Bowling Green at Ball State - 2015 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Ball State Cardinals

Tuesday, November 24th 2015 (7:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -20.5 (74.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 48 - Ball State: 10 (Mid-American)

Falcons (10 - 4) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 29 (41 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BGSU: 36 - BALL: 21 (57)
BGSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
BGSU Travel: 123 miles

Cardinals (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (21 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
BALL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Bowling Green vs Tennessee	+17.0	67.5	L 30 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/12	Bowling Green at Maryland	+10.0	70.5	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/19	Bowling Green vs Memphis	+4.0	71.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Bowling Green at Purdue	+1.5	74.0	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Bowling Green at Buffalo	-6.5	67.5	W 28 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/10	Bowling Green vs Massachusetts	-13.5	78.5	W 62 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/17	Bowling Green vs Akron	-11.5	62.5	W 59 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Bowling Green at Kent State	-9.5	59.0	W 48 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4	Bowling Green vs Ohio	-13.5	66.0	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Wed 11/11	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	-4.5	72.0	W 41 - 27	U	Y
Tue 11/17	Bowling Green vs Toledo	-9.0	72.5	L 28 - 44	U	N
Tue 11/24	Bowling Green at Ball State	-20.5	74.0	W 48 - 10	U	Y
Fri 12/4	Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	69.0	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Wed 12/23	Bowling Green vs Georgia Southern	-7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Ball State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Ball State vs VMI	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Ball State at Texas A&M	+26.0	64.5	L 23 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/19	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	-6.0	61.5	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Ball State at Northwestern	+18.0	48.5	L 19 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Ball State vs Toledo	+9.5	54.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/10	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+10.5	54.5	L 41 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/17	Ball State vs Georgia State	-16.5	63.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/24	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+6.0	56.0	L 21 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Ball State vs Massachusetts	-4.0	67.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Thu 11/5	Ball State at Western Michigan	+13.5	62.0	L 7 - 54	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/17	Ball State at Ohio	+7.0	56.0	L 31 - 48	O	N
Tue 11/24	Ball State vs Bowling Green	+20.5	74.0	L 10 - 48	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.35	50%	42.2	50%	3.18	180	50%	367	4.58	.16	44%	28.9	45%	41%	3.41	80.2	1.1	1.9
BALL	.07	41%	23.1	42%	2.84	153	38%	218	3.2	.31	48%	35.8	44%	51%	4.04	35.4	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#53 (.21)	43% (68)		41% (99)	3.01 (74)	134	44% (38)	207	3.84 (77)	#43 (.13)	38% (15)		39% (29)	37% (20)	3.47 (32)	41.1	0.8	1
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	14	42.2	41.3	50.3%	4.58	1.1	28	547	180	367	4.7	44%	56%	50%	50%	2%	.35
BALL Defense	12	35.8	28.7	48.2%	4.04	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	44%	51%	1%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	14	28.9	19	44.2%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	45%	41%	2%	.16
BALL Offense	12	23.1	21.3	40.9%	3.2	1.3	21	372	153	218	4.2	46%	52%	42%	38%	1%	.07

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	14	27:55	27.8	50%	53%	8.8	80.2	1.1	1.9	0	0	1	29.7
Ball State	12	28:37	20.8	38%	52%	3.7	35.4	1.3	1.3	0	0	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	14	44%	50%	38.7	180	4.7	34	.28	3.18	74%	0%	1.07
BALL Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.93	73%	0%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.99	69%	0%	1
BALL Offense	12	46%	42%	36.4	153.3	4.2	15	.03	2.84	71%	0%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	14	56%	50%	28.4	42.4	366.8	8.6	12.9	47	8	.41	1.6	28%	42%	.71	2%	2.3
BALL Defense	12	46%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.53	1.6	29%	43%	.52	1%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	14	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.18	1.6	35%	42%	.44	2%	1.6
BALL Offense	12	52%	38%	21.9	38.3	218.3	5.7	10	17	9	.12	1.4	33%	32%	.15	1%	1.4

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2015 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Ball State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Ball State:

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 42.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Bowling Green's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 36
Ball State 21

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Bowling Green 35
Ball State 19

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Bowling Green 37
Ball State 23

Total Points: 60

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.3
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Ball State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Ball State	13	Bowling Green	38	Bowling Green -12.5	Bowling Green	54.5	Under
2023	11/01	Bowling Green	24	Ball State	21	Bowling Green -4.5	Ball State	39.5	Over
2015	11/24	Ball State	10	Bowling Green	48	Bowling Green -20.5	Bowling Green	74.0	Under
2014	11/28	Bowling Green	24	Ball State	41	Bowling Green -9	Ball State	0
2009	10/17	Ball State	17	Bowling Green	31
2005	09/10	Ball State	31	Bowling Green	40
2004	10/16	Bowling Green	51	Ball State	13
2003	11/22	Ball State	14	Bowling Green	41
2002	10/26	Bowling Green	38	Ball State	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	1	2	1 Overs
Bowling Green	8	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 6	0 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 3	4 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0

(#) BGSU at (#) BALL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	BALL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#78	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Ball State Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	BALL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 40°

Rematch from Week 13
Bowling Green 20.5 (74.0)
Bowling Green won at Ball State this year (48-10)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Ball State last year (38-13)
Bowling Green beat Ball State in 2023 (24-21)

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD