Western Kentucky at Wisconsin - 2018 Matchup Preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Wisconsin Badgers

Friday, August 31st 2018 (9:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -36.5 (52.0)
Wisconsin 34 - Western Kentucky: 3

Hilltoppers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (25 - 28 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -18.5 (SP+ WIS -32)
Projected Score: WKU: 24 - WIS: 20 (44)
WIS Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
WKU Travel: 448 miles

Badgers (8 - 5) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Western Kentucky at Wisconsin	+36.5	52.0	L 3 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Western Kentucky vs Maine	-10.0	50.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/15	Western Kentucky at Louisville	+24.5	53.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Western Kentucky at Ball State	+3.0	52.5	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Western Kentucky vs Marshall	+3.5	52.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Western Kentucky at Charlotte	-9.5	44.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/20	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	-4.0	55.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/27	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	+3.0	54.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/2	Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee	+13.5	53.0	L 10 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/10	Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic	+17.5	59.5	L 15 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/17	Western Kentucky vs UTEP	-6.5	47.5	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	+10.5	49.0	W 30 - 15	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Wisconsin vs Western Kentucky	-36.5	52.0	W 34 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/8	Wisconsin vs New Mexico	-35.5	58.0	W 45 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/15	Wisconsin vs BYU	-23.5	51.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/22	Wisconsin at Iowa	-3.0	43.5	W 28 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5
Sat 10/13	Wisconsin at Michigan	+10.0	47.5	L 13 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/20	Wisconsin vs Illinois	-24.0	53.5	W 49 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Wisconsin at Northwestern	-4.5	50.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/3	Wisconsin vs Rutgers	-29.0	50.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/10	Wisconsin at Penn State	+7.5	52.0	L 10 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/17	Wisconsin at Purdue	+3.5	56.0	W 47 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	-10.5	53.0	L 15 - 37	U	N
Thu 12/27	Wisconsin vs Miami	+2.5	43.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.16	46%	29.5	44%	2.39	61	46%	335	3.15	.17	43%	22.8	41%	44%	3.33	48.7	1.8	1.2
WIS	.19	45%	12.8	43%	3.04	223	46%	192	3.9	-.03	34%	21.6	36%	29%	1.9	50.2	1.7	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	13	29.5	24.5	45.8%	3.15	1.8	23	396	61	335	2	36%	64%	44%	46%	17%	.16
WIS Defense	14	21.6	18.3	33.9%	1.9	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	51%	36%	29%	23%	-.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	13	22.8	28	43.5%	3.33	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	41%	44%	16%	.17
WIS Offense	14	12.8	15.6	45.4%	3.9	1.7	21	415	223	192	5	61%	37%	43%	46%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	13	29:22	22.6	44%	41%	5.7	48.7	1.8	1.2	5.3	0.9	1	31.4
Wisconsin	14	35:29	21.1	49%	67%	5.4	50.2	1.7	2.1	6.4	3	6	35.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	13	36%	44%	30.1	60.8	2	15	-.04	2.39	65%	13%	0.75
WIS Defense	14	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.76	70%	12%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	13	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.7	71%	10%	1.04
WIS Offense	14	61%	43%	44.9	222.9	5	25	.07	3.04	80%	9%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	13	64%	46%	29.3	44.4	335	7.6	11.4	27	10	.28	1.4	31%	37%	.46	5%	2
WIS Defense	14	51%	29%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	-.07	1.6	38%	23%	.02	11%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	13	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.27	1.4	33%	38%	.44	6%	1.8
WIS Offense	14	37%	46%	14.6	23.2	192.1	8.3	13.2	25	15	.43	1.8	28%	40%	.41	5%	1.8

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2018 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #112
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #120
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #93

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: Wisconsin: 10.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -16.1 Wisconsin: 15.5

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 10.25 NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wisconsin's 2018 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5 #19
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #12
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #29

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Western Kentucky's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 24
Wisconsin 20

Projected Total Points: 44

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	08/31	Wisconsin	34	Western Kentucky	3	Wisconsin -36.5	Western Kentucky	52.0	Under
2001	09/29	Wisconsin	24	Western Kentucky	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	2	0	0 Overs
Western Kentucky	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) WKU at (#) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WKU	WIS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#19
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#112	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Wisconsin Injury Report

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	WIS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	WKU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#12	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Wisconsin -36.5 (52.0)
Wisconsin won vs Western Kentucky this year (34-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WKU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WIS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD