Boise State at San Diego State - 2017 Matchup Preview

Boise State Broncos at San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, October 14th 2017 (10:30 PM EDT)
San Diego State -5.5 (47.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Boise State 31 - San Diego State: 14 (Mountain West)

Broncos (11 - 3) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BSU 2nd straight Road Game
SDSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ BSU -4.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 18 - SDSU: 26 (44)
SDSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
BSU Travel: 749 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aztecs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boise State vs Troy	-11.0	59.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Boise State at Washington State	+7.5	58.0	L 44 - 47	O	Y
Thu 9/14	Boise State vs New Mexico	-16.0	56.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Fri 9/22	Boise State vs Virginia	-13.5	50.0	L 23 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Boise State at BYU	-7.5	46.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Boise State at San Diego State	+5.5	47.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Boise State vs Wyoming	-15.0	44.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/28	Boise State at Utah State	-13.0	51.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Boise State vs Nevada	-20.5	63.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boise State at Colorado State	-6.5	59.0	W 59 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Boise State vs Air Force	-17.5	60.5	W 44 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Boise State at Fresno State	-6.5	49.0	L 17 - 28	U	N
Sat 12/2	Boise State vs Fresno State	-9.5	51.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs Oregon	+7.0	63.0	W 38 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

San Diego State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	San Diego State vs UC Davis	-35.0
Sat 9/9	San Diego State at Arizona State	+3.0	54.5	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	San Diego State vs Stanford	+9.0	48.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	San Diego State at Air Force	-1.5	48.0	W 28 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/30	San Diego State vs Northern Illinois	-9.5	47.5	W 34 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/7	San Diego State at UNLV	-9.5	56.5	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	San Diego State vs Boise State	-5.5	47.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	San Diego State vs Fresno State	-6.5	49.5	L 3 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/28	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-8.0	54.0	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	San Diego State at San José State	-24.0	50.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	San Diego State vs Nevada	-17.5	56.0	W 42 - 23	O	Y
Fri 11/24	San Diego State vs New Mexico	-20.5	48.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/23	San Diego State vs Army	-6.5	46.0	L 35 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.28	49%	29.9	48%	3.04	174	49%	298	4.35	.12	43%	24.1	43%	40%	2.86	37.8	1.4	0.7
SDSU	.22	45%	26.4	44%	2.84	263	42%	145	3.91	.07	37%	15.4	37%	36%	3.26	60.2	1.1	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	13	29.9	19.8	48.9%	4.35	1.4	23	473	174	298	4.6	51%	47%	48%	49%	14%	.28
SDSU Defense	14	15.4	6.8	37.1%	3.26	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	36%	18%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	13	24.1	23.8	42.6%	2.86	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	43%	40%	15%	.12
SDSU Offense	14	26.4	31.2	45.1%	3.91	1.1	20	407	263	145	5.8	66%	31%	44%	42%	15%	.22

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	13	28:01	23.1	48%	53%	4.3	37.8	1.4	0.7	6.2	3.2	1	26.2
San Diego State	14	31:22	19.9	40%	46%	7	60.2	1.1	2.1	5.4	2.7	8	33.6

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	13	51%	48%	37.9	174.5	4.6	29	.17	3.04	75%	10%	0.98
SDSU Defense	14	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	2.5	76%	9%	0.82

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	13	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.95	85%	9%	0.91
SDSU Offense	14	66%	44%	45.4	262.9	5.8	34	.21	2.84	82%	12%	1.16

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	13	47%	49%	19.5	31.2	298.3	9.6	15.3	28	8	.43	1.7	28%	42%	.52	4%	1.9
SDSU Defense	14	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	27	.15	1.7	36%	28%	.19	9%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.17	1.5	33%	32%	.19	6%	1.7
SDSU Offense	14	31%	42%	11.1	18.3	144.5	7.9	13.1	20	6	.28	1.6	31%	34%	.29	4%	1.6

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #37
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #63
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: San Diego State: 4.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 9.1 San Diego State: 4.5

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 4.75 NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San Diego State's 2017 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #54
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #67
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 26
Boise State 18

Projected Total Points: 44

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	San Diego State	17	Boise State	7	San Diego State -1.5	San Diego State	41.5	Under
2024	11/01	Boise State	56	San Diego State	24	Boise State -24.5	Boise State	55.5	Over
2023	09/22	San Diego State	31	Boise State	34	Boise State -6.5	San Diego State	46.0	Over
2022	09/30	Boise State	35	San Diego State	13	Boise State -6	Boise State	38.0	Over
2021	11/26	San Diego State	27	Boise State	16	Boise State -3	San Diego State	44.0	Under
2018	10/06	Boise State	13	San Diego State	19	Boise State -13.5	San Diego State	50.0	Under
2017	10/14	San Diego State	14	Boise State	31	San Diego State -5.5	Boise State	47.0	Under
2014	11/15	Boise State	38	San Diego State	29	Boise State -15	San Diego State	0
2013	11/23	San Diego State	34	Boise State	31	Boise State -6	San Diego State	0
2012	11/03	Boise State	19	San Diego State	21
2011	11/19	San Diego State	35	Boise State	52

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	5	6	3 Overs
Boise State	6	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	6 - 3	3 - 3	3 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 6	3 - 6	0 - 3	3 - 3

(#) BSU at (#) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	SDSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#54
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#71	#82
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boise State Injury Report

San Diego State Injury Report

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	SDSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Qualcomm Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
San Diego State -5.5 (47.0)
Boise State won at San Diego State this year (31-14)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Boise State last year (17-7)
Boise State beat San Diego State in 2024 (56-24)
Boise State beat San Diego State in 2023 (34-31)

BSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD