Bowling Green at Western Michigan - 2015 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Western Michigan Broncos

Wednesday, November 11th 2015 (8:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -4.5 (72.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 41 - Western Michigan: 27 (Mid-American)

Falcons (10 - 4) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WMU 2nd straight Home Game
WMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BGSU: 19 - WMU: 27 (46)
BGSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 120 miles

Broncos (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
WMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Bowling Green vs Tennessee	+17.0	67.5	L 30 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/12	Bowling Green at Maryland	+10.0	70.5	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/19	Bowling Green vs Memphis	+4.0	71.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Bowling Green at Purdue	+1.5	74.0	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Bowling Green at Buffalo	-6.5	67.5	W 28 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/10	Bowling Green vs Massachusetts	-13.5	78.5	W 62 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/17	Bowling Green vs Akron	-11.5	62.5	W 59 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Bowling Green at Kent State	-9.5	59.0	W 48 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4	Bowling Green vs Ohio	-13.5	66.0	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Wed 11/11	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	-4.5	72.0	W 41 - 27	U	Y
Tue 11/17	Bowling Green vs Toledo	-9.0	72.5	L 28 - 44	U	N
Tue 11/24	Bowling Green at Ball State	-20.5	74.0	W 48 - 10	U	Y
Fri 12/4	Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	69.0	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Wed 12/23	Bowling Green vs Georgia Southern	-7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Western Michigan's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/4	Western Michigan vs Michigan State	+23.5	55.0	L 24 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/12	Western Michigan at Georgia Southern	-4.5	55.5	L 17 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/19	Western Michigan vs Murray State	-32.5
Sat 9/26	Western Michigan at Ohio State	+27.0	62.0	L 12 - 38	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-5.0	51.5	W 41 - 39	O	N
Sat 10/17	Western Michigan at Ohio	+4.0	53.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)	-20.0	55.0	W 35 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/29	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-20.5	65.0	W 58 - 28	O	Y
Thu 11/5	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-13.5	62.0	W 54 - 7	U	Y
Wed 11/11	Western Michigan vs Bowling Green	+4.5	72.0	L 27 - 41	U	N
Wed 11/18	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	+3.5	59.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/27	Western Michigan at Toledo	+7.0	58.0	W 35 - 30	O	Y
Thu 12/24	Western Michigan vs Middle Tennessee	-3.0

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.12	40%	20.5	41%	2.83	173	36%	260	3.49	.16	45%	24.3	45%	44%	3.6	62.3	1.6	2.4
WMU	.27	46%	24.9	45%	2.94	171	45%	267	3.84	.09	39%	17.4	41%	36%	3.32	51.2	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	14	20.5	24	39.8%	3.49	1.6	22	433	173	260	4.4	47%	51%	41%	36%	2%	.12
WMU Defense	13	17.4	15.7	39.4%	3.32	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	41%	36%	3%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	14	24.3	29	45.3%	3.6	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	45%	44%	2%	.16
WMU Offense	13	24.9	29	45.9%	3.84	1.5	21	438	171	267	4.4	54%	44%	45%	45%	3%	.27

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	14	26:14	22.1	38%	30%	7.9	62.3	1.6	2.4	0	0	3	29.5
Western Michigan	13	32:58	20.8	48%	33%	5.3	51.2	1.5	1.8	0	0	2	28.5

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	14	47%	41%	39.7	173	4.4	30	.15	2.83	76%	0%	1.07
WMU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.8	69%	0%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	14	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.8	60%	0%	1.07
WMU Offense	13	54%	45%	38.7	170.8	4.4	29	.17	2.94	77%	0%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	14	51%	36%	22.6	39.1	259.9	6.7	11.5	17	13	.12	1.5	33%	32%	.33	2%	2
WMU Defense	13	49%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.12	1.7	35%	32%	.24	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	14	54%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.23	1.4	31%	35%	.3	2%	1.7
WMU Offense	13	44%	45%	19.5	28.6	267.3	9.3	13.7	26	10	.42	1.7	29%	36%	.48	3%	2

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2015 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Western Michigan: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Western Michigan:

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Michigan's 2015 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Western Michigan 27
Bowling Green 19

Projected Total Points: 46

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Western Michigan's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/12	Bowling Green	31	Western Michigan	13	Bowling Green -9.5	Bowling Green	57.5	Under
2023	11/21	Western Michigan	10	Bowling Green	34	Bowling Green -2	Bowling Green	54.5	Under
2022	11/02	Bowling Green	13	Western Michigan	9	Bowling Green -5	Western Michigan	48.0	Under
2019	10/26	Western Michigan	49	Bowling Green	10	Western Michigan -26.5	Western Michigan	65.5	Under
2018	10/13	Bowling Green	35	Western Michigan	42	Western Michigan -14.5	Bowling Green	68.5	Over
2015	11/11	Western Michigan	27	Bowling Green	41	Bowling Green -4.5	Bowling Green	72.0	Under
2014	10/18	Bowling Green	14	Western Michigan	26	Bowling Green -2.5	Western Michigan	0
2011	10/08	Western Michigan	45	Bowling Green	21
2010	11/26	Bowling Green	7	Western Michigan	41
2005	10/22	Bowling Green	14	Western Michigan	45
2004	11/06	Bowling Green	52	Western Michigan	0
2003	10/11	Western Michigan	21	Bowling Green	32
2002	10/19	Bowling Green	48	Western Michigan	45
2001	10/13	Western Michigan	37	Bowling Green	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Michigan	7	3	1 Overs
Bowling Green	7	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	3 - 4	2 - 2	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 7	4 - 3	2 - 1	2 - 2

(#) BGSU at (#) WMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	WMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#78	#76
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Western Michigan Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	WMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Bowling Green 4.5 (72.0)
Bowling Green won at Western Michigan this year (41-27)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan in 2024 (31-13)
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-10)

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD