North Carolina at California - 2018 Matchup Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels at California Golden Bears

Saturday, September 1st 2018 (4:00 PM EDT)
California -7 (57.5)
California 24 - North Carolina: 17

Tar Heels (2 - 9) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ CAL -6)
Projected Score: UNC: 22 - CAL: 25 (47)
CAL Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 2370 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Golden Bears (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNC Players
CAL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	North Carolina at California	+7.0	57.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/8	North Carolina at East Carolina	-16.5	59.0	L 19 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	48.0	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Thu 9/27	North Carolina at Miami	+17.5	56.0	L 10 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	North Carolina vs Virginia Tech	+6.5	57.5	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/20	North Carolina at Syracuse	+9.5	67.0	L 37 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/27	North Carolina at Virginia	+7.5	51.0	L 21 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/3	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	+4.0	66.0	L 28 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/10	North Carolina at Duke	+7.5	58.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/17	North Carolina vs Western Carolina	-31.0	81.5	W 49 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/24	North Carolina vs NC State	+7.5	61.5	L 28 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

California's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	California vs North Carolina	-7.0	57.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/8	California at BYU	+2.5	47.5	W 21 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/15	California vs Idaho State	-36.5	58.5	W 45 - 23	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	California vs Oregon	+2.0	58.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/6	California at Arizona	-2.5	54.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/13	California vs UCLA	-6.5	53.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/20	California at Oregon State	-8.5	58.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/27	California vs Washington	+12.0	46.0	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/3	California at Washington State	+7.0	51.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/10	California at USC	+5.5	45.5	W 15 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/24	California vs Colorado	-10.5	44.5	W 33 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/1	California vs Stanford	+3.0	46.5	L 13 - 23	U	N
Wed 12/26	California vs TCU	-1.5	38.5	L 7 - 10	U	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	.09	41%	19.3	41%	2.63	144	40%	225	3.39	.21	45%	24.5	48%	40%	3.28	72.7	1.8	1.3
CAL	.14	43%	25.3	44%	2.81	126	40%	259	3.24	.18	47%	27.2	48%	44%	3.24	54.8	1.7	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	12	19.3	17.5	40.8%	3.39	1.8	20	370	144	225	4.1	46%	53%	41%	40%	19%	.09
CAL Defense	12	27.2	24.3	47.1%	3.24	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	48%	44%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	12	24.5	23	45%	3.28	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	48%	40%	17%	.21
CAL Offense	12	25.3	27.2	43%	3.24	1.7	22	385	126	259	3.6	42%	56%	44%	40%	17%	.14

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	12	26:32	19.6	30%	62%	7.8	72.7	1.8	1.3	6	1.9	2	32.1
California	12	29:29	22.1	40%	68%	6.5	54.8	1.7	1.9	5.6	2.3	1	30

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	12	46%	41%	35.6	144.2	4.1	17	.04	2.63	74%	11%	0.93
CAL Defense	12	51%	48%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.06	88%	10%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	12	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.04	74%	10%	0.98
CAL Offense	12	42%	44%	34.7	125.6	3.6	17	.09	2.81	65%	11%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	12	53%	40%	18.4	33.9	225.4	6.7	12.2	20	16	.15	1.6	33%	33%	.22	8%	1.8
CAL Defense	12	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.25	1.5	30%	35%	.24	6%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	12	43%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.7	32%	36%	.4	7%	1.9
CAL Offense	12	56%	40%	23.2	39.7	258.9	6.5	11.2	19	12	.18	1.6	35%	39%	.39	6%	1.7

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2018 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #88
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #57
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #94

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: California: 4.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: -2.5 California: 3.9

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 4.45 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2018 Expected Record: -
California's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #118
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

North Carolina's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
California 25
North Carolina 22

Projected Total Points: 47

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/17	California	21	North Carolina	18	California -7.5	North Carolina	45.5	Under
2018	09/01	California	24	North Carolina	17	California -7	Push	57.5	Under
2017	09/02	North Carolina	30	California	35	North Carolina -12.5	California	57.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
California	3	1	1 Overs
North Carolina	0	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#) UNC at (#) CAL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNC	CAL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#55
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#28	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Carolina Injury Report

California Injury Report

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	CAL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	UNC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
California -7.0 (57.5)
California won vs North Carolina this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
California beat North Carolina last year (21-18)

UNC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CAL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD