Baylor at TCU - 2015 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo   Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs  TCU logo
Friday, November 27th 2015 (7:30 PM EST)
Baylor -2 (75.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 28 - Baylor: 21  (Big 12)

 
Bears (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BAY 2nd straight Road Game
TCU is playing their 5th straight game
BAY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BAY: 28 - TCU: 35 (63)
BAY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BAY Travel: 81 miles
Horned Frogs (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Baylor at SMU-20.071.0W 56 - 21OY
Sat 9/12 Baylor vs Lamar-59.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Baylor vs Rice-33.074.0W 70 - 17OY
Sat 10/3 Baylor vs Texas Tech-15.588.0W 63 - 35OY
Sat 10/10 Baylor at Kansas-38.076.5W 66 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Baylor vs West Virginia-18.075.5W 62 - 38OY
Sat 10/24 Baylor vs Iowa State-37.074.5W 45 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Baylor at Kansas State-18.567.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/14 Baylor vs Oklahoma-6.076.0L 34 - 44ON
Sat 11/21 Baylor at Oklahoma State-3.076.5W 45 - 35OY
Fri 11/27 Baylor at TCU-2.075.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 12/5 Baylor vs Texas-20.563.5L 17 - 23UN
Tue 12/29 Baylor vs North Carolina-3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
TCU's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 TCU at Minnesota-16.057.0W 23 - 17UN
Sat 9/12 TCU vs Stephen F. Austin-49.0
Sat 9/19 TCU vs SMU-38.068.5W 56 - 37ON
Sat 9/26 TCU at Texas Tech-9.583.5W 55 - 52ON
Sat 10/3 TCU vs Texas-18.573.0W 50 - 7UY
Sat 10/10 TCU at Kansas State-7.061.5W 52 - 45ON
Sat 10/17 TCU at Iowa State-18.068.0W 45 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/29 TCU vs West Virginia-14.572.5W 40 - 10UY
Sat 11/7 TCU at Oklahoma State-5.076.0L 29 - 49ON
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Kansas-43.071.0W 23 - 17UN
Sat 11/21 TCU at Oklahoma+19.064.0L 29 - 30UY
Fri 11/27 TCU vs Baylor+2.075.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 1/2 TCU vs Oregon+7.573.5W 47 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.349%31.150%3.2121647%3664.01.1340%32.640%38%3.6288.412
TCU.2348%30.749%3.0920743%3263.91.0235%25.332%35%2.1757.81.73.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1331.133.249.2%4.011305812163664.549%49%50%47%1%.3
TCU Defense1325.324.234.9%2.173.1 - - - - - 46%52%32%35%3%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1332.639.239.9%3.622 - - - - - 47%52%40%38%2%.13
TCU Offense1330.73647.5%3.911.7255332073265.344%53%49%43%2%.23

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1328:5630.147%74%9.888.41200032.4
TCU1331:2925.543%50%6.357.81.73.100735.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1349%50%47.6215.54.543.233.2179%0%0.94
TCU Defense1346%32% - - - - -.052.3162%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1347%40% - - - - .042.5677%0%0.85
TCU Offense1344%49%39.2206.85.332.213.0972%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1349%47%24.839.9365.99.214.7388.391.629%36%.371%1.8
TCU Defense1352%35% - - - - - - 26.111.839%27%.183%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 13.241.834%30%.252%1.9
TCU Offense1353%43%2540.7326.2813.13711.261.631%40%.432%1.8

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2015 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    TCU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    TCU:




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2015 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Baylor's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 35
Baylor 28

Projected Total Points: 63
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18TCU42Baylor36TCU -3.5TCU66.5Over
202411/02Baylor37TCU34Baylor -2.5Baylor64.0Over
202311/18TCU42Baylor17TCU -13.0TCU62.0Under
202211/19Baylor28TCU29TCU -2Baylor58.0Under
202111/06TCU30Baylor28Baylor -7.5TCU57.0Over
202010/31Baylor23TCU33TCU -3.0TCU0
201911/09TCU23Baylor29Baylor -3.0Baylor48.5Over
201811/17Baylor9TCU16Baylor -1TCU50.5Under
201711/24TCU45Baylor22TCU -25.5Baylor53.0Over
201611/05Baylor22TCU62Baylor -9TCU65.0Over
201511/27TCU28Baylor21Baylor -2TCU75.0Under
201410/11Baylor61TCU58Baylor -11TCU0
201311/30TCU38Baylor41Baylor -14TCU0
201210/13Baylor21TCU49
201109/02Baylor50TCU48
201009/18TCU45Baylor10
200709/01TCU27Baylor0
200609/03Baylor7TCU17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1396 Overs
Baylor544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 87 - 63 - 44 - 2
Road Teams8 - 106 - 72 - 44 - 3

(#) BAY at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #31 #39
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Baylor 2.0 (75.0)
TCU won vs Baylor this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Baylor last year (42-36)
Baylor beat TCU in 2024 (37-34)
TCU beat Baylor in 2023 (42-17)

  
BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD