Tulsa at SMU - 2017 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Friday, October 27th 2017 (9:00 PM EDT)
SMU -11.5 (76.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
SMU 38 - Tulsa: 34  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 38 (29 - 43 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA 2nd straight Road Game
TLSA is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ SMU -8)

Projected Score: TLSA: 28 - SMU: 40 (68)
SMU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
TLSA Travel: 234 miles
Mustangs (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 37 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+19.571.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 9/9 Tulsa vs Louisiana-14.059.0W 66 - 42OY
Sat 9/16 Tulsa at Toledo+7.074.0L 51 - 54OY
Sat 9/23 Tulsa vs New Mexico-9.068.5L 13 - 16UN
Sat 9/30 Tulsa vs Navy+7.570.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/7 Tulsa at Tulane+6.054.0L 28 - 62ON
Sat 10/14 Tulsa vs Houston+13.563.5W 45 - 17UY
Sat 10/21 Tulsa at UConn-4.077.0L 14 - 20UN
Fri 10/27 Tulsa at SMU+11.576.5L 34 - 38UY
Fri 11/3 Tulsa vs Memphis+14.581.0L 14 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/16 Tulsa at South Florida+23.565.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 11/25 Tulsa vs Temple+4.556.5L 22 - 43ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
SMU's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-30.0
Sat 9/9 SMU vs North Texas-13.064.5W 54 - 32OY
Sat 9/16 SMU at TCU+22.064.5L 36 - 56OY
Sat 9/23 SMU vs Arkansas State-3.072.0W 44 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 SMU vs UConn-16.575.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 SMU at Houston+10.060.5L 22 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 SMU at Cincinnati-6.066.0W 31 - 28UN
Fri 10/27 SMU vs Tulsa-11.576.5W 38 - 34UN
Sat 11/4 SMU vs UCF+14.075.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/11 SMU at Navy+1.566.0L 40 - 43ON
Sat 11/18 SMU at Memphis+10.571.5L 45 - 66ON
Sat 11/25 SMU vs Tulane-7.565.0W 41 - 38ON
Wed 12/20 SMU vs Louisiana Tech-4.070.5L 10 - 51UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.1842%29.346%2.9224733%1733.52.3147%37.545%47%3.6601.11.1
SMU.2345%37.845%2.9918444%2943.93.2546%36.746%46%3.359.21.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1229.328.542.4%3.521.122420247173564%35%46%33%15%.18
SMU Defense1336.728.346.4%3.31.8 - - - - - 56%43%46%46%17%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1237.543.347%3.61.1 - - - - - 59%40%45%47%13%.31
SMU Offense1337.84445.3%3.931.5244781842944.946%53%45%44%15%.23

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1228:0121.844%61%7601.11.14.91129.4
SMU1329:322443%70%6.459.21.51.86.92.4234
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1264%46%49.3247.3536.252.9273%9%1.12
SMU Defense1356%46% - - - - .182.9561%12%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1259%45% - - - - .23.3366%8%1.13
SMU Offense1346%45%37.4184.44.926.182.9966%9%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1235%33%1324.3173.17.113.368.061.732%33%.256%1.8
SMU Defense1343%46% - - - - - - 12.351.730%39%.446%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1240%47% - - - - - - 7.471.929%41%.465%1.8
SMU Offense1353%44%21.837.5294.17.913.53513.291.731%39%.377%2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2017 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7  #103
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #76
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    SMU: 1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -10.7   SMU: -2.9




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 1.05 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2017 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #82
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #25
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #110

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.5
Defense: 37.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 43.3

Tulsa's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 40
Tulsa 28


Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 39
Tulsa 25

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
SMU 41
Tulsa 31

Total Points: 72
SMU Scoring
Offense: 37.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 36.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

SMU's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28SMU69Tulsa10SMU -20.5SMU55.0Over
202210/29Tulsa34SMU45SMU -1SMU63.5Over
202111/27SMU31Tulsa34SMU -6Tulsa63.0Over
202011/14Tulsa28SMU24SMU -2.0Tulsa64.0Under
201910/05SMU43Tulsa37SMU -12Tulsa63.5Over
201811/24Tulsa27SMU24SMU -2.5Tulsa52.5Under
201710/27SMU38Tulsa34SMU -11.5Tulsa76.5Under
201610/07Tulsa43SMU40Tulsa -11SMU68.0Over
201510/31SMU31Tulsa40Tulsa -1.5Tulsa75.5Under
201411/08Tulsa38SMU28Tulsa -9.5Tulsa0
201211/24SMU35Tulsa27
201110/29Tulsa38SMU7
201010/09SMU21Tulsa18
200910/31Tulsa13SMU27
200810/11SMU31Tulsa37
200710/27Tulsa29SMU23
200611/18SMU34Tulsa24
200510/22Tulsa20SMU13
200411/06SMU41Tulsa35
200310/25Tulsa35SMU16
200111/17Tulsa14SMU24
200011/10SMU24Tulsa20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU1135 Overs
Tulsa1174 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 64 - 62 - 42 - 2
Road Teams6 - 166 - 42 - 24 - 2

(#) TLSA at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSASMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #103 #82
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #80 #73
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #76 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 47° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 9
SMU -11.5 (76.5)
SMU won vs Tulsa this year (38-34)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Tulsa in 2023 (69-10)
SMU beat Tulsa in 2022 (45-34)

  
TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD