Toledo at Bowling Green - 2015 Matchup Preview
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Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons

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Tuesday, November 17th 2015 (6:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -9 (72.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 44 - Bowling Green: 28  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (10 - 2) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 23 - BGSU: 17 (40)
BGSU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TOL Travel: 19 miles
Falcons (10 - 4) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Toledo at Arkansas+21.056.0W 16 - 12UY
Sat 9/19 Toledo vs Iowa State-6.558.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 9/26 Toledo vs Arkansas State-10.058.0W 37 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 Toledo at Ball State-9.554.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Toledo vs Kent State-15.547.0W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-28.063.0W 63 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Toledo at Massachusetts-9.561.0W 51 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/3 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.062.0L 27 - 32UN
Tue 11/10 Toledo at Central Michigan-6.054.5W 28 - 23UN
Tue 11/17 Toledo at Bowling Green+9.072.5W 44 - 28UY
Fri 11/27 Toledo vs Western Michigan-7.058.0L 30 - 35ON
Tue 12/22 Toledo vs Temple+1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Bowling Green vs Tennessee+17.067.5L 30 - 59ON
Sat 9/12 Bowling Green at Maryland+10.070.5W 48 - 27OY
Sat 9/19 Bowling Green vs Memphis+4.071.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 9/26 Bowling Green at Purdue+1.574.0W 35 - 28UY
Sat 10/3 Bowling Green at Buffalo-6.567.5W 28 - 22UN
Sat 10/10 Bowling Green vs Massachusetts-13.578.5W 62 - 38OY
Sat 10/17 Bowling Green vs Akron-11.562.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 10/24 Bowling Green at Kent State-9.559.0W 48 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Bowling Green vs Ohio-13.566.0W 62 - 24OY
Wed 11/11 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-4.572.0W 41 - 27UY
Tue 11/17 Bowling Green vs Toledo-9.072.5L 28 - 44UN
Tue 11/24 Bowling Green at Ball State-20.574.0W 48 - 10UY
Fri 12/4 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-8.069.0W 34 - 14UY
Wed 12/23 Bowling Green vs Georgia Southern-7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2850%30.853%3.4225646%2354.11.1943%13.341%43%3.852.21.31.1
BGSU.1240%20.541%2.8317336%2603.49.1645%24.345%44%3.662.31.62.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1330.817.350.3%4.111.3254912562355.856%42%53%46%2%.28
BGSU Defense1424.319.545.3%3.62.4 - - - - - 45%54%45%44%2%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1313.316.743.1%3.81.1 - - - - - 44%54%41%43%2%.19
BGSU Offense1420.51739.8%3.491.6224331732604.447%51%41%36%2%.12

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1332:2224.846%64%652.21.31.100028.8
Bowling Green1426:1422.138%30%7.962.31.62.400329.5
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1356%53%44.3256.45.835.253.4275%0%0.9
BGSU Defense1445%45% - - - - .092.860%0%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1344%41% - - - - -.032.4370%0%0.85
BGSU Offense1447%41%39.71734.430.152.8376%0%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1342%46%18.830.6234.87.712.5249.351.627%38%.342%1.7
BGSU Defense1454%44% - - - - - - 16.231.431%35%.32%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1354%43% - - - - - - 10.381.734%32%.252%1.9
BGSU Offense1451%36%22.639.1259.96.711.51713.121.533%32%.332%2

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Bowling Green: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Bowling Green:




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2015 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 23
Bowling Green 17

Projected Total Points: 40
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Bowling Green28Toledo23Toledo -10.5Bowling Green45.5Over
202410/26Toledo26Bowling Green41Toledo -1.5Bowling Green47.5Over
202311/14Bowling Green31Toledo32Toledo -9.5Bowling Green48.5Over
202211/15Toledo35Bowling Green42Toledo -14.5Bowling Green47.0Over
202111/10Bowling Green17Toledo49Toledo -10.5Toledo50.0Over
202011/04Toledo38Bowling Green3Toledo -24Toledo63.0Under
201910/12Bowling Green20Toledo7Toledo -26.5Bowling Green65.0Under
201810/06Toledo52Bowling Green36Toledo -23Bowling Green71.0Over
201711/15Bowling Green37Toledo66Toledo -17.5Toledo66.0Over
201610/15Toledo42Bowling Green35Toledo -24Bowling Green71.0Over
201511/17Bowling Green28Toledo44Bowling Green -9Toledo72.5Under
201411/19Toledo27Bowling Green20Toledo -6.5Toledo0
201310/26Bowling Green25Toledo28Bowling Green -3Toledo0
201209/15Toledo27Bowling Green15
201110/15Bowling Green21Toledo28
201011/17Toledo33Bowling Green14
200911/27Bowling Green38Toledo24
200811/28Toledo10Bowling Green38
200711/23Bowling Green37Toledo10
200611/21Toledo31Bowling Green21
200511/22Bowling Green41Toledo44
200411/23Toledo49Bowling Green41
200311/29Bowling Green31Toledo23
200111/23Bowling Green56Toledo21
200011/21Toledo51Bowling Green17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green978 Overs
Toledo1663 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 105 - 82 - 63 - 2
Road Teams10 - 158 - 52 - 36 - 2

(#) TOL at (#) BGSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLBGSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #80 #78
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffBGSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCatBGSU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCatBGSU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Bowling Green -9.0 (72.5)
Toledo won at Bowling Green this year (44-28)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Toledo last year (28-23)
Bowling Green beat Toledo in 2024 (41-26)
Toledo beat Bowling Green in 2023 (32-31)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD