Toledo at Arkansas - 2015 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, September 12th 2015 (4:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas -21 (56.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 16 - Arkansas: 12

 
Rockets (10 - 2) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (33 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARK 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 27 - ARK: 29 (56)
ARK Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
TOL Travel: 671 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Razorbacks (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 27 (40 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Toledo at Arkansas+21.056.0W 16 - 12UY
Sat 9/19 Toledo vs Iowa State-6.558.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 9/26 Toledo vs Arkansas State-10.058.0W 37 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 Toledo at Ball State-9.554.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Toledo vs Kent State-15.547.0W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-28.063.0W 63 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Toledo at Massachusetts-9.561.0W 51 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/3 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.062.0L 27 - 32UN
Tue 11/10 Toledo at Central Michigan-6.054.5W 28 - 23UN
Tue 11/17 Toledo at Bowling Green+9.072.5W 44 - 28UY
Fri 11/27 Toledo vs Western Michigan-7.058.0L 30 - 35ON
Tue 12/22 Toledo vs Temple+1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Arkansas's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas vs UTEP-35.049.5W 48 - 13ON
Sat 9/12 Arkansas vs Toledo-21.056.0L 12 - 16UN
Sat 9/19 Arkansas vs Texas Tech-10.569.0L 24 - 35UN
Sat 9/26 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+3.561.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/3 Arkansas at Tennessee+7.553.5W 24 - 20UY
Sat 10/10 Arkansas at Alabama+16.048.0L 14 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Arkansas vs Auburn-4.055.0W 54 - 46OY
Sat 10/31 Arkansas vs UT Martin-38.0
Sat 11/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+11.055.0W 53 - 52OY
Sat 11/14 Arkansas at LSU+9.054.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 11/21 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-3.059.0L 50 - 51ON
Fri 11/27 Arkansas vs Missouri-14.044.0W 28 - 3UY
Sat 1/2 Arkansas vs Kansas State-13.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2244%3542%2.7820843%2533.53.0340%20.840%38%2.2968.21.21.8
ARK.3452%35.952%3.2319750%2684.44.2648%27.446%49%4.0336.70.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense123532.643.9%3.531.2224612082535.151%46%42%43%2%.22
ARK Defense1327.427.448.5%4.031.4 - - - - - 45%53%46%49%2%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1220.821.639.8%2.291.8 - - - - - 41%56%40%38%2%.03
ARK Offense1335.939.951.7%4.440.823465197268555%44%52%50%2%.34

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1229:3222.346%45%868.21.21.800131.8
Arkansas1334:2323.447%57%4.236.70.81.400031.1
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1251%42%41207.95.126.132.7864%0%1.02
ARK Defense1345%46% - - - - .132.6979%0%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1241%40% - - - - -.062.2882%0%0.78
ARK Offense1355%52%39.4197.3531.23.2376%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1246%43%19.334.32537.413.12410.351.633%38%.432%1.8
ARK Defense1353%49% - - - - - - 11.41.531%40%.392%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1256%38% - - - - - - 12.131.538%33%.232%1.7
ARK Offense1344%50%18.928.8268.29.314.2318.551.727%42%.592%2.2

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Arkansas: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Arkansas:




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2015 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.6
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Toledo's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas 29
Toledo 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 29
Toledo 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 31
Arkansas 29

Total Points: 60
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 35.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.4

Arkansas's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201509/12Arkansas12Toledo16Arkansas -21Toledo56.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas000 Overs
Toledo111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) TOL at (#) ARK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLARK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #80 #25
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffARK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCatARK OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCatARK OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Arkansas -21.0 (56.0)
Toledo won at Arkansas this year (16-12)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD