38%	44%	4.8	41.4	2.1	2	5.2	1.6	2	29.4
Charlotte	12	35:00	19.5	42%	32%	5.3	47.1	1.3	1.3	5.2	1.6	2	27

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	11	44%	35%	36.3	112.6	3.1	11	-.07	2.52	67%	14%	0.87
CHAR Defense	12	48%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.5	72%	11%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	11	48%	32%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.49	71%	11%	0.9
CHAR Offense	12	56%	39%	43.8	160.3	3.7	18	.07	2.77	73%	12%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	11	54%	41%	24.5	35.4	255	7.2	10.4	19	13	.18	1.6	37%	34%	.32	7%	1.8
CHAR Defense	12	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.7	35%	34%	.41	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	11	50%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.05	1.6	39%	23%	.06	6%	1.9
CHAR Offense	12	42%	38%	15.2	25.3	178.8	7.1	11.8	10	8	.16	1.5	34%	31%	.2	5%	1.6

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2018 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #92
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.6 #122
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #27

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: Charlotte: -6.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -5.0 Charlotte: -18.5

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -6.75 NR
Charlotte's Offense Rating: NR
Charlotte's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Charlotte's 2018 Expected Record: -
Charlotte's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #123
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #98

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.4

Southern Miss's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Charlotte 26
Southern Miss 21

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Charlotte 28
Southern Miss 18

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 24
Charlotte 23

Total Points: 47

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

Charlotte's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	10/27	Charlotte	20	Southern Miss	17	Southern Mississippi -6.5	Charlotte	45.0	Under
2017	11/18	Southern Miss	66	Charlotte	21	Southern Mississippi -18.5	Southern Miss	48.5	Over
2016	11/05	Southern Miss	27	Charlotte	38	Southern Mississippi -18	Charlotte	60.5	Over
2015	10/24	Charlotte	10	Southern Miss	44	Southern Mississippi -16.5	Southern Miss	64.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	2	2	2 Overs
Southern Miss	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1

(#) USM at (#) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	CHAR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#118
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#101	#123
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

Charlotte Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	CHAR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Charlotte on Offense


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Charlotte Run Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Charlotte Pass Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 59° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Southern Miss 6.5 (45.0)
Charlotte won vs Southern Miss this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CHAR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD