Oregon State at Oregon - 2015 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo   Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks  Oregon logo
Friday, November 27th 2015 (4:00 PM EST)
Oregon -30 (71.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oregon 52 - Oregon State: 42  (Pac-12)

 
Beavers (2 - 10) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORE 2nd straight Home Game
ORE is playing their 5th straight game
ORST is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: ORST: 16 - ORE: 36 (52)
ORE Win prob: 99% | Cover: 54%
ORST Travel: 36 miles
Ducks (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Oregon State vs Weber State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Oregon State at Michigan+14.046.0L 7 - 35UN
Sat 9/19 Oregon State vs San José State-8.050.0W 35 - 21OY
Fri 9/25 Oregon State vs Stanford+16.547.0L 24 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Oregon State at Arizona+12.566.5L 7 - 44UN
Sat 10/17 Oregon State at Washington State+8.062.0L 31 - 52ON
Sat 10/24 Oregon State vs Colorado-3.559.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 10/31 Oregon State at Utah+21.552.5L 12 - 27UY
Sat 11/7 Oregon State vs UCLA+15.560.0L 0 - 41UN
Sat 11/14 Oregon State at California+17.564.0L 24 - 54ON
Sat 11/21 Oregon State vs Washington+16.048.0L 7 - 52ON
Fri 11/27 Oregon State at Oregon+30.071.5L 42 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Oregon's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oregon vs Eastern Washington-35.0
Sat 9/12 Oregon at Michigan State+5.066.0L 28 - 31UY
Sat 9/19 Oregon vs Georgia State-48.571.5W 61 - 28ON
Sat 9/26 Oregon vs Utah-14.063.0L 20 - 62ON
Sat 10/3 Oregon at Colorado-12.068.5W 41 - 24UY
Sat 10/10 Oregon vs Washington State-20.071.0L 38 - 45ON
Sat 10/17 Oregon at Washington+3.058.5W 26 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/29 Oregon at Arizona State+2.565.5W 61 - 55OY
Sat 11/7 Oregon vs California-7.575.5W 44 - 28UY
Sat 11/14 Oregon at Stanford+8.565.5W 38 - 36OY
Sat 11/21 Oregon vs USC-2.572.0W 48 - 28OY
Fri 11/27 Oregon vs Oregon State-30.071.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 1/2 Oregon vs TCU-7.573.5L 41 - 47ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST.1243%17.642%2.6711841%2753.18.2143%29.447%38%3.879.81.21.5
ORE.4152%36.952%3.7923551%3124.55.1545%17.945%43%3.01720.72.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1217.611.842.7%3.181.2213941182753.841%56%42%41%1%.12
ORE Defense1517.916.845%3.012.3 - - - - - 46%52%45%43%1%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1229.435.243.1%3.81.5 - - - - - 43%55%47%38%2%.21
ORE Offense1536.943.152.2%4.550.7275472353125.551%47%52%51%1%.41

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1232:2920.832%42%8.979.81.21.500231.6
Oregon1527:4527.149%61%8.2720.72.300234
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1241%42%31.3118.13.819.062.6771%0%0.96
ORE Defense1546%45% - - - - .063.0658%0%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1243%47% - - - - .273.1766%0%1.15
ORE Offense1551%52%42.9234.55.542.333.7969%0%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1256%41%24.239.3275.4711.4158.171.532%32%.261%1.9
ORE Defense1552%43% - - - - - - 13.251.432%39%.361%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1255%38% - - - - - - 11.191.532%33%.322%1.8
ORE Offense1547%51%21.731.6312.59.914.4444.531.727%41%.521%1.8

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State:    Oregon: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State:    Oregon:




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2015 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2015 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 36
Oregon State 16


Projected Total Points: 52
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Oregon41Oregon State7Oregon -33.5Oregon58.5Under
202409/14Oregon State14Oregon49Oregon -16Oregon50.0Over
202311/24Oregon31Oregon State7Oregon -14Oregon61.5Under
202211/26Oregon State38Oregon34Oregon State -1Oregon State57.0Over
202111/27Oregon38Oregon State29Oregon -7.5Oregon61.5Over
202011/27Oregon State41Oregon38Oregon -13Oregon State64.5Over
201911/30Oregon24Oregon State10Oregon -20.5Oregon State65.5Under
201811/23Oregon State15Oregon55Oregon -18Oregon71.0Under
201711/25Oregon69Oregon State10Oregon -25.5Oregon63.0Over
201611/26Oregon State34Oregon24Oregon -3Oregon State69.0Under
201511/27Oregon52Oregon State42Oregon -30Oregon State71.5Over
201411/29Oregon State19Oregon47Oregon -17.5Oregon0
201311/29Oregon36Oregon State35Oregon -21Oregon State0
201211/24Oregon State24Oregon48
201111/26Oregon49Oregon State21
201012/04Oregon State20Oregon37
200912/03Oregon37Oregon State33
200811/29Oregon State38Oregon65
200712/01Oregon31Oregon State38
200611/24Oregon State30Oregon28
200511/19Oregon56Oregon State14
200411/20Oregon State50Oregon21
200311/22Oregon34Oregon State20
200112/01Oregon17Oregon State14
200011/17Oregon State23Oregon13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon1876 Overs
Oregon State765 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams18 - 77 - 65 - 32 - 3
Road Teams7 - 186 - 73 - 23 - 5

(#) ORST at (#) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORSTORE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #55 #20
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCat
ORST OffORE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCatORE OffORST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffORST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCatORE OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Oregon -30.0 (71.5)
Oregon won vs Oregon State this year (52-42)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Oregon State last year (41-7)
Oregon beat Oregon State in 2024 (49-14)
Oregon beat Oregon State in 2023 (31-7)

  
ORST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ORST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ORE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ORE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD