Western Michigan at Toledo - 2015 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Friday, November 27th 2015 (12:00 PM EST)
Toledo -7 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 35 - Toledo: 30  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 28 (32 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
WMU 2nd straight Road Game
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
WMU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: WMU: 31 - TOL: 31 (62)
TOL Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 111 miles
Rockets (10 - 2) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (38 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Western Michigan vs Michigan State+23.555.0L 24 - 37OY
Sat 9/12 Western Michigan at Georgia Southern-4.555.5L 17 - 43ON
Sat 9/19 Western Michigan vs Murray State-32.5
Sat 9/26 Western Michigan at Ohio State+27.062.0L 12 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-5.051.5W 41 - 39ON
Sat 10/17 Western Michigan at Ohio+4.053.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 10/24 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)-20.055.0W 35 - 13UY
Thu 10/29 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-20.565.0W 58 - 28OY
Thu 11/5 Western Michigan vs Ball State-13.562.0W 54 - 7UY
Wed 11/11 Western Michigan vs Bowling Green+4.572.0L 27 - 41UN
Wed 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+3.559.5L 19 - 27UN
Fri 11/27 Western Michigan at Toledo+7.058.0W 35 - 30OY
Thu 12/24 Western Michigan vs Middle Tennessee-3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Toledo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Toledo at Arkansas+21.056.0W 16 - 12UY
Sat 9/19 Toledo vs Iowa State-6.558.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 9/26 Toledo vs Arkansas State-10.058.0W 37 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 Toledo at Ball State-9.554.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Toledo vs Kent State-15.547.0W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-28.063.0W 63 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Toledo at Massachusetts-9.561.0W 51 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/3 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.062.0L 27 - 32UN
Tue 11/10 Toledo at Central Michigan-6.054.5W 28 - 23UN
Tue 11/17 Toledo at Bowling Green+9.072.5W 44 - 28UY
Fri 11/27 Toledo vs Western Michigan-7.058.0L 30 - 35ON
Tue 12/22 Toledo vs Temple+1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU.2847%3647%3.2120446%2873.62.2443%28.342%43%3.8355.51.31.4
TOL.2244%3542%2.7820843%2533.53.0340%20.840%38%2.2968.21.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense133631.747.3%3.621.324491204287549%48%47%46%1%.28
TOL Defense1220.820.739.8%2.291.8 - - - - - 41%56%40%38%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1328.33042.9%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%48%42%43%2%.24
TOL Offense123537.543.9%3.531.2224612082535.151%46%42%43%2%.22

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1334:3123.846%64%6.255.51.31.400229.1
Toledo1229:3222.346%45%868.21.21.800131.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1349%47%40.5203.7528.193.2175%0%0.97
TOL Defense1241%40% - - - - -.062.2882%0%0.78
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1350%42% - - - - .162.8266%0%1.21
TOL Offense1251%42%41207.95.126.132.7864%0%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1348%46%2131.1287.19.213.7309.411.728%40%.591%2
TOL Defense1256%38% - - - - - - 12.131.538%33%.232%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1348%43% - - - - - - 10.331.634%36%.472%2
TOL Offense1246%43%19.334.32537.413.12410.351.633%38%.432%1.8

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2015 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan:    Toledo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan:    Toledo:




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Western Michigan's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 31
Toledo 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 35
Toledo 29

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 33
Western Michigan 27

Total Points: 60
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.5
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Toledo's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Western Michigan14Toledo13Toledo -13.5Western Michigan48.5Under
202309/23Toledo49Western Michigan31Toledo -21.5Western Michigan52.5Over
202211/25Western Michigan20Toledo14Toledo -8.5Western Michigan50.5Under
202110/23Toledo34Western Michigan15Western Michigan -1.5Toledo54.5Under
202011/11Western Michigan41Toledo38Western Michigan -1.5Western Michigan58.5Over
201910/05Toledo31Western Michigan24Toledo -1.5Toledo74.0Under
201810/25Western Michigan24Toledo51Western Michigan -4Toledo69.0Over
201711/24Toledo37Western Michigan10Toledo -12Toledo62.0Under
201611/25Western Michigan55Toledo35Western Michigan -9.5Western Michigan71.5Over
201511/27Toledo30Western Michigan35Toledo -7Western Michigan58.0Over
201410/04Western Michigan19Toledo20Toledo -10Western Michigan0
201310/05Toledo47Western Michigan20Toledo -19Toledo0
201209/29Western Michigan17Toledo37
201111/08Toledo66Western Michigan63
201009/18Western Michigan24Toledo37
200910/10Toledo26Western Michigan58
200811/15Western Michigan27Toledo17
200709/29Toledo28Western Michigan42
200609/09Western Michigan31Toledo10
200509/10Toledo56Western Michigan23
200410/09Western Michigan33Toledo59
200311/22Toledo34Western Michigan17
200111/06Toledo41Western Michigan35
200009/22Western Michigan21Toledo14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1455 Overs
Western Michigan1075 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 89 - 35 - 34 - 0
Road Teams8 - 163 - 90 - 43 - 5

(#) WMU at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWMUTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #76 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffWMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 57° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.039
Rematch from Week 13
Toledo -7.0 (58.0)
Western Michigan won at Toledo this year (35-30)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Western Michigan in 2023 (49-31)
Western Michigan beat Toledo in 2022 (20-14)

  
WMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD