UTSA at Southern Miss - 2018 Matchup Preview
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UTSA Roadrunners at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Southern Miss logo
Saturday, October 20th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
Southern Mississippi -16 (44.0)
Southern Miss 27 - UTSA: 17  (Conference USA)

 
Roadrunners (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UTSA is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ USM -17)
Projected Score: UTSA: 28 - USM: 31 (59)
USM Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
UTSA Travel: 561 miles
Golden Eagles (6 - 5) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 UTSA at Arizona State+17.053.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 9/8 UTSA vs Baylor+17.055.0L 20 - 37OY
Sat 9/15 UTSA at Kansas State+20.546.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 9/22 UTSA vs Texas State-7.049.0W 25 - 21UN
Sat 9/29 UTSA vs UTEP-10.046.5W 30 - 21ON
Sat 10/6 UTSA at Rice+1.050.0W 20 - 3UY
Sat 10/13 UTSA vs Louisiana Tech+13.045.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 10/20 UTSA at Southern Miss+16.044.0L 17 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 UTSA at UAB+21.542.5L 3 - 52ON
Sat 11/10 UTSA vs Florida International+10.546.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 11/17 UTSA at Marshall+27.548.0L 0 - 23UY
Sat 11/24 UTSA vs North Texas+25.051.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Southern Miss vs Jackson State-33.051.0W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/8 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-5.067.5L 20 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 Southern Miss vs Rice-14.055.5W 40 - 22OY
Sat 9/29 Southern Miss at Auburn+27.051.0L 13 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Southern Miss at North Texas+7.052.5L 7 - 30UN
Sat 10/20 Southern Miss vs UTSA-16.044.0W 27 - 17UN
Sat 10/27 Southern Miss at Charlotte-6.545.0L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/3 Southern Miss vs Marshall+3.047.5W 26 - 24OY
Sat 11/10 Southern Miss at UAB+13.545.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 11/17 Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech-2.545.5W 21 - 20UN
Sat 11/24 Southern Miss at UTEP-14.045.0W 39 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA.1242%35.541%2.8418541%2022.86.0636%28.836%34%2.9158.31.62
USM.1642%28.843%2.9918538%2403.48.0839%27.437%38%3.5467.11.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1135.521.742.4%2.861.6213871852024.654%44%41%41%17%.12
USM Defense1327.427.338.8%3.541.3 - - - - - 52%46%37%38%20%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1128.833.735.9%2.912 - - - - - 55%44%36%34%21%.06
USM Offense1328.830.941.6%3.481.5214251852404.850%48%43%38%17%.16

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1133:1321.142%57%7.258.31.626.62.1129.7
Southern Miss1330:1721.237%52%7.667.11.51.37.41.8328.9
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1154%41%40.5184.54.611.062.8463%12%0.95
USM Defense1352%37% - - - - -.012.3257%13%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1155%36% - - - - -.052.3572%14%0.94
USM Offense1350%43%38.3184.54.819.12.9969%10%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1144%41%17.428.1202.37.211.7157.241.533%30%.235%1.8
USM Defense1346%38% - - - - - - 9.191.737%33%.187%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1144%34% - - - - - - 13.181.938%28%.197%2
USM Offense1348%38%18.933.7240.17.112.7247.251.735%35%.327%1.7

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2018 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1  #127
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.1  #129
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #102

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA:    Southern Miss: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -22.1   Southern Miss: -5.0




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 0 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2018 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0  #92
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.6  #122
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #27

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 31
UTSA 28

Projected Total Points: 59
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/13UTSA27Southern Miss17UT San Antonio -32.5Southern Miss54.0Under
202011/21Southern Miss20UTSA23UT San Antonio -9.5Southern Miss52.5Under
201911/16UTSA17Southern Miss36Southern Mississippi -17Southern Miss55.5Under
201810/20Southern Miss27UTSA17Southern Mississippi -16UTSA44.0Push
201710/07UTSA29Southern Miss31UT San Antonio -10.5Southern Miss50.0Over
201610/08UTSA55Southern Miss32Southern Mississippi -14.5UTSA53.0Over
201510/17Southern Miss32UTSA10Southern Mississippi -7.5Southern Miss56.5Under
201411/13UTSA12Southern Miss10UT San Antonio -11.5Southern Miss0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss462 Overs
UTSA424 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 33 - 51 - 42 - 1
Road Teams3 - 55 - 31 - 24 - 1

(#) UTSA at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSAUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #127 #92
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #94 #101
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #129 #27
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #122 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Southern Miss -16.0 (44.0)
Southern Miss won vs UTSA this year (27-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTSA's OC ()
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USM's OC ()
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