Toledo at Central Michigan - 2015 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo   Toledo Rockets at Central Michigan Chippewas  Central Michigan logo
Tuesday, November 10th 2015 (8:00 PM EST)
Toledo -6 (54.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 28 - Central Michigan: 23  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (10 - 2) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CMU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 22 - CMU: 21 (43)
TOL Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TOL Travel: 145 miles
Chippewas (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 15 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Toledo at Arkansas+21.056.0W 16 - 12UY
Sat 9/19 Toledo vs Iowa State-6.558.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 9/26 Toledo vs Arkansas State-10.058.0W 37 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 Toledo at Ball State-9.554.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Toledo vs Kent State-15.547.0W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-28.063.0W 63 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Toledo at Massachusetts-9.561.0W 51 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/3 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.062.0L 27 - 32UN
Tue 11/10 Toledo at Central Michigan-6.054.5W 28 - 23UN
Tue 11/17 Toledo at Bowling Green+9.072.5W 44 - 28UY
Fri 11/27 Toledo vs Western Michigan-7.058.0L 30 - 35ON
Tue 12/22 Toledo vs Temple+1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Central Michigan's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Central Michigan vs Oklahoma State+20.558.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 9/12 Central Michigan vs Monmouth-25.5
Sat 9/19 Central Michigan at Syracuse+6.047.5L 27 - 30OY
Sat 9/26 Central Michigan at Michigan State+28.556.0L 10 - 30UY
Sat 10/3 Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois+2.551.0W 29 - 19UY
Sat 10/10 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+5.051.5L 39 - 41OY
Sat 10/17 Central Michigan vs Buffalo-7.055.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 10/24 Central Michigan at Ball State-6.056.0W 23 - 21UN
Sat 10/31 Central Michigan at Akron-3.547.0W 14 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/10 Central Michigan vs Toledo+6.054.5L 23 - 28UY
Wed 11/18 Central Michigan at Kent State-8.540.5W 27 - 14OY
Fri 11/27 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-23.059.5W 35 - 28ON
Mon 12/28 Central Michigan vs Minnesota+6.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2850%30.853%3.4225646%2354.11.1943%13.341%43%3.852.21.31.1
CMU.1847%22.545%2.7415548%2433.92.1440%23.537%41%3.4945.52.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1330.817.350.3%4.111.3254912562355.856%42%53%46%2%.28
CMU Defense1323.515.240.3%3.491.7 - - - - - 47%51%37%41%2%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1313.316.743.1%3.81.1 - - - - - 44%54%41%43%2%.19
CMU Offense1322.530.447%3.922.122398155243454%45%45%48%2%.18

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1332:2224.846%64%652.21.31.100028.8
Central Michigan1333:1522.143%44%5.445.52.11.700129.4
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1356%53%44.3256.45.835.253.4275%0%0.9
CMU Defense1347%37% - - - - 2.5376%0%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1344%41% - - - - -.032.4370%0%0.85
CMU Offense1354%45%38.8155.24192.7468%0%0.8

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1342%46%18.830.6234.87.712.5249.351.627%38%.342%1.7
CMU Defense1351%41% - - - - - - 14.281.734%36%.312%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1354%43% - - - - - - 10.381.734%32%.252%1.9
CMU Offense1345%48%18.729.4242.88.3132713.411.628%37%.422%2

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Central Michigan: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Central Michigan:




Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Central Michigan's 2015 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 22
Central Michigan 21

Projected Total Points: 43
Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Central Michigan's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Central Michigan3Toledo21Toledo -11.5Toledo46.5Under
202411/12Toledo37Central Michigan10Toledo -15Toledo52.5Under
202311/24Central Michigan17Toledo32Toledo -12.5Toledo54.5Under
202210/01Toledo38Central Michigan17Toledo -6.5Toledo56.0Under
202110/16Central Michigan26Toledo23Toledo -5Central Michigan53.0Under
202012/12Toledo24Central Michigan23Toledo -10Central Michigan54.5Under
201911/29Central Michigan49Toledo7Central Michigan -14.5Central Michigan64.0Under
201811/23Toledo51Central Michigan13Toledo -19Toledo58.0Over
201710/14Central Michigan10Toledo30Toledo -9.5Toledo55.0Under
201610/22Toledo31Central Michigan17Toledo -10Toledo61.5Under
201511/10Central Michigan23Toledo28Toledo -6Central Michigan54.5Under
201409/27Toledo42Central Michigan28Toledo -15Central Michigan0
201309/21Central Michigan17Toledo38Toledo -14Toledo0
201210/06Toledo50Central Michigan35
201111/18Central Michigan17Toledo44
201011/26Toledo42Central Michigan31
200911/11Central Michigan56Toledo28
200810/25Toledo23Central Michigan24
200709/08Central Michigan52Toledo31
200610/07Toledo20Central Michigan42
200510/29Central Michigan21Toledo17
200410/23Toledo27Central Michigan22
200310/18Central Michigan13Toledo31
200211/09Toledo44Central Michigan17
200109/22Central Michigan28Toledo52
200009/29Toledo41Central Michigan0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Central Michigan751 Overs
Toledo19810 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 107 - 65 - 22 - 4
Road Teams10 - 166 - 74 - 22 - 5

(#) TOL at (#) CMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLCMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #80 #101
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffCMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffCMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffCMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Central Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatCMU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Central Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
CMU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Central Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatCMU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Toledo 6.0 (54.5)
Toledo won at Central Michigan this year (28-23)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Central Michigan last year (21-3)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2024 (37-10)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (32-17)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD