SMU at TCU - 2015 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at TCU Horned Frogs  TCU logo
Saturday, September 19th 2015 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU -38 (68.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 56 - SMU: 37

 
Mustangs (2 - 10) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 28 - TCU: 28 (56)
TCU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 60%
SMU Travel: 35 miles
Horned Frogs (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 SMU vs Baylor+20.071.0L 21 - 56ON
Sat 9/12 SMU vs North Texas-6.060.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/19 SMU at TCU+38.068.5L 37 - 56OY
Sat 9/26 SMU vs James Madison-14.5
Sat 10/3 SMU vs East Carolina+6.564.5L 23 - 49ON
Thu 10/8 SMU at Houston+21.070.0L 28 - 49OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 SMU at South Florida+13.062.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/31 SMU vs Tulsa+1.575.5L 31 - 40UN
Fri 11/6 SMU vs Temple+11.549.5L 40 - 60ON
Sat 11/14 SMU at Navy+20.059.5L 14 - 55ON
Sat 11/21 SMU vs Tulane-3.055.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/28 SMU at Memphis+24.570.0L 0 - 63UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
TCU's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 TCU at Minnesota-16.057.0W 23 - 17UN
Sat 9/12 TCU vs Stephen F. Austin-49.0
Sat 9/19 TCU vs SMU-38.068.5W 56 - 37ON
Sat 9/26 TCU at Texas Tech-9.583.5W 55 - 52ON
Sat 10/3 TCU vs Texas-18.573.0W 50 - 7UY
Sat 10/10 TCU at Kansas State-7.061.5W 52 - 45ON
Sat 10/17 TCU at Iowa State-18.068.0W 45 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/29 TCU vs West Virginia-14.572.5W 40 - 10UY
Sat 11/7 TCU at Oklahoma State-5.076.0L 29 - 49ON
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Kansas-43.071.0W 23 - 17UN
Sat 11/21 TCU at Oklahoma+19.064.0L 29 - 30UY
Fri 11/27 TCU vs Baylor+2.075.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 1/2 TCU vs Oregon+7.573.5W 47 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU-.0335%32.240%2.5510031%1691.98.2949%20.546%50%4.0352.72.51.3
TCU.2348%30.749%3.0920743%3263.91.0235%25.332%35%2.1757.81.73.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.835.4%1.982.5152691001693.339%59%40%31%2%-.03
TCU Defense1325.324.234.9%2.173.1 - - - - - 46%52%32%35%3%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.249.2%4.031.3 - - - - - 55%43%46%50%2%.29
TCU Offense1330.73647.5%3.911.7255332073265.344%53%49%43%2%.23

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1231:2514.633%50%6.252.72.51.300029.5
TCU1331:2925.543%50%6.357.81.73.100735.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1239%40%30.2100.33.39.022.5568%0%0.91
TCU Defense1346%32% - - - - -.052.3162%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1255%46% - - - - .23.4674%0%0.95
TCU Offense1344%49%39.2206.85.332.213.0972%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1259%31%19.235.8168.74.78.8614-.061.338%25%.132%1.7
TCU Defense1352%35% - - - - - - 26.111.839%27%.183%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1243%50% - - - - - - 6.431.528%40%.422%1.7
TCU Offense1353%43%2540.7326.2813.13711.261.631%40%.432%1.8

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2015 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    TCU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    TCU:




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2015 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2015 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 28
TCU 28

Projected Total Points: 56
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20TCU35SMU24TCU -6.5TCU63.5Under
202409/21SMU66TCU42TCU -1SMU58.5Over
202309/23TCU34SMU17TCU -7TCU63.5Under
202209/24SMU34TCU42TCU -2.5TCU72.0Over
202109/25TCU34SMU42TCU -8SMU66.0Over
201909/21TCU38SMU41TCU -7.5SMU54.5Over
201809/07SMU12TCU42TCU -23.5TCU59.5Under
201709/16TCU56SMU36TCU -22SMU64.5Over
201609/23SMU3TCU33TCU -24TCU68.0Under
201509/19TCU56SMU37TCU -38SMU68.5Over
201409/27SMU0TCU56TCU -31TCU0
201309/28TCU48SMU17TCU -19.5TCU0
201209/29SMU16TCU24
201110/01TCU33SMU40
201009/24SMU24TCU41
200910/03TCU39SMU14
200809/20SMU7TCU48
200709/22TCU21SMU7
200509/10SMU21TCU10
200409/11TCU44SMU0
200311/29SMU13TCU20
200209/14TCU17SMU6
200109/08SMU10TCU38
200011/23SMU7TCU62
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1976 Overs
SMU554 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams13 - 118 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#) SMU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #75 #39
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
TCU -38.0 (68.5)
TCU won vs SMU this year (56-37)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat SMU last year (35-24)
SMU beat TCU in 2024 (66-42)
TCU beat SMU in 2023 (34-17)

  
SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD