Iowa State at Toledo - 2015 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo (#14)Iowa State Cyclones at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 19th 2015 (8:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -6.5 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 30 - Iowa State: 23

 
Cyclones (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (23 - 44 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ISU: 18 - TOL: 37 (55)
TOL Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ISU Travel: 516 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rockets (10 - 2) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (38 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-8.5
Sat 9/12 Iowa State vs Iowa+4.048.0L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/19 Iowa State at Toledo+6.558.0L 23 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Iowa State vs Kansas-14.559.5W 38 - 13UY
Sat 10/10 Iowa State at Texas Tech+11.572.0L 31 - 66ON
Sat 10/17 Iowa State vs TCU+18.068.0L 21 - 45UN
Sat 10/24 Iowa State at Baylor+37.074.5L 27 - 45UY
Sat 10/31 Iowa State vs Texas+9.550.0W 24 - 0UY
Sat 11/7 Iowa State at Oklahoma+26.057.0L 16 - 52ON
Sat 11/14 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State+13.556.5L 31 - 35OY
Sat 11/21 Iowa State at Kansas State+7.050.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/28 Iowa State at West Virginia+13.557.5L 6 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Toledo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Toledo at Arkansas+21.056.0W 16 - 12UY
Sat 9/19 Toledo vs Iowa State-6.558.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 9/26 Toledo vs Arkansas State-10.058.0W 37 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 Toledo at Ball State-9.554.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Toledo vs Kent State-15.547.0W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-28.063.0W 63 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Toledo at Massachusetts-9.561.0W 51 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/3 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.062.0L 27 - 32UN
Tue 11/10 Toledo at Central Michigan-6.054.5W 28 - 23UN
Tue 11/17 Toledo at Bowling Green+9.072.5W 44 - 28UY
Fri 11/27 Toledo vs Western Michigan-7.058.0L 30 - 35ON
Tue 12/22 Toledo vs Temple+1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU.1243%2547%3.118238%2263.32.2147%32.746%46%3.5240.821.1
TOL.2244%3542%2.7820843%2533.53.0340%20.840%38%2.2968.21.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense12252343.3%3.322214081822264.450%48%47%38%2%.12
TOL Defense1220.820.739.8%2.291.8 - - - - - 41%56%40%38%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1232.743.547.1%3.521.1 - - - - - 50%48%46%46%1%.21
TOL Offense123537.543.9%3.531.2224612082535.151%46%42%43%2%.22

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1231:3221.440%45%4.940.821.100129.1
Toledo1229:3222.346%45%868.21.21.800131.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1250%47%41.51824.418.093.162%0%0.87
TOL Defense1241%40% - - - - -.062.2882%0%0.78
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1250%46% - - - - .082.8762%0%0.82
TOL Offense1251%42%41207.95.126.132.7864%0%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1248%38%19.834.3226.36.611.51812.161.630%28%.282%2.2
TOL Defense1256%38% - - - - - - 12.131.538%33%.232%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1248%46% - - - - - - 5.351.531%34%.371%1.9
TOL Offense1246%43%19.334.32537.413.12410.351.633%38%.432%1.8

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State:    Toledo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State:    Toledo:




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 32.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 43.5

Iowa State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 37
Iowa State 18

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 37
Iowa State 15

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 37
Iowa State 22

Total Points: 59
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.5
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Toledo's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201509/19Toledo30Iowa State23Toledo -6.5Toledo58.0Under
201410/11Iowa State37Toledo30Iowa State -6Iowa State0
200709/22Toledo36Iowa State35
200608/31Iowa State45Toledo43
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo210 Overs
Iowa State211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) ISU at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatISUTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #62 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Iowa State on Offense
CategoryCat
ISU OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Iowa State Run Game
CategoryCat
ISU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Iowa State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ISU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffISU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffISU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffISU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 65° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Toledo -6.5 (58.0)
Toledo won vs Iowa State this year (30-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ISU's OC ()
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ISU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD