Oregon at TCU - 2015 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo (#5)Oregon Ducks vs TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, January 2nd 2016 (6:45 PM EST)
Oregon -7.5 (73.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 47 - Oregon: 41  (VALERO ALAMO BOWL)

 
Ducks (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 38 (39 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ORE: 31 - TCU: 36 (67)
ORE Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ORE Travel: 1685 miles, 2 hrs behind
Horned Frogs (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 27 (45 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oregon vs Eastern Washington-35.0
Sat 9/12 Oregon at Michigan State+5.066.0L 28 - 31UY
Sat 9/19 Oregon vs Georgia State-48.571.5W 61 - 28ON
Sat 9/26 Oregon vs Utah-14.063.0L 20 - 62ON
Sat 10/3 Oregon at Colorado-12.068.5W 41 - 24UY
Sat 10/10 Oregon vs Washington State-20.071.0L 38 - 45ON
Sat 10/17 Oregon at Washington+3.058.5W 26 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/29 Oregon at Arizona State+2.565.5W 61 - 55OY
Sat 11/7 Oregon vs California-7.575.5W 44 - 28UY
Sat 11/14 Oregon at Stanford+8.565.5W 38 - 36OY
Sat 11/21 Oregon vs USC-2.572.0W 48 - 28OY
Fri 11/27 Oregon vs Oregon State-30.071.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 1/2 Oregon vs TCU-7.573.5L 41 - 47ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
TCU's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 TCU at Minnesota-16.057.0W 23 - 17UN
Sat 9/12 TCU vs Stephen F. Austin-49.0
Sat 9/19 TCU vs SMU-38.068.5W 56 - 37ON
Sat 9/26 TCU at Texas Tech-9.583.5W 55 - 52ON
Sat 10/3 TCU vs Texas-18.573.0W 50 - 7UY
Sat 10/10 TCU at Kansas State-7.061.5W 52 - 45ON
Sat 10/17 TCU at Iowa State-18.068.0W 45 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/29 TCU vs West Virginia-14.572.5W 40 - 10UY
Sat 11/7 TCU at Oklahoma State-5.076.0L 29 - 49ON
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Kansas-43.071.0W 23 - 17UN
Sat 11/21 TCU at Oklahoma+19.064.0L 29 - 30UY
Fri 11/27 TCU vs Baylor+2.075.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 1/2 TCU vs Oregon+7.573.5W 47 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE.2849%4350%3.3528046%2583.95.2146%37.548%43%3.95611.31.7
TCU.2649%42.148%3.1621547%3473.88.0938%27.241%32%3.4370.91.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense134338.849.2%3.951.3265382802585.957%41%50%46%2%.28
TCU Defense1327.216.537.8%3.431.5 - - - - - 52%46%41%32%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1337.533.246.3%3.951.7 - - - - - 42%56%48%43%2%.21
TCU Offense1342.144.548.5%3.881.528563215347548%51%48%47%2%.26

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1327:1525.739%57%6.9611.31.700330.6
TCU1331:2127.543%47%7.270.91.51.500330.3
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1357%50%47.5279.95.934.283.3566%0%1.09
TCU Defense1352%41% - - - - .12.8170%0%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1342%48% - - - - .182.9475%0%1
TCU Offense1348%48%43.2215.4526.123.1665%0%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1341%46%18.228.8258.3914.23310.331.730%39%.382%1.9
TCU Defense1346%32% - - - - - - 7.11.833%27%.192%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 13.251.531%38%.352%1.7
TCU Offense1351%47%25.139.8347.58.713.93915.41.729%38%.392%1.8

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon's 2015 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon:    TCU: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon:    TCU:




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 0 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2015 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 43 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.8
Defense: 37.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Oregon's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 36
Oregon 31

Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 33
Oregon 31

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
TCU 39
Oregon 31

Total Points: 70
TCU Scoring
Offense: 42.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.5
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

TCU's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201501/02TCU47Oregon41Oregon -7.5TCU73.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU111 Overs
Oregon000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

Oregon Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2015Alamo Bowl Oregon vs TCU-7.573.5L 41 - 47
2014CFP Nat'l Title Oregon vs Ohio State-5.572.0L 20 - 42
2014CFP Semifinal Oregon vs Florida State-7.574.0W 59 - 20
2013Alamo Bowl Oregon vs Texas-14.567.0W 30 - 7
2012Fiesta Bowl Oregon vs Kansas State  W 35 - 17
2011Rose Bowl Oregon vs Wisconsin  W 45 - 38
2010TOSTITOS BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME Oregon vs Auburn  L 19 - 22
2009Rose Bowl Oregon vs Ohio State  L 17 - 26
TCU Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2015Alamo Bowl TCU vs Oregon+7.573.5W 47 - 41
2014Peach Bowl TCU vs Ole Miss-3.055.0W 42 - 3
2012Wings Bowl TCU vs Michigan State  L 16 - 17
2011Poinsettia Bowl TCU vs Louisiana Tech  W 31 - 24
2010Rose Bowl TCU vs Wisconsin  W 21 - 19
2009Fiesta Bowl TCU vs Boise State  L 10 - 17
  
(#) ORE at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORETCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #20 #39
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCat
ORE OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffORE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 41°Rain: 0.051
Rematch from Week 1
Oregon 7.5 (73.5)
TCU won vs Oregon this year (47-41)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ORE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ORE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD