Toledo at Massachusetts - 2015 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, October 24th 2015 (3:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -9.5 (61.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 51 - Massachusetts: 35  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (10 - 2) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (33 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UMASS 2nd straight Home Game
UMASS is playing their 7th straight game
TOL is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 30 - UMASS: 18 (48)
TOL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TOL Travel: 636 miles
Minutemen (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (20 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Toledo at Arkansas+21.056.0W 16 - 12UY
Sat 9/19 Toledo vs Iowa State-6.558.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 9/26 Toledo vs Arkansas State-10.058.0W 37 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 Toledo at Ball State-9.554.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Toledo vs Kent State-15.547.0W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-28.063.0W 63 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Toledo at Massachusetts-9.561.0W 51 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/3 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.062.0L 27 - 32UN
Tue 11/10 Toledo at Central Michigan-6.054.5W 28 - 23UN
Tue 11/17 Toledo at Bowling Green+9.072.5W 44 - 28UY
Fri 11/27 Toledo vs Western Michigan-7.058.0L 30 - 35ON
Tue 12/22 Toledo vs Temple+1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Massachusetts at Colorado+16.061.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/19 Massachusetts vs Temple+9.055.0L 23 - 25UY
Sat 9/26 Massachusetts at Notre Dame+28.561.5L 27 - 62ON
Sat 10/3 Massachusetts vs Florida International-2.556.0W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/10 Massachusetts at Bowling Green+13.578.5L 38 - 62ON
Sat 10/17 Massachusetts vs Kent State-5.055.5L 10 - 15UN
Sat 10/24 Massachusetts vs Toledo+9.561.0L 35 - 51ON
Sat 10/31 Massachusetts at Ball State+4.067.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 11/7 Massachusetts vs Akron-1.554.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/14 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan-7.568.5W 28 - 17UY
Sat 11/21 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)-9.054.5L 13 - 20UN
Fri 11/27 Massachusetts at Buffalo+6.055.0W 31 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2244%3542%2.7820843%2533.53.0340%20.840%38%2.2968.21.21.8
UMASS.0940%22.244%2.8614236%2583.28.1846%31.443%48%3.8763.91.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense123532.643.9%3.531.2224612082535.151%46%42%43%2%.22
UMASS Defense1231.423.746.2%3.871.5 - - - - - 53%45%43%48%2%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1220.821.639.8%2.291.8 - - - - - 41%56%40%38%2%.03
UMASS Offense1222.219.739.8%3.281.6214001422584.441%57%44%36%2%.09

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1229:3222.346%45%868.21.21.800131.8
Massachusetts1226:5921.334%38%7.463.91.61.500128.4
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1251%42%41207.95.126.132.7864%0%1.02
UMASS Defense1253%43% - - - - .063.0365%0%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1241%40% - - - - -.062.2882%0%0.78
UMASS Offense1241%44%32.7142.34.415.152.8672%0%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1246%43%19.334.32537.413.12410.351.633%38%.432%1.8
UMASS Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 13.341.530%38%.42%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1256%38% - - - - - - 12.131.538%33%.232%1.7
UMASS Offense1257%36%23.441.3257.56.2111813.081.535%30%.182%1.7

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Massachusetts: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Massachusetts:




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2015 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.6
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Toledo's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 30
Massachusetts 18

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 29
Massachusetts 16

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 31
Massachusetts 21

Total Points: 52
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 31.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.7

Massachusetts's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Toledo38Massachusetts23Toledo -17.5Massachusetts50.5Over
202310/07Massachusetts24Toledo41Toledo -19Massachusetts55.5Over
202209/10Toledo55Massachusetts10Toledo -28Toledo49.0Over
202110/02Massachusetts7Toledo45Toledo -26.5Toledo56.5Under
201510/24Massachusetts35Toledo51Toledo -9.5Toledo61.0Over
201410/25Toledo42Massachusetts35Toledo -17.5Massachusetts0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts034 Overs
Toledo631 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 32 - 41 - 21 - 2
Road Teams3 - 34 - 22 - 12 - 1

(#) TOL at (#) UMASS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLUMASS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #80 #116
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffUMASS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCatUMASS OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCatUMASS OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gillette Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48°
Rematch from Week 8
Toledo 9.5 (61.0)
Toledo won at Massachusetts this year (51-35)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Massachusetts last year (38-23)
Toledo beat Massachusetts in 2023 (41-24)
Toledo beat Massachusetts in 2022 (55-10)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UMASS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD