Iowa State at Texas - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#22)Iowa State Cyclones at Texas Longhorns

Saturday, October 15th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas -13.5 (69.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas 27 - Iowa State: 6 (Big 12)

Cyclones (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 31 (18 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ISU 2nd straight Road Game
ISU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ TEX -10)
Projected Score: ISU: 26 - TEX: 35 (61)
TEX Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ISU Travel: 842 miles

Longhorns (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 32 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-11.0
Sat 9/10	Iowa State at Iowa	+18.0	49.0	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/17	Iowa State at TCU	+23.5	60.5	L 20 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Iowa State vs San José State	-6.0	52.0	W 44 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Iowa State vs Baylor	+17.0	62.0	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Iowa State at Oklahoma State	+16.5	68.5	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Iowa State at Texas	+13.5	69.0	L 6 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Iowa State vs Kansas State	+6.0	50.5	L 26 - 31	O	Y
Thu 11/3	Iowa State vs Oklahoma	+19.5	71.0	L 24 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Iowa State at Kansas	-11.5	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/19	Iowa State vs Texas Tech	+3.0	74.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Iowa State vs West Virginia	+9.0	60.5	L 19 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Texas's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/4	Texas vs Notre Dame	+2.5	54.5	W 50 - 47	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Texas vs UTEP	-26.0	58.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Texas at California	-6.0	79.5	L 43 - 50	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Texas at Oklahoma State	+3.0	68.0	L 31 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/8	Texas vs Oklahoma	+6.5	72.5	L 40 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Texas vs Iowa State	-13.5	69.0	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Texas at Kansas State	+3.0	54.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Texas vs Baylor	+3.5	75.5	W 35 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Texas at Texas Tech	-4.0	85.5	W 45 - 37	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Texas vs West Virginia	+1.0	66.0	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Texas at Kansas	-21.0	61.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/25	Texas vs TCU	-3.0	60.5	L 9 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	.17	44%	27.7	44%	3.11	163	42%	259	3.76	.25	49%	31.3	52%	43%	4.46	56.8	1.3	1.1
TEX	.17	47%	31.9	49%	3.33	239	43%	252	3.3	.19	43%	31.5	44%	41%	3.55	64.1	1.9	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5
TEX	#39 (.24)	46% (27)		49% (16)	2.95 (84)	152	44% (43)	241	4.03 (54)	#3 (-.01)	38% (22)		42% (61)	34% (7)	2.57 (3)	44.3	1.4	1.8

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	12	27.7	18.2	43.9%	3.76	1.3	21	422	163	259	4.3	47%	51%	44%	42%	16%	.17
TEX Defense	12	31.5	24.8	43.3%	3.55	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	44%	41%	18%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	12	31.3	34.4	48.9%	4.46	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	52%	43%	16%	.25
TEX Offense	12	31.9	30.3	47.2%	3.3	1.9	25	491	239	252	4.8	56%	42%	49%	43%	14%	.17

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	12	29:39	21.2	43%	48%	6.3	56.8	1.3	1.1	6.7	1.6	2	28.6
Texas	12	28:16	25.2	36%	50%	7.1	64.1	1.9	1.5	7.8	3.4	0	30.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	12	47%	44%	38.2	162.8	4.3	18	.09	3.11	70%	9%	0.85
TEX Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.92	77%	12%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	12	55%	52%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.18	76%	10%	0.94
TEX Offense	12	56%	49%	49.8	239.3	4.8	27	.19	3.33	80%	8%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	12	51%	42%	19.6	33.2	258.8	7.8	13.2	21	8	.27	1.6	33%	32%	.29	7%	1.8
TEX Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	33%	36%	.42	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.29	1.6	28%	37%	.27	7%	1.6
TEX Offense	12	42%	43%	20.1	33.5	252	7.5	12.6	21	12	.16	1.4	28%	29%	.13	6%	1.5

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7 #65
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #81
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: Texas: 7.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 0.7 Texas: 10.6

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 7.8 NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas's 2016 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #36
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #25
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #50

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Iowa State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 35
Iowa State 26

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas 38
Iowa State 26

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Texas 32
Iowa State 26

Total Points: 58

Texas Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Texas's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Iowa State	16	Texas	26	Texas -7.5	Texas	43.5	Under
2022	10/15	Texas	24	Iowa State	21	Texas -15.5	Iowa State	48.5	Under
2021	11/06	Iowa State	30	Texas	7	Iowa State -6	Iowa State	59.5	Under
2020	11/27	Texas	20	Iowa State	23	Iowa State -2	Iowa State	58.0	Under
2019	11/16	Iowa State	23	Texas	21	Iowa State -7	Texas	64.5	Under
2018	11/17	Texas	24	Iowa State	10	Texas -2.5	Texas	49.5	Under
2017	09/28	Iowa State	7	Texas	17	Texas -5	Texas	61.5	Under
2016	10/15	Texas	27	Iowa State	6	Texas -13.5	Texas	69.0	Under
2015	10/31	Iowa State	24	Texas	0	Texas -9.5	Iowa State	50.0	Under
2014	10/18	Texas	48	Iowa State	45	Texas -11	Iowa State	0
2013	10/03	Iowa State	30	Texas	31	Texas -7.5	Iowa State	0
2012	11/10	Texas	33	Iowa State	7
2011	10/01	Iowa State	14	Texas	37
2010	10/23	Texas	21	Iowa State	28
2007	10/13	Iowa State	3	Texas	56
2006	09/23	Texas	37	Iowa State	14
2003	10/18	Iowa State	19	Texas	40
2002	10/26	Texas	21	Iowa State	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	13	5	0 Overs
Iowa State	5	6	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 8	5 - 6	3 - 3	2 - 3
Road Teams	8 - 10	6 - 5	3 - 2	3 - 3

(#) ISU at (#) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#36
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#56	#11
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Iowa State Injury Report

Texas Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#67
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

ISU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 88° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Texas -13.5 (69.0)
Texas won vs Iowa State this year (27-6)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Iowa State in 2023 (26-16)
Texas beat Iowa State in 2022 (24-21)

ISU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TEX's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD