Western Michigan at Toledo - 2015 Matchup Preview
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Western Michigan Broncos at Toledo Rockets

Toledo logo
Friday, November 27th 2015 (12:00 PM EST)
Toledo -7 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 35 - Toledo: 30  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WMU 2nd straight Road Game
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
WMU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: WMU: 16 - TOL: 29 (45)
TOL Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 111 miles
Rockets (10 - 2) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Western Michigan vs Michigan State+23.555.0L 24 - 37OY
Sat 9/12 Western Michigan at Georgia Southern-4.555.5L 17 - 43ON
Sat 9/19 Western Michigan vs Murray State-32.5
Sat 9/26 Western Michigan at Ohio State+27.062.0L 12 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-5.051.5W 41 - 39ON
Sat 10/17 Western Michigan at Ohio+4.053.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 10/24 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)-20.055.0W 35 - 13UY
Thu 10/29 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-20.565.0W 58 - 28OY
Thu 11/5 Western Michigan vs Ball State-13.562.0W 54 - 7UY
Wed 11/11 Western Michigan vs Bowling Green+4.572.0L 27 - 41UN
Wed 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+3.559.5L 19 - 27UN
Fri 11/27 Western Michigan at Toledo+7.058.0W 35 - 30OY
Thu 12/24 Western Michigan vs Middle Tennessee-3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Toledo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Toledo at Arkansas+21.056.0W 16 - 12UY
Sat 9/19 Toledo vs Iowa State-6.558.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 9/26 Toledo vs Arkansas State-10.058.0W 37 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 Toledo at Ball State-9.554.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Toledo vs Kent State-15.547.0W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-28.063.0W 63 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Toledo at Massachusetts-9.561.0W 51 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/3 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.062.0L 27 - 32UN
Tue 11/10 Toledo at Central Michigan-6.054.5W 28 - 23UN
Tue 11/17 Toledo at Bowling Green+9.072.5W 44 - 28UY
Fri 11/27 Toledo vs Western Michigan-7.058.0L 30 - 35ON
Tue 12/22 Toledo vs Temple+1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU.2746%24.945%2.9417145%2673.84.0939%17.441%36%3.3251.21.51.8
TOL.2850%30.853%3.4225646%2354.11.1943%13.341%43%3.852.21.31.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1324.918.345.9%3.841.5214381712674.454%44%45%45%3%.27
TOL Defense1313.37.743.1%3.81.1 - - - - - 44%54%41%43%2%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1317.421.739.4%3.321.8 - - - - - 49%49%41%36%3%.09
TOL Offense1330.845.850.3%4.111.3254912562355.856%42%53%46%2%.28

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1332:5820.848%33%5.351.21.51.800228.5
Toledo1332:2224.846%64%652.21.31.100028.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1354%45%38.7170.84.429.172.9477%0%1.01
TOL Defense1344%41% - - - - -.032.4370%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1349%41% - - - - .072.869%0%1.01
TOL Offense1356%53%44.3256.45.835.253.4275%0%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1344%45%19.528.6267.39.313.72610.421.729%36%.483%2
TOL Defense1354%43% - - - - - - 10.381.734%32%.252%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1349%36% - - - - - - 13.121.735%32%.243%1.9
TOL Offense1342%46%18.830.6234.87.712.5249.351.627%38%.342%1.7

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2015 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan:    Toledo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan:    Toledo:




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 29
Western Michigan 16

Projected Total Points: 45
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Western Michigan14Toledo13Toledo -13.5Western Michigan48.5Under
202309/23Toledo49Western Michigan31Toledo -21.5Western Michigan52.5Over
202211/25Western Michigan20Toledo14Toledo -8.5Western Michigan50.5Under
202110/23Toledo34Western Michigan15Western Michigan -1.5Toledo54.5Under
202011/11Western Michigan41Toledo38Western Michigan -1.5Western Michigan58.5Over
201910/05Toledo31Western Michigan24Toledo -1.5Toledo74.0Under
201810/25Western Michigan24Toledo51Western Michigan -4Toledo69.0Over
201711/24Toledo37Western Michigan10Toledo -12Toledo62.0Under
201611/25Western Michigan55Toledo35Western Michigan -9.5Western Michigan71.5Over
201511/27Toledo30Western Michigan35Toledo -7Western Michigan58.0Over
201410/04Western Michigan19Toledo20Toledo -10Western Michigan0
201310/05Toledo47Western Michigan20Toledo -19Toledo0
201209/29Western Michigan17Toledo37
201111/08Toledo66Western Michigan63
201009/18Western Michigan24Toledo37
200910/10Toledo26Western Michigan58
200811/15Western Michigan27Toledo17
200709/29Toledo28Western Michigan42
200609/09Western Michigan31Toledo10
200509/10Toledo56Western Michigan23
200410/09Western Michigan33Toledo59
200311/22Toledo34Western Michigan17
200111/06Toledo41Western Michigan35
200009/22Western Michigan21Toledo14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1455 Overs
Western Michigan1075 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 89 - 35 - 34 - 0
Road Teams8 - 163 - 90 - 43 - 5

(#) WMU at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWMUTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #76 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffWMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Toledo -7.0 (58.0)
Western Michigan won at Toledo this year (35-30)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Toledo last year (14-13)
Toledo beat Western Michigan in 2023 (49-31)

  
WMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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WMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD